This plan to beat the All Blacks is a little old-school but tell me I'm wrong

By Roy Hose / Roar Rookie

Now we are at the end of the year, we have to decide how we are going to beat the All Blacks.

I write as someone who is not familiar with the modern game and has seen too little rugby this year.

That said, there are some things about rugby that never change – the first of which is the very old adage “know thy enemy”.

I think few would disagree that the All Blacks:

People would have their own lists of the “so ons”.

I would like to explore four ways that we can actually deliver on which will challenge some key strengths that form the basis of their self-belief.

I think that, primarily, we should set out to challenge their mindset. Upset their equilibrium, so to speak.

Which of their strengths when pressured is most likely to challenge that mindset? Which pressure would we be most able to deliver on? What is changing?

There is one easy answer to the last question – we have a skills coach so now we are more likely to be able to deliver on some of our plans.

The easier answers for us to the first two questions might possibly be

    An aggressive physical approach to the game
    Super fitness and strength levels
    An attack to challenge their defence

    A defence to frustrate their attack

Thank goodness for that skills coach. He will be busy.

To expand on the above:

1. There is no excuse for not picking a tight five that can provide an aggressive physical approach to the game – the players can be seen to exist.

An aggressive back row would be Michael Hooper (7), Lopeti Timani (8) and Sean McMahon (6). While Hooper is not as physically challenging as the other two, there is one hell of a lot of the “fight in the dog” about him. David Pocock’s absence thankfully ends the Pooper fiasco. The stats from the World Cup final said that it did not work at the top level, thanks largely to the tactical genius of the All Blacks).

Of course, such a backrow brings into question our effectiveness in the set plays. Maybe Timani and McMahon could be used in combo to pressure one of their jumpers. McMahon, in particular, might be useful on our own throws.

Some people might go for Scott Fardy or Dean Mumm for their lineout capacity it depends on how you would play the game. They, however, do not have McMahon’s presence around the paddock.

If I could find a 4, 5, 6, and 8 who could jump and play at this level, I would dearly love a crack at the All Black lineout – that would upset them. I want four jumpers so we can play two of ours on one of theirs.

I presume we have taken the trouble to analyse why, when, and where they throw to the lineout and under what particular circumstances. We do have world class callers to exploit the situation. Ireland proved that by putting the pressure on the All Blacks, you can cause them problems. If only we can do likewise.

2. Speaks for itself. We must be the hardest and fittest.

3. A backline that might challenge the defence pattern, causing some consternation:

If time back with Genia does not help Quade Cooper – is the alleged Cooper mindset about playing the All Blacks real or not? – then we look to Foley.

My reservations about Foley relate to my perception of him as a player who is good on the front foot – less so off the back foot. Sadly, there does not appear to be another one of our succession of great five-eighths on the horizon. The left field, of course, throws up names like James O’Connor.

Admittedly the centres would be switching from their most recent positions – I just think their skills and abilities are better utilised my way. The experience they have had in the alternative positions would actually be of real benefit to them in any case.

Finally, it is a funny thing that Australia has seen the need to garner the All Black skills coach, even if he is an Aussie himself.

Way back in the 1970/80’s coaches were expected to teach the forwards how to run, pass, support, read the game and so on.

Backs were to be taught why, when and how to hit the rucks, as well as the usual back skills such as how to be effective in attack and mastering the variety of kicks and so on. For example, a five-eight had to know how to kick a grubber so that it stood up for the pursuers after it had travelled a predetermined distance. Forwards and backs were expected to work in conjunction as a single unit to deliver game plans and so on.

Yes, I know changes in the game mean that some new skills are needed to build on the existing base.

If we really do need an imported skills coach to give us a crash course on the new skills, then what the hell has been going on in Australian rugby in recent times?

Respected judges of Australian rugby have said too often that watching our top rep sides train is not always a pleasant experience.

There is, then, no way in the world I will accept that what is going on in our rep sides is always even satisfactory, let alone ground breaking.

The appointment of a national skills coach is merely the start, albeit an important one.

The Crowd Says:

2016-12-22T07:30:37+00:00

Rick Page

Guest


At the moment Australia doesn't have the same standard of players as the AB's, nor the scrum, the line out, defence and coaching nous but mostly it comes down to the players. If you don't have the cattle you wont be as good but also Hansen and Wayne Smith can't be out coached either. No one at International level has that amount of coaching experience and accrued expertise or level of success, even when compared to previous AB coaches including Ted and shamefully for NZRFU, Fred Allen never got the chance to prove himself over a long period, so i don't rate his his 100% over a much lower number of tests, though he might have been the greatest of them all given the chance.

