Formula One strategy: Is Mercedes making the right calls?

By Michael Lamonato / Expert

It was a beautifully judged but poorly timed victory for Nico Rosberg when he crossed the Brazilian finishing line 7.7 seconds ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton.

Rosberg’s second consecutive win off the back of his fifth-straight pole position is the latest sign of Rosberg’s end-of-season resurgence.

He is recapturing the 2014 form that took the title fight to the final round, albeit it is far too late to secure him anything but runner-up in the 2015 drivers championship.

But even in the straightforward there can be controversy, with Lewis Hamilton’s fortnight-long suggestion that Mercedes has been showing Rosberg undue “warmth” to counterbalance his despondency after losing the title finally coming to a head.

Mercedes refused to put its star driver on an alternative strategy to help him ease past the German in the Brazilian Grand Prix.

For the entire season, spanning back into last season, Mercedes has always played it safe when it comes to strategy. They prioritise clean one-two finishes and, in doing so, the lead driver of the day, to achieve its goal – but with both titles sewn up Hamilton believed there was no need to keep the status quo.

“I’m here to race,” he declared on the podium. “When you both have to [pit] pretty much the same order it’s kind of already set from the beginning.

“For sure I’m like, ‘If there are any other strategies, let’s do it, let’s take a risk, let’s do whatever’ … I think that’s what people want to see.”

Unspoken by Hamilton, however, is the second reason for Mercedes’s conservatism: it would be only a matter of time until the strategy applied to one driver disproportionately disadvantaged him over the other, potentially upsetting the team’s precarious internal harmony.

Even if the team and drivers accepted this risk, opening strategy choice would involve dividing the garage into two teams, which Mercedes has worked tirelessly to avoid. But worse still it opens both sides of the garage to take their eyes of the ultimate prize as they sought to inflict maximum damage on their most immediate opponent.

The team’s position on the matter solidified over 12 months, bookended by the 2014 and 2015 Hungarian grands prix.

Last year the two-stopping Hamilton’s refusal to allow his three-stopping teammate past resulted in Rosberg missing an opportunity to challenge Daniel Ricciardo for victory.

This year, with both cars forced into the midfield after messy opening laps, the two drivers were forced to adopt different strategies leading to Rosberg choosing to cover Hamilton at his final pit stop rather than gamble for the win – the result was a crash for Rosberg and a victory for Ferrari’s Sebastian Vettel.

Add to the mixture Mercedes’s own-goal in Monaco where it tried to appease Hamilton’s misinformed desire to make an extra tyre stop, and it become obvious why Mercedes is averse to pitting strategist against strategist.

The potential to set precedents notwithstanding, Hamilton called for strategy freedom because the team had nothing to lose, so had no reason not to allow its drivers to put on a show. Should it have allowed him an alternative strategy on this basis?

On two levels Hamilton’s claims fall down. On one he disregards the fact that Rosberg seemed capable of executing a two-stop strategy, albeit a marginal one, and that both cars converted to three-stop strategies because Hamilton tried unsuccessfully to pass Rosberg during the second stint, destroying his tyres as a result. In fairness an alternative strategic opportunity should never have presented itself to him.

On a second level, Hamilton’s claim to wanting to put on a show for the fans is disingenuous.

An alternative strategy, if it had proved faster, would likely have had him pass Rosberg during the third pit stops, which is hardly the sort of on-track action Hamilton said he was appealing for.

Rather than try to bargain with his team to provide him with an unfair advantage, Hamilton should instead take the advice he freely issued to Rosberg when their positions were reversed at this year’s Chinese Grand Prix: make the pass.

“It’s not my job to look after Nico’s race,” he said, responding to Rosberg’s claims he had driven deliberately slowly to back him into the pursuing Ferraris knowing his identical Mercedes car couldn’t make a pass for the lead.

“If Nico wanted to get by, he could have tried. But he didn’t.”

What must really sting for Rosberg is that he was lambasted after the Chinese Grand Prix for, admittedly unedifyingly, accepting the agreed intra-team status quo rather than demand his team give him a leg-up.

Maybe it was hard for the newly crowned world champion to admit it, but without what would have been a gross intervention of his team to give him a strategic advantage over the serene Rosberg in the lead, Hamilton simply did not have the measure of his teammate in Brazil.

Perhaps he can try again in Abu Dhabi.

Follow @MichaelLamonato on Twitter.

The Crowd Says:

2015-11-21T19:04:50+00:00

tim

Guest


Deloreans on the grid would bring in a whole new fan base.

AUTHOR

2015-11-18T03:18:35+00:00

Michael Lamonato

Expert


"He is naturally a complete prat as well as a great driver." No arguments from me there! Sure the results may no longer count to the championship given he's won it already, but it reflects poorly on him if he packs it in for the rest of the season. I'd even go so far as to say it's disrespectful to his competitors that it could even be considered that he no longer takes the sport seriously, no matter how few rounds it might last. Even if he isn't, the implication that he this is the case, as if to suggest that the results of Rosberg, Vettel, or anyone else can only come about because he isn't trying (or, as he might say" just isn't feelin' it") is pretty poort.

2015-11-17T13:16:26+00:00

Rodney Gordon

Expert


The problem with Hamilton's claim that he should be allowed to change strategy is that... they did! He was meant to be on a two stopper and they changed because of tyre wear and to cover off Vettel. So changing to a three stopper leaves Rosberg with two choices, stick with a two stopper or avoid tyre wear and cover off Hamilton. So why should Hamilton be allowed to change strategy, but not Rosberg?

2015-11-17T11:32:11+00:00

fivehole

Guest


Got a delorean has he, no wonder he won 100 years ago

2015-11-17T08:38:29+00:00

Simoc

Guest


I'm not sure about that Michael. The job is done. He is 1915 World Drivers Champion and Mercedes have won the title. He is naturally a complete prat as well as a great driver, and this is just another example. With Shumacher at Ferarri , he got his own way all the time and that is what Hamilton wants at Mercedes.

AUTHOR

2015-11-17T08:02:22+00:00

Michael Lamonato

Expert


Not to mention the way he behaved after the race, implying that the fact the team switched to a three stop, partly down to him wearing out his tyres and partly to cover Ferrari, proved that he was right all along and that he knows better than the team. It was refreshing to read Toto Wolff saying later in the day that if Hamilton were to choose his own strategies "he is going to lose every single race". Maybe you're right and Hamilton has been partying too hard. Maybe some of his Needs are outweighing The Need, but if Rosberg can beat him seemingly effortlessly twice and perhaps three times in a row, it makes him look like a pretty shabby champion — even if he's the quickest driver out there, you can't just switch in on only when you have The Need (for Speed).

2015-11-16T22:46:31+00:00

Rodney Gordon

Expert


A lot of great points brought up here, Michael. I don't really think Mercedes are on the wrong track with their overall approach to strategy as much as they are simply unable to control Hamilton's ego. The nonsense part of Hamilton's argument is that a) He should be given preferential treatment, which after qualifying second and failing to get ahead of Rosberg in the race I don't see any justification for and b) During races such as Hungary last year where he ignored requests from the team to assist Rosberg ahead of making an extra pit stop, he set a precident that race strategy is not on his radar and position should be fought for, at least when it suits him. Arguments from the Hamilton camp that Rosberg was granted "contra" strategies in Spain and Bahrain last year are also pretty weak when you consider that he was simply given a different compound of tyre rather than making more/less stops. Hamilton's comments this weekend were just more insufferable verbal diarrhoea to disguise the reality; he has been parting instead of preparing for races and as a result has lost The Need.

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