Super Rugby Round 4 tips and predictions: Nobes’ moment of glory

Brett McKay Columnist

By Brett McKay, Brett McKay is a Roar Expert


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    The good news, Roarers, is that a certain cocky South African has been subdued by the Lions’ failure to recognise Buenos Aires as a place they need to send their full squad.

    That should be enough to keep him down for a little while, even if his sizable lead remains.

    The flow-on from that is that Nobes’ pulled a perfect round out of last weekend, and in a moment of wonderful graciousness, sent his Round 4 tips though no earlier than usual. A wonderful human being whose success is here to be shared!

    Hopefully that will be a lesson for the Capetonian, but I fear the silence may not last. Mainly because he’s often on the money…

    In other disturbing news for you lot in The Crowd, I’m catching you. Be afraid.

    Last week: Nobes 8, Harry 7, Digger 6, Brett and The Crowd 5.

    “Thanks guys, l think I had no luck in some of the tips I missed in Round 2, but Round 3 was compensation time and I am back and in the chase. Anyhow, Round 4 presents some new challenges where injuries, suspensions, and fatigue from travelling must be taken into consideration from now on.

    “The Crusaders just seem to win somehow and the Blues seem to lose even when they deserve to win, I think this path will continue. The Chiefs seems to have everything under control and the Rebels do not have any fire power to stop that. Bulls will go back to winning against the Sunwolves.

    “Hurricanes will take care of a very depleted Highlanders team. Brumbies should take care of already well travelled Waratahs team. I do not think anybody will beat the Lions in Johannesburg in the regular season this year. The Sharks look to strong for the improving Kings.

    “And Jaguares should take care of the Cheetahs in Buenos Aires.”

    TIPS: Crusaders, Chiefs, Bulls, Canes, Brumbies, Lions, Sharks, Jaguares.

    “This round is all about two games, I think. Canes v Landers; Tahs v Brumbies.

    “The rest seems simple enough, barring an odd card or off day:

    Clinical ‘Saders over the ragged Blues.
    The mighty Chiefs over the rabble of Rebels.
    The big Bulls over the wee Sunwolves.
    The fast Lions over the slow Reds.
    The brutal Sharks over the toothless Kings.
    The scary Jaguares over the friendly Cheetahs.

    “In the main card games, I’ll go HOME!”

    TIPS: Crusaders, Chiefs, Bulls, Lions, Hurricanes, Waratahs, Sharks, Jaguares

    “Go Nobes, chase Harry down!

    “’Canes by plenty.

    “The Blues strike me as the kind of team that can go from whoa to go within a week considering their talent, and Aucklanders will tell you the Canterbury rivalry is the be-all and end-all so we shall see what that brings out of them. But you can’t tip them of recent respective form between the two sides.

    “In Melbourne, the cowbells should ring loudly, while I am not sure the Brumbies can dominate the ‘Tahs up front like we have seen in South Africa. Back at home now, I am going to back the Waratahs; I think they have more points in them.

    “The Bulls and the Sharks speak for themselves. The Jaguares should get themselves on a bit of a roll, and in what shapes as an exciting encounter between the Lions and Reds should end up in the home sides favour at altitude.”

    TIPS: Crusaders, Chiefs, Bulls, Hurricanes, Waratahs, Lions, Sharks, Jaguares

    So the upset didn’t come off last week, though I was only 25 seconds away from being the tipping genius you all feared. And you feared it; don’t fool yourself otherwise.

    This week, I’m not seeing much chance of an upset. And much as I’d like to make up some lost ground, I’m afraid I’m following these blokes this week.

    Realistically, seven of the eight games are pretty obvious. So obvious, in fact, that I pumped them all into one of those multi-bet thingos to see how obvious the bookies think it is, too. And they think it’s more obvious than even I do, because they’re barely paying more than two to one odds. So, that’s simple.

    The only game that gives any real cause for concern is the Waratahs-Brumbies derby, which I’m really happy to note will now be played for the Dan Vickerman Cup.

