2017 AFL preview series: Melbourne Demons – 6th

Cameron Rose Columnist

By Cameron Rose, Cameron Rose is a Roar Expert

 , , ,

48 Have your say

    Could a return to September action finally be happening for the Dees after a decade in the wilderness? Max Gawn hadn’t even started shaving the last time Melbourne played finals. Yes, it’s been a long time.

    Dean Bailey worked okay for a while, then Geelong happened. Mark Neeld didn’t work out, because Mark Neeld happened. Paul ‘Never Say Never Again’ Roos cleverly sailed in to rescue the day and right the ship, which he appears to have done.

    Roos brought in Simon Goodwin to enjoy the fruits of his labour, and Goodwin’s time starts now.

    Roos is the godfather of any success Melbourne has. If they fail, Goodwin will take the fall. Well played, Roosy.

    Last year, Melbourne occupied one of spots nine, ten or 11 after every round. They had their ups and downs, as developing sides are supposed to, but were in the main competitive. Their last two games, a very poor loss to Carlton and a 111-point thumping at Geelong, left a sour taste at the time but have been forgotten amid the optimism a new season brings.

    Rest assured, these losses will be brought up again should the Dees falter out of the gates.

    B Jayden Hunt Oscar McDonald Neville Jetta
    HB Bernie Vince Tom McDonald Michael Hibberd
    C Angus Brayshaw Jack Viney Jordan Lewis
    HF Christian Petracca Jesse Hogan Jack Watts
    F Dean Kent Sam Weideman Jeff Garlett
    Foll Max Gawn Dom Tyson Nathan Jones
    Int Clayton Oliver Christian Salem James Harmes Cam Pederson

    Emergencies: Tom Bugg, Jake Melksham, Sam Frost

    First thing to note is that Melbourne are starting to develop some decent depth.

    Players not in the best 22 like Tom Bugg, Sam Frost, Billy Stretch, Ben Kennedy, Josh Wagner and Aaron Vandenberg all played between 14-18 games at senior level in 2016. All are handy types who would be in the starting line-ups of lesser sides. You need these sort of players missing out when you’re looking to rise up the ladder.

    The midfield is where Melbourne looks strongest, with Max Gawn the dominant ruckman in the competition. It’s not just his ruckwork, which can be beautiful to watch, but he enjoys being a presence at ground level and in the air, laying a crunching tackle or taking a strong grab.

    Max Gawn of the Demons and Stefan Martin of the Lions

    Nathan Jones and Jack Viney are both cut from the same cloth, and bleed red and blue. Making them co-captains seemed unnecessary, and a little slap in the face to Jones, but titles are just words. Both will ensure their actions continue to brook no question.

    Jordan Lewis has joined the club on a three-year deal, no doubt seduced by the manhandling his Hawks received at the hands of the Demons in Round 20 last year. I wonder if he spies a sneaky chance at flag number five for his personal collection.

    Should Lewis have been given a three-year deal at this stage of his career? Purely as a player, probably not. But as a player and pseudo assistant coach, then it feels more justified.

    Dom Tyson has found his level in a strong supporting role. He does everything well but nothing exceptionally. Clayton Oliver thrives on the contest, backing his sure hands and sharp vision to get the job done. He’s from the ‘take the hit first, ask the questions later’ school.

    Angus Brayshaw had the second year blues piled on him through concussion and injury. Hopefully his confidence hasn’t been dented because he brings something different and a bit special to the table. He looked a rolled gold 200 gamer from early on in 2015, and hopefully we see him get a crack at it.

    Christian Petracca has the Melbourne fan-base frothing, which wasn’t diminished when he peeled off four goals among 19 touches against Carlton in week two of the JLT Series. It’s been a long time since the Dees had such a primal talent ready to explode.

    He plays with an arrogance that sometimes blows up in his face, but you love seeing a youngster with that sort of confidence, and for a club that has been downtrodden for so long, he brings a welcome dose of attitude.

    Jesse Hogan will lead the forward-line once more, and should do for a long time to come. He set such a high base for himself in 2015, his debut season, that he was almost seen as slightly disappointing last year, even though his numbers and impact improved across the board. He may not have exponential growth in him, but he will still get better.

