Super Rugby Round 3 tips and predictions: The early crow?

Brett McKay Columnist

By Brett McKay, Brett McKay is a Roar Expert

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    You all know the type, don’t you Roarers. The one person in the tipping comp who just happens to get a good start to the season with a few lucky tips, and suddenly thinks they’re better than Bill bloody McLaren.

    And let’s be honest, anyone can have a good week; we know that when we go into a competition in any given year.

    But two good weeks in a row? That’s pushing it. And when the sledging emails come in – mid-round, mind you! – that’s really pushing it.

    So, imagine the horror of the tipping panel when a very cocky email arrived in our Inboxes on Sunday morning, not just proclaiming his own greatness, but entering his Round 3 tips four full days before the deadline. I mean, honestly, the gall!!

    Roarers, I give you your current runaway leader.

    Harry. Bloody. Jones.

    Last week: Harry 7, everyone else 4.

    Harry – 6.13am AEDT Sunday morning
    “Howzit, lap dogs. Don’t let me lap you.

    “The cowbells will clang in Hamilton; the chief reason the Chiefs will win is an edge in team fitness. The Force’s turnover tactics will fail in Canberra. The Sharks will bite a hole in the SS Waratah.

    “The Blues will have the blues. The Reds will have red faces. The Cheetahs will run in 7-8 tries; let in 2-3.

    “The Stormers will blow the Kings down. The Lions will win the catfight.”

    TIPS: Chiefs, Brumbies, Highlanders, Crusaders, Stormers, Cheetahs, Sharks, Lions

    “Bloody Harry. Oh well, here goes nothing…

    “’Canes by plenty. Brumbies at home based on pure desperation, while I suspect the Sharks may have too much at home for the Waratahs, particularly up front.

    “I cannot tip the Reds based on last week’s performance, while the Cheetahs and Stormers should be comfortable winners. And given the Lions absences for varying reasons and the Jaguares first home game, let’s see what backing the Argentinians brings me.

    “In the game I found hardest to settle on, I have decided to jump on the Blues wagon. The Highlanders will be desperate to turn their season around and are more than capable despite the injuries but I am swayed by the likely starting pack for the Blues, and also their own determination to ensure their home games are secured. Blues it is, I think.”

    TIPS: Hurricanes, Brumbies, Blues, Crusaders, Cheetahs, Stormers, Sharks, Jaguares


    “What awful weekend of tipping I had, but let us see if can do better for this week. Harry is definitely making too much ground already.

    “The Chief will cook the Hurricanes on a hot fire. The Brumbies finally stop losing against the Force. The Sharks will be too strong and in high spirits when they face the Tahs.

    “The Highlanders will see off the Blues, I guess. Crusaders look to strong for the Reds. Cheetahs will run faster than wolves. The Kings will feel the Storm. I will gamble with Jaguares at home taking the Lions (I will be there to make sure it happens).”

    TIPS: Chiefs, Brumbies, Highlanders, Crusaders, Cheetahs, Stormers, Sharks, Jaguares

    Six points down, after just two rounds. Never mind the Rebels having the worst start to a season in recent memory…

    The Chiefs have started better than I expected, but the Hurricanes are playing pretty much perfect rugby at the moment. Or they were, until I wrote that.

    Brumbies by not many, and the Blues by one or two more than that. Cheetahs by plenty, Stormers by plenty, Sharks by enough. And I’m not getting fooled by the Lions not taking top players to South America again.

    And that just leaves Brisbane. There’s no reason why I should tip against the Crusaders. Even fewer why I should have any confidence in the Reds. But I refer you to my opening point. And to Nobes’ upcoming sure thing.

    Praise be to the upset.

    TIPS: Hurricanes, Brumbies, Blues, Reds, Cheetahs, Stormers, Sharks, Jaguares

    Get your tips in now – The Crowd’s tips will be revealed after 5pm AEDT Friday, before kick-off in the Chiefs-Hurricanes game.

    The Sure Thing

    Something new in 2017, subbing in for the Big Question, where we all nominate the one thing we’re absolutely certain will happen over the course of this weekend.

