Somewhat stupidly last week I put my hand up to help out with the office footy tipping competition. This was stupid on three levels.
I don’t have the time (I already write on footy, coach a representative footy team, co-ordinate a group of umpires, scout for a footy team and co-host a footy podcast), I don’t tip very well (17th place out of 25 last year is testament to that) and I don’t know how to be half-hearted when it comes to footy (please read on).
Instead of being happy to just send a quick email to my colleagues to remind them to do their tips each Friday, I just had to create a competition newsletter. No half measures here. And of course as part of that newsletter I just had to give some tips for the weekend’s games.
Not one to just let a few people benefit from my random research, here too for The Roar community is some helpful or just plane random tipping hints for Round 2. I hope you enjoy the read.
Let’s not call a club a spade here, Round 2 is a massive trap round for footy tippers everywhere. Spooked by first-up performances teams like Geelong and North Melbourne are written off for the whole season. Meanwhile, spurred by strong first-up wins teams like Melbourne and Collingwood seem to grow extra bandwagon members by the minute.
Thankfully I am here with the lowdown on some helpful hints to make your weeks tipping a breeze.
West Coast versus Carlton
Helpful hint: West Coast are 2-2 when Eric MacKenzie has missed games in the past three seasons. The last time that both MacKenzie and Mitch Brown were out of a West Coast team was Round 13, 2011.
Helpful Hint?: West Coast and Carlton have never met in a Round 2 match. West Coast hold sway 6-3 in matches where the round has a two in it.
John’s Margin Forecast: Rain with a possible thunderstorm for Perth on Friday night, has to be a low margin right John? (True story, my boss, John, tips the margin based solely on the weather. Wet night, never more than a three-goal game, dry night, five goals plus).
Richmond versus Western Bulldogs
Helpful hint: Richmond have won three of the last four games against Western Bulldogs by an average of 66 points, the lone Bulldog win in that four-game run was a narrow two-point win
Helpful hint?: Richmond is currently on a ten-game winning run in home-and-away matches, their best ever home-and-away winning run is a 12-game win streak back in 1972-73
Greater Western Sydney versus Melbourne
Helpful hint: GWS have beaten Melbourne three times in their short history, they have never beaten another team more than once.
Helpful hint?: The last time that Melbourne and GWS both held a spot in the top eight together was… never.
Collingwood versus Adelaide
Helpful hint: Last year Collingwood were 1-4 the week after returning from an interstate game.
Helpful hint?: Taylor Walker’s 15 marks and 11 scoring shots last week were both career highs, his six goals also matched a career high.
Gold Coast versus St Kilda
Helpful hint: St Kilda has won just one of its last 18 games.
Helpful hint?: St Kilda is the only team that the Gold Coast have beaten without Gary Ablett.
Port Adelaide versus Sydney
Helpful hint: In the past nine seasons Sydney is 7-2 in Round 2 of an AFL season.
Helpful hint?: The last, and only time that Port Adelaide and Sydney kicked over 100 points in the same match was Round 1, 1998. Sydney won that game 20.4.124 to 17.15.117.
Geelong versus Fremantle
Helpful hint: Geelong has won 56 of its past 59 matches at Kardinya Park and has not lost in Round 2 at Kardinya Park since 2003.
Helpful hint?: Fremantle is 1-0 in finals played at Kardinya Park, they are 1-13 in home-and-away season matches at Kardinya Park, in their 15 games at Kardinya Park Fremantle have kicked two goals or less in the first quarter 11 times.
Essendon versus Hawthorn
Helpful hint: Essendon has been outscored 4.2 to 15.10 in the final quarter of its last three games.
Helpful hint?: Last year’s lone match between Essendon and Hawthorn was also in Round 2, Hawthorn won that match by four points, that match was the first time since 2005 that at least one team had not passed the 100-point mark in matches between the Bombers and Hawks.
North Melbourne versus Brisbane
Helpful hint: Only once last year did North Melbourne lose consecutive matches, by comparison Brisbane lost consecutive games nine times last year.
Helpful hint?: Brisbane have won three of their last four games at Etihad Stadium but have not beaten North Melbourne at Etihad since 2009.