    Max Gawn Bernie Vince Alex Neal-Bullen Melbourne Demons AFL 2015

    Sam Weideman should be given more opportunities than the few he received last year, when he looked the part in patches. Consistency can’t be expected of him just yet, and he will spend some time in the VFL to further his game.

    Jack Watts is never far away from the news, and has had an indifferent pre-season, but is surely required as a supporting forward tall. His 2016 breakout had been a long time coming, so it would be disappointing to see him regress.

    Jeff Garlett has gone one up, one down, across the years, so is due for a good season nipping at heels in his forward pocket after not being as effective in 2016. Dean Kent has pace and skill, but also what appears to be degenerative back issues. Ben Kennedy is waiting in the wings as a handy replacement.

    Christian Salem will be used wherever he might be needed. That might be covering for an injury at half-back, or with freedom through the middle pushing forward. He’s one of the best kicks on the list, which gives him a point of difference in a midfield this is still more high on grunt than class. We haven’t seen the best of him yet either.

    The McDonald brothers, Tom and Oscar, will hold down the key posts. Tom still frustrates with the odd shank, but is hard to beat and provides great run. Oscar came on in leaps and bounds late last season. He has the height and mobility, and the size he needs is coming.

    Jayden Hunt catches the eye whenever he takes off from the back half, which is often. He uses his pace first, and makes decisions on the run; usually good ones at that. Neville Jetta is the lock-down pocket. Michael Hibberd will be required to chop off opposition forays and rebound with authority. He’s a good player but not a great one.

    Bernie Vince is sort of player where the things he does well are taken for granted, but is prone to errors that are a player of his experience shouldn’t be making. Those moments are what stick with and frustrate Melbourne fans. He’ll provide surety across half-back for the most part.

    Melbourne has a question mark over their ruck support. Does Jake Spencer play, as he has been doing across pre-season, with Gawn spending more time forward? Cam Pederson is the most flexible of the back-up talls, and should have the front-running in some minds. Sam Frost is more limited but also capable and improving.

    Aaron Davey (L) and Max Gawn of the Demons. Photo: Michael Willson

    A horses-for-courses policy may be adopted across this trio, with the form of Weideman and Watts thrown into the mix too. We should see several combinations involving these five players, depending on opposition make-up and team balance.

    Game-plans are one of the most overrated facets of modern football. Like most teams, the Demons have been at their best in recent seasons when delivering intensity and run, with the rest flowing from there, but, also like most teams, the gap between their best and worst efforts is far too great.

    If Melbourne can deliver on the simple intangibles, they have the talent and style to get back on the finals stage. In two years, preliminary finals should be aimed at and reached, but they need to walk before they can run.

    Get the basis right. The rest will follow. This group is too good for it not too.

    Predicted ladder spread: 5th-8th

    Predicted finish: 6th

    Best and fairest: Max Gawn

    Leading goalkicker: Jesse Hogan

    All-Australian potential: Max Gawn, Tom McDonald, Jack Viney

    Rising Star candidates: Sam Weideman

    Cam Rose’s AFL preview series ladder

    6th – Melbourne
    7th – Adelaide
    8th – St Kilda
    9th – Hawthorn
    10th – Richmond
    11th – Collingwood
    12th – Gold Coast
    13th – Port Adelaide
    14th – Fremantle
    15th – Essendon
    16th – North Melbourne
    17th – Carlton
    18th – Brisbane

    Cameron Rose
    Cameron Rose

    Cameron Rose is a born and bred Melbournian, raised on a regime of AFL, cricket and horse racing. He likes people who agree with him but loves those that don't, for there's nothing better than a roaring debate. He tweets from @camtherose.

    Have Your Say

    If not logged in, please enter your name and email before submitting your comment. Please review our comments policy before posting on the Roar.

    Oldest | Newest | Most Recent

    The Crowd Says (48)

    • March 15th 2017 @ 9:32am
      Sal said | March 15th 2017 @ 9:32am | ! Report

      Feels weird expecting finals after so long in the wilderness! Very excited about Clayton Oliver looks a lot leaner and ready for a big year. I can’t see us finishing above Adelaide but hopefully sneak in the bottom of the eight!

