Saturday Sure Things: Zipping Classic Day preview

By Adam Page / Roar Guru

The long awaited return to Sandown is finally here on Saturday for Zipping Classic Day.

The track has had a really good break since the last meeting, so here’s hoping it holds up well.

Here is my quick look at quaddie races, which are races seven through to ten.

Race Seven: Zipping Classic 2400m

Can’t believe that $6 was offered all-in for Who Shot Thebarman. His Melbourne Cup effort was a ripper, and he spanked them in this race last year and is going much better 12 months on.

The other eye catching effort was from Beautiful Romance. She got a long way back and made up a stack of ground late. Back to 2400m suits, WFA doesn’t.

Big Orange couldn’t dominate the Cup from the front and that was the end of his chances. He can dominate this contest and take some holding out.

Keen on Who Shot Thebarman, ahead of Beautiful Romance, Big Orange and Almoonqith.

Race Eight: Kevin Heffernan Stakes 1300m

Landed with Illustrious Lad but with not much confidence in a hard event. He was super in winning down the straight on Derby Day and now seems the right time to tackle 1300m. Wide gate is a worry.

Super Cash also ran down the straight on Derby Day against the mares and she was enormous in defeat given she was nearer the inside, which clearly wasn’t the place to be.

Santa Ana Lane had no luck at the Valley last time out and I am expecting that race to hold up as a form reference. He is flying and just needs luck.

Going with Illustrious Lad, to beat Super Cash, Santa Ana Lane and Under The Louvre.

Race Nine: Eclipse Stakes 1800m

I’d declare Tucanchoo if he drew a gate, but I am still happy to be in his corner. His run over 1800m on Cup Day behind Fabrizio was full of merit. He is third up now, so he should be ready fitness and only needs to overcome the tricky gate to win.

Cool Chap was given a 12/10 from McEvoy last time out on Oaks Day and it took a horse in career best form, The Chairman, to nab him. Better with something to chase and he gets a barrier to make that happen.

Gabella is one at a price to include. 1600m is too short and 2000m is too long, so 1800m is ideal for this mare who was good in a strong form race at the Valley.

Clearly with Tucanchoo, to beat Cool Chap, Gabella and Plot The Course.

Race Ten: Summoned Stakes 1500m

Four week freshen up should do the Team Snowden prepared Extensible the world of good. Luckless in the Angst and that form has been franked via Dixie Blossoms and co in the Myer. She has reacted big time off a break before and Bowman steers. Keen.

Metaphorical is racing very well this time in but just can’t quite get the breaks to go her way. It took an in form mare in Sort After to beat her last start and she came out and ran a beauty in the Matriarch.

Value runner is Onemorezeta, who is out of form but gets McEvoy and the compressed weights help her.

Good bet for me in Extensible, ahead of Metaphorical, Onemorezeta and Shillelagh.

In other races at Sandown:

1. Vinland, trialled well and McEvoy steers.
2. Redkirk Warrior, only has upside, nearly a good thing.
3. Qewy, brings his Cup run and he’ll bolt in.
4. O’Malley, drawn awkwardly but has the turn of foot.
5. Prompt Response, finally draws a gate, keen.
6. Morton’s Fork, hard fit and ready to go, looks the winner with normal luck..

Don’t forget to check twitter @AdamPage1991 for more tips right across the weekend.

Good luck and happy punting!

The Crowd Says:

2016-11-12T11:11:42+00:00

Johnybulldog

Guest


Wow thank you so much mate ive been punting all my life im 36 yrs old i do my own form & bet every saturday without fail i just love horse racing. I got the trifecta on the cup in the early days subzero,veandacross n castle town n ive been hooked ever since.I just came on the roar by chance & i take everything in with tips ie dean lester,the duff etc n i take them with a grain of salt mate as u r the best tipster ive ever known.u take the time to give us ur good oil on adams n cams pages n im very thankfull along with razzar,jv joef ,awol,n all the racing fans who contribute. Are u a pro mate? Ha dont answer that alot of people hide their tips n i understand why but u share the love....thanks andrew ur a smarter investor than i am glad i take ur advice what a great spring i cant thank u enough cheers mate all the best

2016-11-12T07:41:09+00:00

andrew

Guest


johnyy, thanks mate. cleaned up today. first time ever i got the early quad (no spoil) and the main quad (for 100%). suffice to say it was a very profitable day. im in melbourne, and a regular at all the caul meetings, closest i get to tamworth is my annual summer holiday with the family to caloundra at kings beach. fair to say its been a pretty profitable spring with my accounts well in the black since 1 august (the date all my records are set to). glad i have steered you into a few. hopefully, there is a racing post each week over non-carnival times, if so, i;ll keep posting my selections. i cant be bothered setting up a proper post, and having to worry about grammar, etc...

2016-11-12T05:51:14+00:00

Johnybulldog

Guest


Go the hussler doubled my bet had $200 on the nose thanks andrew gee i owe u a few beers mate if ur ever up Tamworth way

