Are these Bulls as good as advertised?

By Justin Ahrns / Roar Pro

There is no denying the Chicago Bulls have been the talk of the NBA for much of the off-season.

Having traded Derrick Rose, lost Joakim Noah to the Knicks, gained Rajon Rondo and Dwyane Wade, as well as winning the NBA Summer League, Chicago have been busy.

But will all this activity actually result in success? Or is the formation of Dwyane Wade, Rajon Rondo and Jimmy Butler as a big-3 a three-car pile-up waiting to happen? Here I examine the numbers on the offensive end for Chicago’s starting five.

We all know of Jimmy Butler’s rapid rise up the NBA ranks, Dwyane Wade’s plethora of accomplishments, and Rajon Rondo’s ability to pass the ball.

We also know that the Bulls starting five of Rondo, Wade, Butler, Taj Gibson and Robin Lopez have no floor spacing.

Here is how they ranked in several offensive categories:

In 2016, Wade was 94th in the league in two-point field goal percentage, Butler was ranked 56th, and Rondo at 69th. Taj Gibson failed to crack the top-100, and Robin Lopez ranked a solid 17th.

Now onto three point percentage.

Surprisingly, Rondo is the only Chicago projected starter to be top-100 in 2016 three-point percentage, shooting 36.5 per cent. That is 68th in the NBA.

Finally, free-throw shooting. Wade shot a respectable 79 per cent from the line last season; Butler shot 83 per cent, Lopez 80 per cent, and Rondo and Gibson were both well below 75 per cent, with Rondo shooting a dreadful 58 per cent.

Looking deeper into the metrics, Gibson and Butler both ranked top-20 last season in offensive rating (the amount of points produced per 100 possessions).

Robin Lopez helped round out the top 50, ranked 46th, while Chicago’s two biggest recruits, Wade and Rondo, were not in the top 50.

Looking at effective field goal percentage (a stat which adjusts the fact that a three is of more value than a two), Robin Lopez is Chicago’s only player in the top 50, ranked 24th.

Finally, the points per shot statistic does not look good for Chicago either, with Butler being their only player in the top 50, ranked 36th.

Chicago’s newly formed starting five is a statistical nightmare on the offensive end. The numbers are not good whether you look at three-point percentage, two-point percentage or any other metric.

Chicago is going to have to rely on their ability to create good chemistry, and use their three stars to put the ball in the basket.

To compare, four of Golden State’s starters ranked in the top 50 in three-point percentage, including two in the top five.

Three of their five starters were in the top 40 in two-point percentage. They also had three players in the top 20 in effective field goal percentage.

Now, we know the lofty standards the Warriors set on offense, winning 73 regular season games. But the gap in the two offenses, considering the talent on Chicago’s roster, is alarming for Chicago’s championship chances.

They will need to be great defensively, and defy the numbers offensively. No one is saying it is impossible, but don’t be surprised if Chicago fail to meet expectations in 2017.

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2016-08-01T05:03:20+00:00

Justin Ahrns

Roar Pro


The only thing that is good is that it may attract big free agents in the future and establish Chicago as a top free agent destination. But youre right, front office are clueless and contradicting themselves!

AUTHOR

2016-08-01T05:02:00+00:00

Justin Ahrns

Roar Pro


Agree with you 100 per cent. Not sure what the front office is doing with that team!

AUTHOR

2016-08-01T05:01:32+00:00

Justin Ahrns

Roar Pro


Agree. but the punters obviously fancy the Bulls chances

2016-08-01T01:21:21+00:00

astro

Guest


We may disagree on Rondo being a decent PG and Russ being above Curry in the PG rankings, but I'm in complete agreement with you about the Bulls. They'll be more disappointing this season than last season when they missed the playoffs. Two teams in the NBA made absolutely no sense this off-season...The Magic and the Bulls. Exactly what Chicago are trying to achieve with the Wade and Rondo signings, I have no clue. They have a good, young group of players led by Butler with Portis, Mirotic and Gibson. They moved Noah and Gasol to free up playing time for these guys, and should have looked to bring in a young point guard and wings to help build the core. Instead they sign two slow veterans, who over-dribble, don't defend well, and need the ball to succeed, thereby taking shots away from Butler. So weird...

2016-08-01T00:29:34+00:00

joe

Guest


Just because Chicago are better odds than the Knicks dosent make them some sort of contender. I wouldn't be using the betting markets as your guide to a teams chances of winning a title. Especially when its a "public" team that attracts money regardless of the teams actual chances of winning. Certain teams attract the casual bettor no matter what. Teams like the Cubs, the Red Sox, Steelers to name just a few.

2016-07-31T12:46:10+00:00

Swampy

Guest


Chicago have some interesting parts but there seems no plan at all as to the team they are building. Don't forget they let gasol walk. Doug McBuckets, Bobby Portis & Nikola Mirotic are handy players but will be scrapping for minutes again.

AUTHOR

2016-07-31T09:33:17+00:00

Justin Ahrns

Roar Pro


Sportsbet have Chicago at $31 to win the championship. To compare, New York are $51. I'd say Chicago should be more $50-60. Agree though, the East is deep so a top 6 finish would be all they could hope for, and yeah.. matchups are KEY come playoff time!

2016-07-31T07:27:24+00:00

joe

Guest


I'm not sure the Bulls are even advertised to be good? Where are you seeing this? If all goes well (avoiding major injuries etc) they could be a 4 or 5 seed in the East IMO. But a lot has to happen for them to be seeded that high come playoff time. I actually think the Denzel Valentine kid from Michigan St is gonna be a real decent NBA player.If he pans out like I think & Wade, Gibson, Butler can avoid major injuries the Bulls will be competitive. Rondo is a complete basket case.He is a liability & a locker room cancer. So they're gonna need him on his best behavior & that seems unlikely. I think in likelihood they scrape into the playoffs probably a 7 seed. From there it's about matchups, injuries, momentum.

AUTHOR

2016-07-30T22:36:48+00:00

Justin Ahrns

Roar Pro


You hear different things from different people. Many expect the Bulls should do really good considering their roster.

2016-07-30T17:48:15+00:00

Peeeko

Guest


Ai don't get this, everyone in chicago is gait be about the bulls at the moment. Don't know where you heard otherwise

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