      • Columnist

        March 15th 2017 @ 10:11am
        Cameron Rose said | March 15th 2017 @ 10:11am | ! Report

        Got to aim high Sal! Yeah, Oliver has looked very sharp in the pre-season. With him, Viney, Jones and Oliver no slouch, Melbourne are going to take some beating on the inside.

    • March 15th 2017 @ 9:36am
      Tony said | March 15th 2017 @ 9:36am | ! Report

      There are always teams that disappoint Cameron and I am of the feeling Melbourne may be one of them. No Paul Roos, a couple of injuries to key players and they could find themselves struggling. No top 8 finish for me !

      • Columnist

        March 15th 2017 @ 10:12am
        Cameron Rose said | March 15th 2017 @ 10:12am | ! Report

        I think you’re right about injuries, but that also applies to every team in that middle pack of 8-10 teams.

        • March 15th 2017 @ 10:17am
          Tony said | March 15th 2017 @ 10:17am | ! Report

          Injuries is an acceptable excuse for every team except Collingwood ! Ha ha showing my colours now.

          • Columnist

            March 15th 2017 @ 10:35am
            Cameron Rose said | March 15th 2017 @ 10:35am | ! Report

            I think it’s a very acceptable excuse for the Pies. But it’s harder for Collingwood to complain about injuries when they recruit players like Wells.

            • March 15th 2017 @ 10:46am
              Birdman said | March 15th 2017 @ 10:46am | ! Report

              great point Cam

    • March 15th 2017 @ 10:02am
      Geoff Schaefer said | March 15th 2017 @ 10:02am | ! Report

      Melbourne finishing above Adelaide and Hawthorn? In what parallel universe is this?

      • Columnist

        March 15th 2017 @ 10:35am
        Cameron Rose said | March 15th 2017 @ 10:35am | ! Report

        The Dee’s did thump Hawthorn when they met late last year, it can’t be beyond the realms of possibility that both teams continue in those respective directions.

        • March 15th 2017 @ 10:44am
          Geoff Schaefer said | March 15th 2017 @ 10:44am | ! Report

          One swallow doesn’t make a Summer!

        • March 15th 2017 @ 10:45am
          Birdman said | March 15th 2017 @ 10:45am | ! Report

          So Cam, were the two late season floggings that the Dees copped AFTER the Hawthorn game part of that direction?

          Dees can def. play finals but I don’t think they will unless those ‘demons’ (pun intended) have been exorcised.

          • Columnist

            March 15th 2017 @ 11:24am
            Cameron Rose said | March 15th 2017 @ 11:24am | ! Report

            I’m prepared to forgive the Dee’s for those losses, but I certainly do hope the lessons sunk in from them. I think we’ll see a more mature outfit this year.

        • Roar Rookie

          March 15th 2017 @ 11:58am
          Lamby said | March 15th 2017 @ 11:58am | ! Report

          (again with the winging Crows supports – but I did have these conversations last year as well)

          There are not too many measures where you could have Melbourne above the Crows.
          If you look at the Melbourne side and compare it to Melbourne, there is only one line where Melbourne is better:
          Foll: Max Gawn Dom Tyson Nathan Jones
          Foll: Sam Jacobs Matt Crouch Brad Crouch
          The Crows are better on every other line – some by a lot!

          The Crows also have an easier fixture.

          I think the Demons have a lot more down-side than 8th as well.

          (P.S – I am actually, really enjoying this series of articles Cameron).

          • Columnist

            March 15th 2017 @ 12:01pm
            Cameron Rose said | March 15th 2017 @ 12:01pm | ! Report

            Thanks Lamby.

            As we know, things rarely go to general expectation all the way down the ladder. I’ve tried to allow for natural and unforeseen variance a bit with this ladder.

    • Roar Guru

      March 15th 2017 @ 10:39am
      Paul D said | March 15th 2017 @ 10:39am | ! Report

      Interesting you’ve got Melbourne above St Kilda. You’d think for that to happen that the Dees would need to reverse a decade of tradition and actually beat the Saints in one of their two meetings this season. Round one will be fascinating.