    “I am going to buck the trend and say the Jaguares will not receive a yellow card this weekend.”

    “More Saffa wins (4) than Kiwi (3).”

    “There will be a big upset this weekend.”

    Delete whichever is appropriate from the Saturday morning headline: ‘BRUMBIES/FORCE WIN STRENGTHENS CASE FOR SUPER RUGBY SURVIVAL’.

    Got a sure thing yourself? Let us know in the comments below, and enjoy your rugby this weekend…

    Brett McKay
    Brett McKay

    Brett McKay is one of The Roar's good news stories and has been a rugby and cricket expert for the site since July 2009. Brett is an international and Super Rugby commentator for ABC Grandstand radio, has commentated on the Australian Under-20s Championships and National Rugby Championship live stream coverage, and has written for magazines and websites in Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, and the UK. He tweets from @BMcSport.

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    The Crowd Says (84)

    • Roar Guru

      March 9th 2017 @ 6:33am
      Nobrain said | March 9th 2017 @ 6:33am | ! Report


    • March 9th 2017 @ 6:43am
      Rebellion said | March 9th 2017 @ 6:43am | ! Report

      Reds to beat the Crusaders..and Donald Trump to win re-election

      • March 9th 2017 @ 12:48pm
        RubberLegs said | March 9th 2017 @ 12:48pm | ! Report

        Frisby remains in the run-on team and McIntyre with his amazing suite of skills, is on the bench to replace Quade late in the game. And Stiles and co say they select players on form.

        • March 9th 2017 @ 1:22pm
          Marto said | March 9th 2017 @ 1:22pm | ! Report

          Reds a slight chance now Douglas has been dropped to bench and H Tui reinstated to 6..Frisby is still an overall liability and Moore needs top play 20 mins max..Congrats on Pereses..Big game, lets see

          Saturday 11 March, Suncorp Stadium

          1. James Slipper (C)
          2. Stephen Moore
          3. Sam Talakai
          4. Rob Simmons
          5. Izack Rodda (run-on debut)
          6. Hendrik Tui
          7. George Smith
          8. Scott Higginbotham
          9. Nick Frisby
          10. Quade Cooper
          11. Eto Nabuli
          12. Duncan Paia’aua
          13. Samu Kerevi
          14. Izaia Perese (run-on debut)
          15. Karmichael Hunt

          16. Andrew Ready
          17. Sef Fa’agase
          18. Taniela Tupou
          19. Kane Douglas
          20. Adam Korczyk
          21. James Tuttle
          22. Jake McIntyre
          23. Chris Kuridrani

          • March 9th 2017 @ 1:48pm
            Jimbo81 said | March 9th 2017 @ 1:48pm | ! Report

            How are Moore and Frisby still starting???? Ready and Tuttle are so much better. Stiles clearly intimidated by their status as Wallabies…?

            • March 9th 2017 @ 3:11pm
              Marto said | March 9th 2017 @ 3:11pm | ! Report

              Jimbo81 I suspect so . At least Stiles has done something to rattle the cage by dropping Douglas who was poor in both matches and Re-instateing Tui as he is a genuine line bender and was definatley our best go forward player last year… Chris Kurindrani is strange..The juries still out on him.

              Korcyk is a young bloke with talent ..Give him a rest as we are playing the Crusaders this week.. All our big guns are on deck this week you`d think..Wallaby contracted players Moore and Frisby are on their last chance imho.

              .Another performance like that by either of those two and it`s benchtime or club footy..I reckon Moore will lift for this one .. Frisby wont lift, as he is talentless imo..Frisby is the difference in us maybe winning or losing..I cant see us winning with Frisby at scrum half , I just cant ,

              P.S Cadern Neville must be injured, as I`d have him in the team as 3rd lock over Douglas..

