Behind the barriers: Five bets for the weekend

Adam Page Roar Guru

By Adam Page, Adam Page is a Roar Guru


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    There is plenty of action at Caulfield this weekend. (AAP Image/Julian Smith)

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    Bit of a stinker for the five bets last time around with Megablast just missing, as well as High Mist. Here are my five best bets for the weekend.

    Bet One: Win – Morphettville Race Eight Number 12 Sudden Wealth
    I said on Twitter last Saturday her effort was the most painful of 2017 and I stand by it. No doubts about it, she should have won but just had no luck at all in the straight and was completely stiff.

    Up to the mile looks perfect and I don’t mind the quick back up given she didn’t really have a hard run last Saturday.

    Bet Two: Each Way- Caulfield Race Five Number 2 A Lotta Love
    Looks a really good each way play for me here on the Caulfield card. Talented mare who drops back to benchmark grade for the first time since this time last year where she actually won this race at the corresponding meeting, and she was dominant.

    Draws well and Williams steers. Could well be dominant again in an even race.

    Bet Three: Each-Way- Caulfield Race Eight Number 4 Heza Ripper
    Best each way play of the weekend for mine. He is flying this time in, but has just had no luck with gates, and that was the case again last start at the Valley where he was wide no cover throughout and just tired late.

    Loves give in the track and he gets his chance here to post a win, and the odds are too good to pass.

    Bet Four: Each Way- Rosehill Race Four Number 18 Douro
    Taken a slice of the $67 and hoping he runs. He was crunched in betting last time out over the Taree mile but just forget he went around. He was well back on a leaders track and was never a winning threat.

    Crying out for further, which he gets here, and go back to start four. He ran second to Azkadellia. That’s right, the Group 1 winning mare.

    Bet Five: Win- Rosehill Race Nine Number 7 Carzoff
    Looks close to the best bet throughout Australia on Saturday and the $3 appeals. Former French galloper who has had a couple of runs for Chris Waller down under, and both times he has been great.

    Ran over 1800m here a fortnight back where he was backed as if unbeatable. Bowman gave him a peach and the horse did all bar win the race, running second to the hard fit Collateral, who franked the form by bolting up last week. Just wins.

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    The Crowd Says (5)

    • June 29th 2017 @ 9:15am
      Razzar said | June 29th 2017 @ 9:15am | ! Report

      R8 Heza Ripper, a good each way chance Adam? …. He’s not a good thing! He’s a Sensational thing!!

      Well maybe not that, but all your pionts are valid. Hayes spaces his races, so He’s well aware how best he races.

      There’s very good speed here but Heza, should nestle in 3rd or 4th, has liking for track. Hard to see him missing a place here. $3.20 rating

      Divine Mr Artie is good first up, but prefers a firm surface. $9 rating

      Portman does show some class, but at Caufileld he may get run off his legs. $9 rating

      Good luck punters.

    • June 29th 2017 @ 10:07am
      Addington said | June 29th 2017 @ 10:07am | ! Report

      Your welcome to Carzoff Adam …..I will be laying him til the cows come home.
      Thought he was a special last time out and jumped on the band wagon but he sweated up ….over raced ….and didn’t find the line very well after bolting to the lead on the turn.
      This week he is coming back from 1800 mtrs to 1500 mtrs ….drawn 13 so will obviously go back to near enough last and then have to make up 12 lengths in the straight.
      Not for mine Adam but all the best of british OK…..and if your putting the house on him save the dog kennel as you might be sleeping in it come staurday night haha!

      • July 1st 2017 @ 4:44pm
        Addington said | July 1st 2017 @ 4:44pm | ! Report

        Can someone please throw Adam a bone ….he’s hungry ….and is now domiciled in the kennel !!
        In all seriousness though Adam I think you (and all the punters that backed him into a rediculous $2.60) learned somthing about the horse today ….he aint 100% genuine mate !!
        Trotting today in the run and calling for his mother at the 300 mtr mark….. be careful in the future with him OK.

        • July 4th 2017 @ 12:23pm
          Adam Page said | July 4th 2017 @ 12:23pm | ! Report

          Might want to do your research/form Addington.

          Tempo was several lengths slower than average. For a horse who will be best at 2000m+, he had no chance the way the race was run. I thought his effort late was outstanding given the circumstances. Back up in trip next start, he’ll be winning.

          • July 5th 2017 @ 9:07am
            Addington said | July 5th 2017 @ 9:07am | ! Report

            Thats great Adam ….we can agree to disagree.
            I have a huge question mark over his attitude and genuineness .
            Tell you one thing mate …..he might win races but will NEVER be a good horse so don’t burn to much on him OK.
            I agree it wasn’t his trip and thats why I questioned you making him the best bet in Australia for the weekend.
            Best bets should be able to overcome difficulties (tempo) and still win…..they just make their own luck.

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