2016-11-12T02:15:33+00:00

Johnybulldog

Guest


Not a bad start andrew well done

2016-11-11T22:31:49+00:00

Johnybulldog

Guest


Cheers andrew good luck mate like your thinking

2016-11-11T22:10:18+00:00

andrew

Guest


Change in process. Selections on sat morn from now. Just more certainty with scr and markets, race shape, weather. 1 – not my thing specifically, but have a reliable source who has stable links advising kedleston is ‘very smart’. Thats good enough for me to have a speculative wager 2 – small field, but a few on pacers and two who have blinkers first time. Hard not to be impressed with debut aust run of redkirk warrior, scr last sat when i was keen and was well backed early, in a similar grade race. Whilst a lot of these have been up for a while, this boy is can only improve off 1st up run. Well enough found in the market, but reckon you might get an ease close to $3 and that will do me. 3 – qewy deserved fave given cup run and distance form and lack of opposition. Weight is well and truly earnt and prob not enough. Well enough found in market though. $3 promo with betstar appealing, but only for $50, so hardly worth it. I’ll take that have a saver swacadelic who has to make up several lengths from geelong cup on qwey but gets big weight swing and ran well on cup day with big weight. Or maybe a quin/exacta qwey and swacadelic 4 – speed should be good and most of the main chances come through the omalley race on cox plate day. Omalley was my best of day that day, but not so keen here, gate 1 no spoil, and expect bullpit to lead 3-4 wide with only a dog leg bend to encounter and he can keep going for sure. If you go around that formline a bit as it wasn’t a strong race (ie, gun case beaten last night) and siding with husson eagle who is no doubt on a magic millions path but with good speed can sprint well fresh and class wise is well graded 2kg over the limit with the bowler compressing the weights below. Having a split bullpit/husson eagle. 5 – no firm view. Form is all there are exposed. angharad has had no luck with barriers/race patterns both run and has done well both times. Quick feet was 5 weeks between runs last time and could improve and draws for perfect midfield sit. Another bullseye had a crack at 1600m and her run on caul cup was good. 6 – market is about right. Very few winning chances. Mortons deserved fave and a repeat of prior run puts it clearly as one to beat. Im on jen lynn though at $6 all in. A bit of value, but she is no good thing. Farawat town next best who i also backed ew at $12 all in. But no firm push now final field is out from me. 7 – thank god Jamie spencer is off big orange. I have not back him either cup, but his rides have been poor on a free rolling horse, whose best runs have been when allowed lead and roll. The level weights suit him and he is worth a bet at $5 or so 8 – 1 and 2 bring the class and WFA form, and the test to this race is lining up their non winning form in tougher races. Im siding with that formline at the WFA scale. Never much between lourve and hussler when they have clashed. Thier last runs were similar also, with hussler covering more ground and louvre poking through the field. That was on soft ground, drier ground suits hussler more. But, more so, i lean hussler as he is earlier on in a prep and has had 2 ‘soft’ runs at MV in WFA races. In fact his last 3 runs have been in G1, WFA races at MV over 1200m. So this is a more suitable distance, track and class. You don’t have to go back very far in his form card to find enough runs that would make him a $2.50 chance in this. Also, he has the ounce more tactical speed than under the louvre, so he can make use of the barrier and sit maybe 5th or 6th. 9 – no firm view. Main market chances come through cup day fabrizio race, where tuchanchoo beat them all home,but there were some ordinary rides from the beaten brigade. Forced to pick on, id go for cool chap who comes from diff form line and is ready to win and tried to lead on oaks day, but should get a sit here which suits better. 10 – best of the day coming up again. And not mug or desperate punting. But quite keen silent sedition again. Who ran well on cup day, just a bit one paced, but it wasn’t a bad run. Love the wide draw, with another on pacers drawn just inside her and the long run to the first bend from the 1500m start at sand. Expect her to come across and sit 2nd. She should be cherry ripe now 3rd up whereas other are more at back end of prep. Ratings wise, she is clearly the best rated runner in this race, and weight scale is very suitable. Confident she can turn tables on shellegaigh. And whilst i like snowden horses, extensible not in same class at sildent seditin for mine, she has been well placed to built a good record,but wasn’t up to it first go at stakes level and is now end of prep. The barrier and weight combo and big field should ensure a good price. Over in ADL, i like mail it in who won well last time and likes the parks circuit (3 from 3 this track/trip) and time walker a progressive horse from stokes/tourner combo in a weak race who comes to town but strikes a weak race and is out of caul cup placegetter (laebeel) and limited exposure to staying races is good including last start win and a few goes as a 3yo in group races.

2016-11-11T09:28:22+00:00

Johnybulldog

Guest


Your thought please andrew?

2016-11-10T00:31:33+00:00

Razzar

Guest


Like the twighlight stakes. Good speed,, and race has exposed form. Sword of Light backs up after great run last run facing breeze,, brr' concern,, but with cover a chance $7 Prompt Response,, her race to lose?... Not quite... But will be there for long way. $4.50 Quick Feet, should race with some cover, & on her day can win $13 Angharad steps up to 1400...good profile for this,, cover with solid tempo, makes her a top winning chance. $7 rating. Good luck punters

2016-11-10T00:13:19+00:00

andrew

Guest


$6 was on offer who shot bar man because llyod had several nomed for the race . once it was declared they would not run around 10am on tues, the market adjusted significantly. if you 'knew' llyod was not running these horses prior, then yes, $6 was a good price. but if they did run, its price would have been longer. i dont think it was a case wild overs, more just uncertainty as to final field composition.

2016-11-10T00:11:28+00:00

Razzar

Guest


Like the Sandown Guiness for a bet Saturday...solid pace expected, and the rain expected shouldnt change condition too much. Sword of Light , faced a stiff wind straightening last week,, yet held on well. Brr'r 18 a concern,, but if she settles about 3 to 4 pairs back shes in with a chance, $7 rating. Prompt Response, ticks boxes everywhere,, only slight negative, is being to close to front. $4.50 rating. Quick feet has been up a while, but last run ok, when on Cup Day track raced a little prickly. She should get cover to run into it late. $13 rating. Angharad now 3rd up,, profiles well for the step up to 1400,, should posie well. $7 rating. Good luck punters

2016-11-09T22:59:59+00:00

Uglykiwi

Guest


I'm with you.......... Not my Fav track!! Should stick to mid weeks only.

2016-11-09T18:23:53+00:00

correct sometimes

Guest


long awaited return? no not really

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