              Crusaders by 15… Without Frisby Crusaders by 2

              • March 9th 2017 @ 4:35pm
                Jimbo81 said | March 9th 2017 @ 4:35pm | ! Report


    • March 9th 2017 @ 6:48am
      Baylion said | March 9th 2017 @ 6:48am | ! Report

      Jaguares also missing a number of first choice players

      LH Prop → Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro
      TH Prop → Ramiro Herrera
      Lock → Tomás Lavanini
      Open-Side flankers → Javier Ortega Desio & Juan Manuel Leguizamón
      Scrum-Half → Martín Landajo
      Winger → Emiliano Boffelli

      Although with Lavanini out their chances of penalties and cards are reduced.

      Last year, during the match against the Lions B side they were surprisingly good, only conceding 7 penalties while the Lions gave away 19 and 2 yellow cards. I’m sure Nick Bryant will run the game fairly though.

      Anyway, Canes, Brumbies, Sharks, Blues, Saders, Cheetahs, Stormers, Lions

      • March 9th 2017 @ 1:12pm
        JRVJ said | March 9th 2017 @ 1:12pm | ! Report

        For the record, it is my understanding that Manuel Montero and JM Hernández will be available to play this week (I can’t vouch for whether they will be in the XV, but they apparently are available). I’d also read some less reliable sources to the effect that Javier Ortega-Desio and Emiliano Boffelli may almost be ready.

        • March 9th 2017 @ 1:37pm
          Baylion said | March 9th 2017 @ 1:37pm | ! Report

          According to La Nuevo yesterday Montero and Hernández are available but Ortega-Desio and Boffeli are still out. Boffeli injured himself in the Americas Rugby Championship and Desio should be ready within the next two weeks.

          The Jaguares practiced on Tuesday, took a break yesterday and will be back at practice today

          • March 10th 2017 @ 2:11am
            JRVJ said | March 10th 2017 @ 2:11am | ! Report

            Ortega-Desio and JM Hernández have been included as reserves for the Jags.

            • March 10th 2017 @ 2:39am
              Baylion said | March 10th 2017 @ 2:39am | ! Report

              Essentially the same team that travelled back from SA, apart from those two

            • March 10th 2017 @ 2:40am
              Baylion said | March 10th 2017 @ 2:40am | ! Report

              I posted the team by for some reason it has to be moderated

      • Roar Guru

        March 9th 2017 @ 2:04pm
        Nobrain said | March 9th 2017 @ 2:04pm | ! Report

        If Jaguares can fix the set pieces, get a clean ball , and be able to keep 15 men on the field will have the chance to win this one. If the discipline issues continue and cannot get a clean ball it will be very difficult.

    • Roar Guru

      March 9th 2017 @ 7:27am
      Harry Jones said | March 9th 2017 @ 7:27am | ! Report

      1. I was encouraging my little competitors not to be lapped. That’s nice.

      2. “Lap dogs” is a term of affection.

      3. I tipped early to give the field a chance (e.g., the Lions selection gave opportunities).

      4. The gap will widen this week.

      • Roar Guru

        March 9th 2017 @ 4:18pm
        Harry Jones said | March 9th 2017 @ 4:18pm | ! Report

        Unrequited banter
        A sledge that fell in the woods and nobody heard it

        • Roar Guru

          March 9th 2017 @ 6:55pm
          Diggercane said | March 9th 2017 @ 6:55pm | ! Report

          It was heard.

          Just ignored 😉

          • Roar Guru

            March 9th 2017 @ 8:31pm
            Harry Jones said | March 9th 2017 @ 8:31pm | ! Report


            I hate being ignored


            • Roar Guru

              March 9th 2017 @ 8:47pm
              Diggercane said | March 9th 2017 @ 8:47pm | ! Report


              You say something?

    • Roar Guru

      March 9th 2017 @ 7:28am
      Fionn said | March 9th 2017 @ 7:28am | ! Report

      Does anyone else get the feeling that we are already watching the 2017 final? I personally tip the Hurricanes, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Chiefs win, especially since they have had two tough contests in the first two rounds while the Hurricanes have been on holiday.

    • Roar Guru

      March 9th 2017 @ 8:03am
      Diggercane said | March 9th 2017 @ 8:03am | ! Report

      GO CANES!!

