We have seen Essendon touted as real contenders and a top four lock in. Now, the Giants are a finals hopeful.
And it’s only Round 4.
In keeping with the trend of crazy calls and big statements, I thought I would chip in with this doozy.
Geelong are 16th after four rounds.
Looking back through the history books, this has never happened. Geelong have never, ever, been 16th after Round 4. They were 13th in 2004, 14th in 2003, and 14th back in 1998. However, this club – which has enjoyed so much success in the last eight years – has never been 16th at the end of Round 4. Amazing.
We can put it down to a series of weird anomilies but at the end of the day it comes down to one thing – they simply haven’t won that many games. And should they happen to lose this week, they could fall below 16th, a feat they have never achieved!
With Gold Coast meeting Brisbane this weekend, a loss for the Cats will result in Geelong joining one of those other two, split only by percentage.
The last time the Cats were on the bottom of the ladder after round 5 was in 2003, and they remained there until the end of Round 9. You have to go back to 1986 for the last time they were on the bottom after five rounds, back when there were only 12 teams in the competition.
Now for the groundbreaking statistic. On both those occasions when they were on the bottom after round 5, they finished ninth in 1986 and 12th in 2003.
Based on this, Geelong will not make the eight this year.
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