2016-12-19T23:19:42+00:00

taylorman

Guest


Yes bakkies exactly my point. End of year, nothing on them matches. In the matches that mattered they beat Oz 6 tries to 1, 4 tries to 1 and 4 tries to 0- far and away ahead of anything England did to them. They also beat Wales 6 tries to 0, 5 to 3 and 5-2, SA, as ide Ireland lost twice to, 6 tries to 1 and 9 tries to 0, Argie 8-0 and 5-2. No one else got close to that sort of standard during the year. Cherry pick all you need to, but if you think the Lions are going to be facing the side that Ireland or France played then you'll be kidding yourself. They wont be strong as a well moulded unit who know eachothers abilities like their own brothers, most of them will be listening to a coach theyre used to despising over the years of the 6N, like Hansen being the coach of a bunch of Aussies and South Africans...Except they'll all be thinking that their own coach is better than he is....doesnt work at short notice.

2016-12-19T22:48:07+00:00

Bakkies

Guest


Nonsense tman you nearly lost to a rag tag directionless French team. There were handling errors galore by the ABs in that match and the French had you rattled. Luckily for you the French execution and decision making cost them the win. Cutting down space, strong kicking game and putting pressure on the scrumhalf is vital for the Lions and they will have a stronger squad to pull it off.

2016-12-19T17:57:35+00:00

Taylorman

Guest


Only problem Bakkies is if you make the mistake of holding up the Chicago match as a way of beating the ABs I think you'll be sadly disappointed. For instance it's not a formula that will be reproducable during the Lions tour where the motivation, planning, selection and execution will be so much more accurate. Even the ABs are allowed an off day so as a template for winning...Chicago is not. The points you make are valid, but they were also rarely seen in any other match in the last few years, again suggesting a one offness to the way it played out. It wasn't a typical AB performance. And that is why NZers were generally able to take the loss so easily. We knew it would be a one off in terms of the result, and so it proved.

2016-12-19T11:18:03+00:00

Bakkies

Guest


Ireland didn't finish off the entries in to the ABs 22. At least two tries were held up it got to within 5 points heading in to the last quarter of the game The patterns were similar in 2013 to Chicago where the tries were finished off in the first half with a big lead built but the difference was the back part of the second half wasn't managed well. Sexton over thought a pen with a dodgy leg, had he kicked it an 8 point lead with minimal time left (Madigan was willing to come on and take the kick) then kicking the ball out with a knock on advantage that led to the ref awarding play on. Ireland, instead of maintaining the ball off the scrum never got the ball back. The ref fessed up to his own mistakes afterwards but rightly that was never covered pillor to post in the press. It was more about the lost opportunity to get the first win against NZ. The ABs sledged the team when the Women beat NZ in their World Cup in Paris (Schmidt was at the match) then the 20s did the same in June. That would of cut to the bone to add further motivation

2016-12-18T23:53:34+00:00

Old Bugger

Guest


Bakkies Great summary for Chicago's game.....but, how would you summarise Dublin's game because it seems to me, that the only difference between both games, was the final score. Ireland won all the stats again except, the FT score.

2016-12-18T23:37:51+00:00

Old Bugger

Guest


BF And that's Larko's and Cheik's problem.....Either their plans include 6 & 7 roaming outside with the backs or excludes them. Methinks its the latter but those two, wonder around the paddock as though they have licence to do so, instead of concentrating on their key roles, as you suggest......well sometimes they do and unfortunately in Poey's case, the one time he gets himself into a catch/pass scenario, he gives up an intercept and try-sealing win, in the last test. If its sometimes, then they just need to make sure that they pick, the right "sometime".....and become the link to provide an overlap not make an overlap, with a silly pass open to an intercept.

2016-12-18T21:52:01+00:00

Bakkies

Guest


The Irish win in Chicago pointed out a few key things in what teams need to do. France were nearly there but their discipline and decision making fell short. - Ball retention. Ireland played a ball in hand game but it was incredibly accurate 96% ruck accuracy. NZ had more run metres but far less possession particularly in the first twenty minutes. - Discipline. Apart from the Canada match where 9 penalties were conceded trying to break down a stubborn Canada side, Ireland gave away 5 or less penalties in each of the three matches. This prevented the ABs from making easy entries in to Ireland's half. Ireland on the other hand benefited from a rack of penalties early on in the first half which led to easy exits and field position from Sexton's boot. The lineout was efficient enough to retain the ball. Apart from Toner it wasn't a tall lineout with multiple targets. It was simple with no shuffling of players creating moving targets for the thrower. - Breakdown management. This cut down the penalties and the Irish backrow were straight on to Aaron Smith who was either nailed or threw a wild pass to his flyhalf. This nullified Barrett. When Smith was dragged Perenara brought the ABs back in to it against a tiring defence in warm conditions. Schmidt made the changes with strong impact players coming on at the right time then the mistakes came back in to the ABs game. The usually accurate passing in the backs fell apart and coughed up ground. It also gave the wingers very little room. Trimble was immense and accurate with his tackles on Savea. Often driven backwards with low hits that isolated him or in touch. Take note going high or lifting the legs risks a card or just a penalty. These were proper tackles with strong technique. Trimble is not a big unit with broad shoulders either. Savea's decision making fell apart later on pinned in to his own 22 by an accurate kick and chase Savea failed to get boot to ball then was driven in to the ingoal by at least three defenders. It was only a four point game at this stage. The kick came from a scrum option that Ireland took from their own half after a forward pass went in to touch. ABs often counter from their own goal line but the Irish chase was so good cutting out space forcing the attackers to make rash decisions. - Accurate kicking. Ireland often didn't kick it out. Carbery's kick was one of the few play to the corners kicks that went out on the hop. The kicks pinned the ABs towards the touchline with ver little room to run it out. Perfect length was put on it for the chasers to make the hit. - Converting entries in to the ABs 22 in to points. This created a big lead. Sure it was pulled back in a twenty minute period after halftime but the subs made an impact.