      • March 9th 2017 @ 8:36am
        Highlander said | March 9th 2017 @ 8:36am | ! Report

        This week is all about how your big boys stand up DC, looking forward to it

        • Roar Guru

          March 9th 2017 @ 8:53am
          Diggercane said | March 9th 2017 @ 8:53am | ! Report

          Yes mate, Lineout in particular under pressure without Vito and Thomson injured will be interesting.

          Huge challenge, am excited.

          • March 9th 2017 @ 8:58am
            Highlander said | March 9th 2017 @ 8:58am | ! Report

            I think you could make an argument for each of the Cantabs, Chiefs, and Jaffas tight fives to start a game for the AB’s, certainly not the Highlanders front five and probably not the Canes – interesting to see how this impacts over the season.

            Fascinating stuff – Good luck

            • Roar Guru

              March 9th 2017 @ 10:05am
              Diggercane said | March 9th 2017 @ 10:05am | ! Report

              Hey Highlander, its an interesting point and personally, I would argue it means very little in the tight 5, particularly across the entire season.

              Consider the Chiefs, Highlanders and Hurricane tight five that have been part of the winning sides over the past five seasons. Little to no AB representation within them. I don’t think it is as important as perhaps some make it out to be.

              • March 9th 2017 @ 12:25pm
                Phil said | March 9th 2017 @ 12:25pm | ! Report

                I think you are right,Digger.There is no such thing as a weak NZ tight 5,so I don’t think it is as critical for the Kiwi sides as for others.

              • Roar Guru

                March 9th 2017 @ 6:57pm
                Diggercane said | March 9th 2017 @ 6:57pm | ! Report

                Spot on Phil, form and cohesion as a unit is far more relevant, as opposed to the individuals present.

              • Roar Guru

                March 10th 2017 @ 6:39am
                taylorman said | March 10th 2017 @ 6:39am | ! Report

                True, though having four All Blacks back in your starting pack doesnt hurt either?

          • March 9th 2017 @ 9:12am
            Old Bugger said | March 9th 2017 @ 9:12am | ! Report

            “Bells will be ringing……”

            Remember this Xmas song (Eagles version) mate……??? Don’t matter, the cow-bells will be and my boys, won’t be in any Xmas cheery mood, come Friday night.

            • Roar Guru

              March 9th 2017 @ 10:06am
              Diggercane said | March 9th 2017 @ 10:06am | ! Report

              Bit early to be talking Xmas mate? Didn’t realise the BOP boys had adopted cow bells so readily? 😉

              • March 9th 2017 @ 10:17am
                Old Bugger said | March 9th 2017 @ 10:17am | ! Report

                Only in SR then, they go back in the shed, come M10 comp……you know, loyalty and all that, is only jersey-colour deep…..haha!!

              • Roar Guru

                March 9th 2017 @ 10:33am
                Diggercane said | March 9th 2017 @ 10:33am | ! Report

                Sounds incredibly submissive to me mate….

                Will be only a matter of time before the better half converts you over………Haha! 😉

          • Roar Guru

            March 9th 2017 @ 9:39am
            Machooka said | March 9th 2017 @ 9:39am | ! Report

            Massive. Orca like… I’m excited!

            • Roar Guru

              March 9th 2017 @ 10:06am
              Diggercane said | March 9th 2017 @ 10:06am | ! Report

              Very excited. The days are dragging…………

      • March 9th 2017 @ 12:59pm
        Canetragic said | March 9th 2017 @ 12:59pm | ! Report

        Digger – while I’m usually on board with “Canes by plenty” against the Chiefs I’ll be happy with “Canes by just enough”! Some great match ups – really looking forwards to this first serious test of the season. Barrett v Crudes will be a cracker ?

        • Roar Guru

          March 9th 2017 @ 1:01pm
          Diggercane said | March 9th 2017 @ 1:01pm | ! Report

          Yes mate, massive game!

          By the way, one or fifty, both are plenty 😉

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