      • Columnist

        March 15th 2017 @ 11:25am
        Cameron Rose said | March 15th 2017 @ 11:25am | ! Report

        Two big hoodoo’s for the Dee’s – St Kilda and Etihad. They get the chance to put both to bed with one game of football. What a start to the year for them if they can. It’s the biggest match of Round 1 in my opinion.

        • Roar Guru

          March 15th 2017 @ 12:05pm
          Paul D said | March 15th 2017 @ 12:05pm | ! Report

          Bit stiff on the QCla…

          Nah, you’re right

          • Roar Guru

            March 15th 2017 @ 1:03pm
            AdelaideDocker said | March 15th 2017 @ 1:03pm | ! Report

            Also a tad stiff on the age-old, legendary season starter between Carlton and Rich–

            On seconds thoughts, he is right.

    • March 15th 2017 @ 11:50am
      sammy said | March 15th 2017 @ 11:50am | ! Report

      As an interstate supporter, I do hope Melbourne have a good year as they have been down for quite a while. I just can’t see them finishing above Adelaide as they don’t have the firepower and solid defence that the crows have, but they certainly could push for top 8 and they will win a number of games this year and upset some of the more fancied sides I think as they do have an x factor about them now

      • Columnist

        March 15th 2017 @ 12:02pm
        Cameron Rose said | March 15th 2017 @ 12:02pm | ! Report

        Fair commentary Sammy. I may have gone a year early on the Dees, but I’m comfortable they’re in a good place.

    • Roar Guru

      March 15th 2017 @ 12:10pm
      Pumping Dougie said | March 15th 2017 @ 12:10pm | ! Report

      Great article Cam. The Dees have an exciting team on paper and hopefully they can transition from potential to delivering. I think their fade-out at the end of last year said more about their immaturity at the time than their talent. But they are a young list and that’s not a surprise. I think they are cherry ripe to announce themselves this year. They have recruited very astutely over the past 5 years or so and now have a good blend of leadership, experience, aggression, talent, skill, swagger, running power and team depth and balance.

      Goodwin is a big unknown and will be a huge factor in how well they go, but he’s started well in the JLT Series.

      I don’t mind the appointment of Viney to co-captain, because it allows him to learn the reigns in a more meaningful ‘on-the-job’ way (as opposed to say being VC or DVC) while he still has Jones to take the heat and guys like Vince and Lewis to also learn from. I think it’s a good transition move.

      • Roar Guru

        March 15th 2017 @ 12:22pm
        Paul D said | March 15th 2017 @ 12:22pm | ! Report

        After how the Demons torched Grimes and Trengrove you’d hope they’d have learned something about succession planning

        • Roar Guru

          March 15th 2017 @ 12:57pm
          Pumping Dougie said | March 15th 2017 @ 12:57pm | ! Report

          Yeah, when the Grant Thomas rotated the captaincy at St Kilda between Riewoldt, Luke Ball and Lenny Hayes, it worked well despite their age and inexperience because each guy had strong support around them on and off-field.

          Melbourne lacked leaders on and off-field and threw two young guys to the wolves in desperation. It was one of many things tried by Neeld that failed dismally. I think the Viney situation is a bit more like the St Kilda scenario than Neeld’s. I must confess, I have great admiration for Trengrove and Grimes in the manner they have conducted themselves – no whingeing, etc. Melbourne really owe those guys.

        • March 15th 2017 @ 6:01pm
          handles said | March 15th 2017 @ 6:01pm | ! Report

          Trengrove still on this list, so torched might be a bit harsh. Maybe just roasted?

      • Columnist

        March 15th 2017 @ 12:48pm
        Cameron Rose said | March 15th 2017 @ 12:48pm | ! Report

        Thanks PD.

        I think making him VC would have been just fine, and allowed Jones a bit more deserved time in the role alone. Nothing wrong with making Viney captain at 25 or 26. But ultimately it shouldn’t matter, given I’m sure they are all on the same page about wanting team success.

    , , ,