    And though the Waratahs at home would normally be too strong, I think we’ve seen over the last two weeks that the ‘Tahs without Bernard Foley is a whole other prospect. The Brumbies will take some confidence in how they were able to come back last week, and actual momentum should be too much for training track success.

    TIPS: Crusaders, Chiefs, Bulls, Canes, Brumbies, Lions, Sharks, Jaguares

    Get your tips in now – The Crowd’s tips will be revealed before kick-off in the Crusaders-Blues game on Friday.

    The Sure Thing

    Something new in 2017, where we all nominate the one thing we’re absolutely certain will happen over the course of this weekend.

    “I have been terrible at this so far this season but here is one to contemplate: the South African rugby teams combined will score more points than the Black Caps manage in their first innings against the Proteas in the Second Test at the Basin Reserve.”

    “The team in Sydney that kicks better will win.”

    “Jaguares will not get a yellow this weekend.”

    Crusaders-Blues to be closer than Hurricanes-Highlanders. A lot closer.

    And Bernard Foley will now almost certainly be a late inclusion on Saturday night.

    Got a sure thing yourself? Let us know in the comments below, and enjoy your rugby this weekend…

    Brett McKay
    Brett McKay

    Brett McKay is one of The Roar's good news stories and has been a rugby and cricket expert for the site since July 2009. Brett is an international and Super Rugby commentator for ABC Grandstand radio, has commentated on the Australian Under-20s Championships and National Rugby Championship live stream coverage, and has written for magazines and websites in Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, and the UK. He tweets from @BMcSport.

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    The Crowd Says (124)

    • March 16th 2017 @ 4:13am
      JRVJ said | March 16th 2017 @ 4:13am | ! Report

      Looks like I’m getting in on the ground floor !

      Not the best weekend possible, in that (other than the Aussie Super Derby and the Lions -Reds clash), there aren’t that many great games.

      I, for one, would like to see how the Lions play this weekend, after the travel to and from Buenos Aires. The Reds are an intriguing bunch, so this will be a harbinger of how their season will shape up (no rest for the weary for them, as they have to travel to B. A. after playing in Joburg).

      The Jags are starting to show the promise that many saw in them prior to the 2016 season (it seems to me that the Jags were OVER rated in 2016 and they are UNDER rated this year). They are starting to get players back, though I’m not sure if they will be getting any back this week (they will be missing Nico Sánchez due to suspension, their Prop C. Bartoloni and their Winger M. Moroni due to an injury during the week). Still, the Cheetahs seem like a MASH unit (to use the American idiom), so the Jags do have a certain one-eyed man thing going.

      Other than that, the mental state of players for teams on the bubble (Kings, W. Force, possibly Cheetahs, Rebels and Brumbies) is something to pay attention to (if announcements are made as to the future of SR prior to this weekend, then obviously this comment would change accordingly).

      • March 16th 2017 @ 8:00am
        Major said | March 16th 2017 @ 8:00am | ! Report

        Brett, this is just an ego competition between you guys. Banter among friends. Do we really care? Do we really care which one of you guys got the most points? A big NO! to both.
        Why not open the competition for anybody to register and compete.
        Other sports on other websites do..why not the Roar?

        • Columnist

          March 16th 2017 @ 8:42am
          Brett McKay said | March 16th 2017 @ 8:42am | ! Report

          You mean like That’s been at the top of the page for a lot longer than the panel?

          • March 16th 2017 @ 1:24pm
            Major said | March 16th 2017 @ 1:24pm | ! Report

            Oh…so thsts what you call you and your chums there Brett? The Panel?
            Do you notice those the comments on this thread?
            Its just mostly YOU guys …plus only a few others Brett. Plus machooka and phil. Cosy isnt it?
            Why do you bother?

