Behind the Barriers: Five bets for the weekend

Adam Page Roar Guru

By Adam Page, Adam Page is a Roar Guru


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    It was a mixed bag for the five tips last week, with Awesome Pluck and Nonpariel going close while Eat My Trust got the win at Doomben. Here are my five best bets for the weekend.

    Bet One
    Win: Rosehill, Race 1 – Number 4, Siege Of Quebec
    Beautifully bred colt for Coolmore and the Waterhouse/Bott yard who debuted at Newcastle where he was crunched in betting. The punters got it spot on as he led all the way under Avdulla and fought on strongly, which is what he showed in the trials, and drew clear late. Maps well here and I think he will lap up the seven furlongs.

    Bet Two
    Win: Rosehill, Race 8 – Number 3, Collateral
    Looks a great bet not just at Rosehill but Australia wide for the weekend. Won four straight before going to Warwick Farm last Saturday and to be frank, it was a slaughter from Heywood, and he admitted post race it wasn’t a good ride. Should have won, but tactics cost him. Clark back on, good draw, hard fit, little depth… wins.

    Bet Three
    Win: Caulfield, Race 7 – Number 6, Chocolate Holic
    Most interesting runner for me right across Australia. I said on Twitter that this horse could be the best Western Australian horse Darren Weir will saddle up, and that is including Black Heart Bart.

    Before he left West Australia, he trialled brilliantly, better than Scales Of Justice, a high class WA horse himself. 1100 metres is short of his best, but he is a big watch because I think he will get to Group 1 level eventually.

    Bet Four
    Win: Caulfield, Race 8 – Number 4, Grey Street
    I think she can turn the tables on Sullivan Bay. Grey Street chased that mare here a fortnight back at the same track and distance, the Caulfield 1200m. She tried really hard to reel in the leader but it just packed too many punches. Maps much better here from the inside gate and that was her first run in a month, so she has room for improvement. Looks the one.

    Bet Five
    Each-way: Sunshine Coast, Race 7 – Number 8, Paragon
    Great each-way play for mine in the Queensland Cup. Did a great job in defeat two back in the Ipswich Cup behind Self Sense before going to the Caloundra Cup. The tempo was clearly against him but he fought on well in defeat behind Supply And Demand. The brutal two miles will really suit this one better and I think he could be last man standing.

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    The Crowd Says (8)

    • July 14th 2017 @ 8:37am
      Razzar said | July 14th 2017 @ 8:37am | ! Report

      Pretty sure Grey Street has been scratched Adam.

      Caufield race 6. Competitive 3yo event with plenty of pressure on here expected.

      Revolving Door is sort of knocking on it but seems to only just get the 1400. Will lead or sit second. Unless the track favours on pacers, it makes it hard to win with pressure up front . $6.50 rating

      Nikitas is likely to race handy with cover, wide trip last start, but this is a high pressure race, would like to mark him shorter, but $10 rating here.

      My Paisann at the 1400 holds no fears, powered past them last start, the more rain the better for him. Looks to map for midfield run. That’s perfect for expected good speed. $5 rating

      Valliano only looks a flukers chance here. $30 rating

      Enigman should slot in okay in handy spot. Definite chance, but does look to map quite forward which could be his undoing late. $8 rating

      Wayanka is back to the 1400. Really pulled pin quickly over the mile last start. From the wide barrier, may have to ride for position or just drift back, but that may not hurt. Good tempo can see him come on late. $15 rating

      Vin Fiz has some handy formlines through Willi Willi, a little more rain would help. Should race at rear of field here.
      $15 rating

      Good luck punters

    • July 15th 2017 @ 9:16am
      Razzar said | July 15th 2017 @ 9:16am | ! Report

      Vin Fiz has been scratched, but nominated for Wednesday Sandown meeting.

    • July 15th 2017 @ 4:02pm
      Hammertime said | July 15th 2017 @ 4:02pm | ! Report

      Way to go Adam. Collateral. The tip of the day !!! Reloaded when it blew out. Thank you!!

    • July 15th 2017 @ 4:22pm
      Johnybulldog said | July 15th 2017 @ 4:22pm | ! Report

      Woo hoo had a good crack at Collateral & backed it for my punters club….go u good thing,cheers Adam,well done mate!

      • July 15th 2017 @ 7:11pm
        Adam Page said | July 15th 2017 @ 7:11pm | ! Report

        Always happy to help mate. Was amazed by the drift in the morning, got out to as much as $7. The run last week was too good to ignore

        • Editor

          July 17th 2017 @ 4:58am
          Tristan Rayner said | July 17th 2017 @ 4:58am | ! Report

          Nice tip mate, especially if Johnny got on! 😀

          • July 17th 2017 @ 5:51pm
            Johnybulldog said | July 17th 2017 @ 5:51pm | ! Report

            Where are we going with this one mate? 😉

          • July 18th 2017 @ 10:58am
            Adam Page said | July 18th 2017 @ 10:58am | ! Report

            Raising the bat like Maxwell and letting it go through to the keeper on this one

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