How will the Cavs fare without Kevin Love?

David Friedman Columnist

By David Friedman, David Friedman is a Roar Expert

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    Kevin Love has not fit in smoothly with the Cleveland Cavaliers this season. His individual numbers plummeted and it quickly became apparent that he and LeBron James do not have a very good rapport off the court.

    Make no mistake, though, that Love’s absence will be keenly felt by the Cavaliers in their second round match-up with the Chicago Bulls and in any subsequent playoff series. Love suffered a season-ending dislocated shoulder in Game 4 of Cleveland’s first round sweep of the Boston Celtics.

    Love is valuable because he is versatile and because his skills blend in well with Cleveland’s needs. During the regular season, Love led the Cavs in rebounding (9.7 per game) and defensive rebounding (7.9 per game) while also ranking second on the team in three-point field goals made (144). He is a solid postup player, though the Cavs have not fully exploited his skills in that area.

    Love fell from the ranks of the NBA’s scoring leaders (much like Chris Bosh did when he played alongside James in Miami) but he still finished third on the team in scoring (16.4 points per game). His outside shooting touch spreads the floor on offence and even though he is a below average one-on-one defender he is a very capable defensive rebounder and his outlet passes ignite fast break opportunities.

    The Cavs went just 3-4 without Love during the regular season. The Cavs won three of their four regular season games versus Chicago but the one game that they lost is a game that Love missed.

    Some people may believe that either Love has declined or else he only is able to accumulate All-Star numbers as the lead guy for a losing squad. It is tempting to get caught up in what the numbers say but what really matters is a player’s skill set and how that skill set impacts both his team and the opposing team.

    A player’s skill set is best evaluated by the good, old fashioned eye test. For instance, a player who is a credible outside shooting threat opens up the court even if he does not shoot a lot of three pointers, because the opposing team must assign a defender to chase him around the three-point arc. The only time that would not be the case is if that three-point shooter plays with teammates who just refuse to pass him the ball; then his shooting skill set would not matter, because the opposing team could rely on the fact that the shooter’s teammates would nullify his potential impact.

    Unless a player’s skills erode due to age and/or injury, yearly fluctuations in his statistics probably do not accurately depict his value and impact. The numbers say that Chris Bosh became a lesser player in Miami than he was in Toronto but the truth is that he just adjusted his game to what best suited the Heat’s needs.

    Miami coach Erik Spoelstra often called Bosh the team’s most important player. Love is not Cleveland’s most important player but he is important in ways that statistics do not completely reveal. When Love is on the court, opposing defences must respect his outside shooting touch while also being wary of the possibility that he will post up a smaller defender.

    When LeBron James has an open driving lane because Love’s defender will not leave him, Love deserves some credit for the ensuing statistics (field goal made, points, shooting percentages) that are added to James’ totals. Love could go through stretches during which he does not even attempt a shot but he still made an impact because his presence deterred a potential help defender from ‘cheating’ to form a wall against James.

    What can/should the Cavs do without Love? They will almost certainly experiment with small line-ups featuring James at power forward. The downside to this is if the Cavs go too small and limit Timofey Mozgov’s minutes then they are nullifying a player who made important contributions as the Cavs soared from a sub-.500 record to legitimate championship contention.

    The Cavs could also just insert Tristan Thompson in Love’s place and count on Thompson’s energy and athleticism to make up for Love’s shooting prowess and rebounding tenacity.

    Cleveland has enough to get by Chicago even without Kevin Love. However, the further the Cavs advance the more he will be missed, as sophisticated defences do everything possible to frustrate James mentally, physically and emotionally.

    David Friedman
    David Friedman

    David Friedman has covered the NBA for more than a decade, and in doing so, has interviewed nearly two dozen members of the NBA's 50 Greatest Players List. You can find his work at 20SecondTimeout.

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    The Crowd Says (10)

    • May 4th 2015 @ 3:13pm
      Rarojuice said | May 4th 2015 @ 3:13pm | ! Report

      Firstly I really don’t think Love’s relationship with Lebron is any near as bad as the media portray it.

      Although his numbers dropped this year, it is very good production for a third option on any team, and his absence will definitely be felt as you said.

      With Love they were championship contenders. Pretty incredible considering all the hype, attention and criticism at the start of the year saying its not working.

      I would be surprised if they get past Chicago without Love. Only way I can see it is if Kyrie goes into 50 point takeover mode while Lebron carries the rest of the baggage.

      • May 5th 2015 @ 12:38pm
        Melissa said | May 5th 2015 @ 12:38pm | ! Report

        I agree ,how do people know how LeBron and Love feel about each other? After tonight he certainly knows Love is a very important part of their team ! Think we would have easily won with him.

    • May 4th 2015 @ 3:26pm
      Steve said | May 4th 2015 @ 3:26pm | ! Report

      I had the Cavs being Eastern Conference champions, now Im not so sure. I think they will get past Chicago, but it will be difficult. I fully expect Lebron and Kyrie to step it up massively now.

    • Editor

      May 4th 2015 @ 4:57pm
      Tristan Rayner said | May 4th 2015 @ 4:57pm | ! Report

      Not a bad piece David although if Thompson starts, there’s no one to come in for Mozgov, and it would seem they’ll be picked off by shooters as they’re short wingman JR Smith to start the series.

      It’ll be tough, but Chicago are just wobbly enough to get by, I think. The demolition of the Bucks in that final game is a wake-up call, and they’ll be harder to beat at home than Boston.

      • Roar Guru

        May 4th 2015 @ 6:21pm
        Tony Loedi said | May 4th 2015 @ 6:21pm | ! Report

        yeah Lebron has to play mostly at the 4. As Tristan alluded to, if Thompson starts, then PERKINS will be playing big minutes – Just to clarify, that is really bad.

      • Columnist

        May 5th 2015 @ 2:55am
        David Friedman said | May 5th 2015 @ 2:55am | ! Report

        Tristan:

        I should have clarified in the article that I meant start Thompson to keep the rest of the starters in their normal roles and then go small later in the game. If LeBron starts at power forward then at least one other player has to switch positions or be moved off of the bench (to play small forward, where LeBron normally starts).

        • Editor

          May 5th 2015 @ 3:04pm
          Tristan Rayner said | May 5th 2015 @ 3:04pm | ! Report

          Well, they started Miller, and it didn’t go too well you’d have to say! Hmm.

          • Columnist

            May 6th 2015 @ 11:48am
            David Friedman said | May 6th 2015 @ 11:48am | ! Report

            Tristan:

            In most cases, my inclination would be to make one change to the starting lineup instead of two but, as I indicated in the article, it is tempting to just go small with LeBron at power forward. Presumably, Blatt knows his roster and knows which guys are best suited to various roles, which matchups are favorable, etc.

            • Columnist

              May 8th 2015 @ 5:37am
              David Friedman said | May 8th 2015 @ 5:37am | ! Report

              Tristan:

              Starting Thompson at power forward and keeping LeBron at small forward worked pretty well in game two.

    • Roar Guru

      May 4th 2015 @ 6:24pm
      Tony Loedi said | May 4th 2015 @ 6:24pm | ! Report

      Still think the Cavs should win. Lebron is such a tough matchup playing power forward. Noah’s banged up, Gasol and Mirotic can’t play D – Tough series for the Bulls even without Love

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