            • Columnist

              March 16th 2017 @ 1:29pm
              Brett McKay said | March 16th 2017 @ 1:29pm | ! Report

              Thanks for your input Major. Best of luck with your tips…

            • Roar Guru

              March 16th 2017 @ 1:34pm
              Machooka said | March 16th 2017 @ 1:34pm | ! Report

              Thanks for the shout-out Major… you’ve made feel all special like.

              Who’s ya tip between da drums and my Tahs?

            • March 16th 2017 @ 3:51pm
              Akari said | March 16th 2017 @ 3:51pm | ! Report

              I do enjoy the banter from the panel, Major. Where else in the sporting world can one get such ‘banter’ from a panel comprised of people living in 4 different countries and on a weekly basis?

              If you’d like the panel to be expanded, you might start by making a case for joining it.

              As I see it, the panel is perhaps lacking an expert from Japan as all other SANZAAR member countries are covered.

              • Roar Guru

                March 16th 2017 @ 3:57pm
                taylorman said | March 16th 2017 @ 3:57pm | ! Report

                Methinks we have another reincarnation here?

              • Roar Guru

                March 16th 2017 @ 4:29pm
                Machooka said | March 16th 2017 @ 4:29pm | ! Report

                TM… I’d recognise that Snoooore Zzzzzzzzzz
                anywhere 🙂

              • March 16th 2017 @ 4:43pm
                Major said | March 16th 2017 @ 4:43pm | ! Report

                Sorry Akari…I live in the UK.

              • Roar Guru

                March 16th 2017 @ 11:00pm
                Harry Jones said | March 16th 2017 @ 11:00pm | ! Report

                But do you really “live?”

              • Roar Guru

                March 16th 2017 @ 4:52pm
                Machooka said | March 16th 2017 @ 4:52pm | ! Report

                You’re up early Major… is it making war or love today?

                Maybe it’s just gonna be taking it up, early and often eh!

        • Roar Guru

          March 16th 2017 @ 8:48am
          Machooka said | March 16th 2017 @ 8:48am | ! Report

          And dare I say… Major faux pas!

          • March 16th 2017 @ 1:18pm
            Major said | March 16th 2017 @ 1:18pm | ! Report

            How are your Tahs doing Machooka? Major faux pas!

            • Roar Guru

              March 16th 2017 @ 1:38pm
              Machooka said | March 16th 2017 @ 1:38pm | ! Report

              More like… crap!

        • Roar Guru

          March 16th 2017 @ 9:31am
          Harry Jones said | March 16th 2017 @ 9:31am | ! Report

          Major, do you need a nice warm hug?

          • March 16th 2017 @ 1:14pm
            Major said | March 16th 2017 @ 1:14pm | ! Report

            You – the tipping love-birds – are the ones hugging each other Harry…is it warm in their arms?

            • Roar Guru

              March 16th 2017 @ 4:07pm
              Harry Jones said | March 16th 2017 @ 4:07pm | ! Report

              It’s warm, yes, Mini Minor. The warmth of human fun.

            • Roar Guru

              March 16th 2017 @ 5:37pm
              Diggercane said | March 16th 2017 @ 5:37pm | ! Report

              Harrys hugs are indeed warm and kind, one certainly feels home when hugged by Harry, safe and cosy.

              • Roar Guru

                March 16th 2017 @ 6:19pm
                Machooka said | March 16th 2017 @ 6:19pm | ! Report

                Sorry I’m finding this somewhat suffocating… not in a major way, but more in a deep, warm, kind and homely way.
                I think I’m safe in saying that.

              • Roar Guru

                March 16th 2017 @ 6:51pm
                Diggercane said | March 16th 2017 @ 6:51pm | ! Report

                It’s a secure place.

              • Roar Guru

                March 16th 2017 @ 9:19pm
                Harry Jones said | March 16th 2017 @ 9:19pm | ! Report

                I will hug you too

        • Roar Guru

          March 16th 2017 @ 9:41am
          Nobrain said | March 16th 2017 @ 9:41am | ! Report

          You have a Major problem.