2016-12-18T21:23:39+00:00

Bakkies

Guest


The biggest concern is the performance of the Schoolboys and under 20s teams on the pitch and the poor volumes of talent coming through to the pro sides. This has been on going for sometime. There hasn't been a batch of players come through at the same time since Phil Mooney's title winning under 19s side. Those players are now in their late 20s. The current under 20s side have resorted to picking bigger players but the results haven't improved.

2016-12-18T21:17:39+00:00

Bakkies

Guest


Douglas, Simmons and Higginbotham aren't going to cut it. Higginbotham apart from try to meat out justice to Richie has been average at test level

2016-12-18T21:13:15+00:00

Bakkies

Guest


The problem for the Reds is that their tight five is incredibly average. Jury is out on Stiles and his attack coach. It takes a season or two to eradicate MOCBall. Leinster did it by picking youngsters from their system, Reds have gone the other way by recruiting Dad's Army

2016-12-18T10:55:30+00:00

BF

Guest


Wrong Cheika has the players but he won't pick them, preferring his underperforming Waratah pets

2016-12-18T10:53:20+00:00

BF

Guest


You're over thinking it. The problem we have with our attack, is we have our #7 and #6 sea gulling out wide Who's going to win the breakdown? Who's going to get us on the front foot? How can we attack when Cheika's structure doesn't even incorporate basic breakdown management.

2016-12-18T10:05:52+00:00

davSA

Guest


Roy you are on the money. Its obvious that to beat the AB.s is simple (old school if you want to call it that.). Notice I said simple . Not easy . All the basics of rugby ie. scrums , lineouts, mauling , defensive patterns and attacking lines need to be executed without flaw. Then the right players need to be selected that can implement the basics to the required standard. As far as fitness is concerned it goes without saying that no one should be selected at international level if they are not at the required levels of conditioning. As far as skills are concerned this is where the All Blacks are ahead of all. They focus on skills from a young age. That is where other countries need to go to match them. Finally and it is becoming blatantly obvious , you need a fine coach to be able to put this all together. Witness how a Joe Schmidt can take Ireland from middle rankers to top side or an Eddie Jones doing huge things with England . I don't even need to mention Steve Hanson . Then to the other extreme how an Alistair Coetzee can coach a great side like the Springboks to mediocrity in less than a year. The role of the coach is clearly becoming more important than ever.

2016-12-18T07:16:33+00:00

Jacko

Guest


phantom He has not been the best Back in Aus at all this year and to be honest if Cheika wasnt a stubborn Wan..r then Folau should have been dropped or moved to the wing plenty of tests ago. He lacks natural feel for the game and playing him at FB shows him up. Put him on the wing where he has less thinking to do and let him loose. Even LOMU would not have made a FB and he was a far better rugby player than Folau will ever be.

2016-12-18T07:11:06+00:00

Jacko

Guest


The ABs dont play the Australian way. They play the NZ way. What is the "Australian way" anyway? Ive not seen anything from Cheika that tells me the current team is playing any specific way that could be called "Australian" Running is done by all teams, passing also, kicking also Its called rugby and no country has a monopoly on how its played. Attitude may have more to do with it than any "Aussie way"

AUTHOR

2016-12-16T22:34:39+00:00

Roy Hose

Roar Rookie


Dave, we disagree. I believe forcing the opposition to change its tactics after some hard thought is playing mind games. Their change may work for you (hopefully) or it may not (as in the World Cup final – the changed AB tactics were so well thought out and executed that our Popper threat was diffused.) I think Shane D puts my attempt to bring change to the lineout (even if that issue may not be so high on the Richter scale) as likely to be in the same failed category as the Pooper experiment. That does not mean we have to accept the status quo – that has gone on for far too long. Oh, for the days of the 2003 semi when AB panic prevailed.

2016-12-16T20:05:46+00:00

Phantom

Roar Rookie


Folau is the wallabies best back and needs more ball in promising situations. Wing is not that position.

2016-12-16T20:04:18+00:00

Phantom

Roar Rookie


Ella Lynah larkham yes, the others I think not.

2016-12-16T20:01:18+00:00

Phantom

Roar Rookie


Try for number 2

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