Round 23 AFL action: Four things to look ahead to

By Brynn O'Connor / Roar Rookie

There’s one round left in the AFL season, with plenty of repercussions for the table. Here are four things we can look forward to this weekend.

1) The fight for the top four
Adelaide, GWS and Geelong have all secured a double chance heading into September and although Richmond currently sit inside the top four, there’s still a nervous wait for Tiger fans.

Sitting only four points behind in fifth and sixth spot respectively are Sydney and Port Adelaide, waiting to grasp an opportunity if the Tigers slip.

Making matters more interesting is that Sydney are expected to win against Carlton at the SCG, while the Power should have no trouble accounting for a hapless Gold Coast outfit at home.

If predictions are correct, then it leaves the Tigers sitting outside the top four coming into their game against St Kilda.

This means that when Richmond run out on the MCG on Sunday, they’ll know if they have to win their game to secure their first top-four finish since 2001.

2) Who earns a home final in the top four?
With so many plots developing in the last round of the home-and-away season, this may arguably be the biggest of them all.

Adelaide and GWS currently hold the top two spots, however, Geelong can secure a home final with a win over GWS on Saturday.

Geelong sits only two points behind the Giants, meaning Leon Cameron’s men must win (or heaven forbid draw) to avoid loosing their spot in second place.

In what promises to be a monumental clash at Kardinya Park, expect no stones to be left unturned as both teams fight for the prized advantage of staying at home for the first week of the finals.

Also expect a hot debate over where a home final will be played down at the Cattery or at the MCG if a Geelong victory ensues.

(Photo by Ryan Pierse/Getty Images)

3) Can Essendon shut the door on the Eagles and Saints?
Although it’s an unlikely probability, West Coast and St Kilda are still a mathematical chance to make the finals pending results.

Both teams are locked with the Bombers on 44 points, but Essendon’s better percentage and easier draw makes them the more likely prospect to grab that eighth position.

All eyes will be squarely focussed on Etihad stadium at 1:10pm on Sunday to see if the boys from Windy Hill can get the job done over Fremantle.

The Dockers are under pressure to perform after two consecutive 104-point losses, but that will not ease the minds of Essendon fans, who are keen to return to the finals after a dark period in the club’s history.

4) Battle to avoid the wooden spoon
In a wonderful coincidence, both North Melbourne and Brisbane will have the opportunity to condemn one another to finish in last place.

While both teams have youthful sides, it’s the Lions who have generated the most excitement in 2017.

They will start the match as favourites for Saturday’s home game at the Gabba after showcasing a lot of heart in their thirteen-point loss to the finals-bound Demons last Sunday.

The North boys on the other hand have had a disappointing season, slumping from the top eight last year to the bottom two this year, albeit under the notion that were going through a rebuilding phase.

Both teams will seek to finish the season on a strong note.

Although the coveted number one draft pick is there for the losers taking, you can bet your money that it won’t be what either Chris Fagan or Brad Scott will be thinking come match day.

The Crowd Says:

2017-08-24T06:41:47+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Guest


Of course ,if Collingwood win, that tips Melbourne into the quicksand.What was that about the dead coach bounce?

2017-08-24T06:10:01+00:00

Another Paul

Guest


I agree it is very unlikely for freo to win but of the other 3 the dogs are the most likely to win.

AUTHOR

2017-08-24T05:23:45+00:00

Brynn O'Connor

Roar Rookie


I can see where you're coming from, but I can't see the Dogs beating the Hawks (even after Hawks bad loss to the Blues last week). In any case, I can't see either West Coast or the Saints getting a sniff either. It would be a miracle for Freo to knock off the Dons in Melbourne.

AUTHOR

2017-08-24T05:20:20+00:00

Brynn O'Connor

Roar Rookie


Thanks @truetigerfan! I feel sorry for the Pies supporters that they have to miss another finals campaign (2013 seems a long time ago now!) but I certainly agree with you about the whole Buckley saga. It needs to end sooner rather than later!

2017-08-24T04:52:09+00:00

truetigerfan

Guest


Good article, Brynn. Agree on all counts. Something further to look forward to is ANOTHER finals series without Collingwood. Are you, too, over all the Eddie and Buckley sideshow?

2017-08-24T04:27:18+00:00

Another Paul

Guest


I don't know how what I wrote was ambiguous but that is exactly what I stated. Essendon are in the box seat but in your article you only mentioned Saints and Eagles as possibly taking 8th. I was only suggesting Dogs have a better chance then them as this won't come down to making up percentage it will come down to who wins and loses this weekend. If Essendon win they will make the 8 otherwise if they lose and Eagles win, they will make the 8 otherwise if both lose and saints win then they will make the 8 otherwise the dogs. I was just looking at the likely hood of who wins this weekend and am predicting the dogs and essendon to win and the eagles and saints to lose.

2017-08-24T04:14:51+00:00

Another Paul

Guest


You miss understood me, I only said 50/50 to win, which are better odds than both the eagles or saints, so the dogs have a better chance then them of finishing in the 8. I also added that this is only possible if Essendon drop their bundle.

AUTHOR

2017-08-24T04:12:46+00:00

Brynn O'Connor

Roar Rookie


No sure about that @Another Paul. Essendon are in the box seat for eighth, while Melbourne should finish up in seventh spot.

2017-08-24T03:25:06+00:00

Roy Kaufman

Guest


Not sure how you can rate the Dogs at '50/50 or better' to make the 8 when all Essendon have to do is basically beat the Dockers and would be 90/10 to do so. The Dogs on form are less than 50/50 to beat the Hawks. So more like 10/90 to make the 8....

2017-08-23T23:12:24+00:00

Mattyb

Guest


Richmond v StKilda is the game of the round with the highest stakes. I think it's a perfect warm up for the finals and the Tigers should win and secure a top four position and begin their journey to possible Tigertime.

2017-08-23T23:02:37+00:00

Another Paul

Guest


Just a note, The dogs are more likely to take the 8th spot then both the Saints and Eagles as they have the easiest game if the Bombers drop their bundle. The Dogs are a 50/50 or better and the Saints and Eagles are probably a 40/60 or worse chance to win and they are all on the same points. My tip is the dogs will win but finish ninth.

2017-08-23T22:23:34+00:00

truetigerfan

Guest


You betcha! Here we come! Carna Tigers! Eat 'em alive!

2017-08-23T20:44:46+00:00

Swannies

Guest


Tigers will make the top 4. Other teams are starting to get nervous now.

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