          • March 16th 2017 @ 1:15pm
            Major said | March 16th 2017 @ 1:15pm | ! Report

            You have a tipping problem

        • March 16th 2017 @ 12:51pm
          Phil said | March 16th 2017 @ 12:51pm | ! Report

          Major,you must be a real fun person to be around.Most normal people enjoy the banter between these guys and I look forward to seeing their comments every week.By the way,as Brett mentions below,there is a tipping comp for everyone so maybe you should take a bit more notice instead of making useless comments.

          • March 16th 2017 @ 1:12pm
            Major said | March 16th 2017 @ 1:12pm | ! Report

            Snoooore Zzzzzzzzzz

            • Roar Guru

              March 17th 2017 @ 2:25am
              Carlos the Argie said | March 17th 2017 @ 2:25am | ! Report

              Is this Donald’s alter ego? Do you have orange skin? Funny hair? Are you a fatso in denial?

          • Roar Guru

            March 16th 2017 @ 3:59pm
            taylorman said | March 16th 2017 @ 3:59pm | ! Report

            It’s ok now, 1.12pm as you can see, time for his nap?

            Guess that hug worked…shhhhhhhhhh..

    • Roar Guru

      March 16th 2017 @ 4:53am
      Harry Jones said | March 16th 2017 @ 4:53am | ! Report

      Every great meta-narrative needs a hero and a villain, and probably a best friend, a cleric, and the mob. So, here we are: I am that arrogant rakish ne’er-do-well who kicks puppies, and the affable and (probably) handsome Nobes is our Buenos Aires man who can do no wrong. Brett is our fearless ethical leader–a secular rugby priest, if you will; pure and unsullied by vice (and a Greig Laidlaw doppelganger). Digger is everyone’s best friend; who can dislike him.

      Crowd: it’s OK to love the villain.

      • Roar Guru

        March 16th 2017 @ 8:59am
        Nobrain said | March 16th 2017 @ 8:59am | ! Report

        What do you mean when you say ” probably”?

        • Roar Guru

          March 16th 2017 @ 9:24am
          Harry Jones said | March 16th 2017 @ 9:24am | ! Report


          • Roar Guru

            March 16th 2017 @ 11:14am
            Shop said | March 16th 2017 @ 11:14am | ! Report

            I’ve met him Harry and I can attest that he is devilishly handsome. I’m still wary of introducing him to my wife.

            • Roar Guru

              March 16th 2017 @ 11:19am
              Nobrain said | March 16th 2017 @ 11:19am | ! Report

              You mean your future ex wife?

              • Roar Guru

                March 16th 2017 @ 1:57pm
                DaniE said | March 16th 2017 @ 1:57pm | ! Report

                You’re gold with the quips nowadays Nobrain!

            • Roar Guru

              March 16th 2017 @ 3:40pm
              Harry Jones said | March 16th 2017 @ 3:40pm | ! Report

              As I suspected
              So, our cast is complete

      • Roar Guru

        March 16th 2017 @ 9:02am
        Carlos the Argie said | March 16th 2017 @ 9:02am | ! Report

        The best business deal in the world is to buy an Argentine for what he is worth and to sell him for what he thinks he is worth.

        An Argentine kid says to his father: “Dad, when I grow up I want to be just like you!”

        Father responds: “Son, that is a beautiful thing to say, thanks! Why do you say so?”

        Son: “So I can have a son just like me!”.

        • Roar Guru

          March 16th 2017 @ 9:32am
          Harry Jones said | March 16th 2017 @ 9:32am | ! Report


          • Roar Guru

            March 16th 2017 @ 9:46am
            Nobrain said | March 16th 2017 @ 9:46am | ! Report

            Or when Argentina declared war to China but after serious thinking they took the declararion back and say they were sorry but they realized they could not feed some many prisoners after wining.

            • March 16th 2017 @ 1:48pm
              Carlos the Argie said | March 16th 2017 @ 1:48pm | ! Report

              And then came Maggie….

            • Roar Guru

              March 17th 2017 @ 4:59pm
              ThugbyFan said | March 17th 2017 @ 4:59pm | ! Report

              Hi Nobes,They were going to win the war, or wine and dine them? 🙂

    • March 16th 2017 @ 6:14am
      Blue Horned Mike said | March 16th 2017 @ 6:14am | ! Report

      Bulls to put at least 60 past the Sunwolves. First and only home match for the Bulls in the first 7 weeks. So they want to gain some momentum before their tour to New Zealand and Japan.

      • March 16th 2017 @ 9:09am
        Boris said | March 16th 2017 @ 9:09am | ! Report

        One home game in 7 weeks. That’s a bit ridiculous isn’t it?

    • March 16th 2017 @ 7:09am
      Bobbo7 said | March 16th 2017 @ 7:09am | ! Report

      Ye of little faith Digger. King Kane will see NZ score a decent total against SA.

      Also i reckon the Highlanders might knock the Hurricanes off.

      • Columnist

        March 16th 2017 @ 7:52am
        Geoff Parkes said | March 16th 2017 @ 7:52am | ! Report

        He’ll need to Bobbo, the rest of the lineup is looking a bit skinny.

      • Roar Guru

        March 16th 2017 @ 5:38pm
        Diggercane said | March 16th 2017 @ 5:38pm | ! Report

        Haha, well King Nicholls today. I have no problem with ending up with egg on my face 🙂

    • Roar Guru

      March 16th 2017 @ 7:22am
      Shop said | March 16th 2017 @ 7:22am | ! Report

      Nice tipping week Nobes, hopefully los Jags can keep it going. Aside, do you have any info on where the Wallabies are going to play the Pumas this year? Not London again surely!

      Brumbies should account for the Tahs who are a rabble this year but with other goings perhaps they’ll have other thing on their minds. The Blues are possibles but not probables to beat the Saders. Only other upset I see could be the Reds who face the Lions who’ve crossed the Atlantic twice this week.

      • Roar Guru

        March 16th 2017 @ 8:57am
        Nobrain said | March 16th 2017 @ 8:57am | ! Report

        Thanks Shop, to tell you true I have no idea , I hope they play here in the country. Enjoy the mountains!!!

        • Roar Guru

          March 16th 2017 @ 11:17am
          Shop said | March 16th 2017 @ 11:17am | ! Report

          Typical UAR being so late to get organized. Usually news arrives in BA weeks before out west which is why I asked.

    • March 16th 2017 @ 7:30am
      Baylion said | March 16th 2017 @ 7:30am | ! Report

      If the Bulls lose to the Wolves they deserve to be one of the SA franchises to be cut from Super Rugby. The Lions should be back to near full strength and hopefully they will also start to gel now that most of their Japan contingent got a bit of a rest.

      Saders, Bulls, Chiefs, Canes, Tahs/Brumbies (will still decide, probably Brumbies), Sharks, Lions, Jaguares

      • March 16th 2017 @ 4:02pm
        Loftus said | March 16th 2017 @ 4:02pm | ! Report

        Are you going to put this post up, regarding the Bulls, on every website?
        It won t be the most successful union and franchise in SA that will be cut. Just accept it now and get some sleep.
        Honestly, I hope you’re joking, otherwise you come across as an arrogant stooge!

        • March 16th 2017 @ 5:02pm
          Baylion said | March 16th 2017 @ 5:02pm | ! Report

          Of course it is a joke. Should I have added a smiley face?

          Anyway, with SARU one never knows, they might decide to merge the Bulls and the Lions to bring them in line with geo-political boundaries like the government wants

      • March 17th 2017 @ 10:53pm
        IvanN said | March 17th 2017 @ 10:53pm | ! Report

        Not enjoying this format. I would prefer a Super 12, 3 from each then add another 12 teams for Tier 2 Plate (include other countries)

        Winner of SR plays a once off against Euro Cup Winner.