Floyd Mayweather vs Conor McGregor preview and prediction

Justin Faux Columnist

By Justin Faux, Justin Faux is a Roar Expert

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20 Have your say

    Tomorrow afternoon, UFC lightweight champion Conor McGregor will look to complete the biggest upset in the history of modern sports.

    More Mayweather versus McGregor
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    » Watch video highlights
    » Re-live the fight with our live blog

    Leicester City’s fairytale ending to the 2016 Premier League soccer season drew worldwide headlines after the 5000-to-1 dark horse lifted the trophy.

    Dubbed the “biggest upset in the history of sports”, the unbelievable story has spawned books and documentaries, and there is even a movie in development.

    For my money, though, Leicester City’s underdog story wouldn’t even compare to McGregor punching Floyd Mayweather’s lights out.

    What separates Leicester City winning its first title in the 132-year history of the club from what McGregor plans to do on Sunday is that The Foxes actually played soccer.

    McGregor is not a boxer. He has never boxed, not as an amateur or a professional.

    The 29-year-old Dubliner is an outstanding mixed martial arts fighter, but in a one-dimensional boxing match, he has no chance – not even the puncher’s variety – against an undefeated, five-weight world champion.

    Conor McGregor holds up his title belts

    (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

    The reality is, Mayweather versus McGregor is a gross mismatch, one that has rightly sparked a debate about the incompetence and possible negligence of the Las Vegas regulating body, the Nevada State Athletic Commission (NSAC) for even allowing this contest.

    NSAC, the same commission that refused to sanction a bout between Andre Ward and Aussie super middleweight Rohan Murdock in 2015 because it deemed the Western Australian puncher with an 18-1 record to be in over his head, has green lit a fight that pits the greatest boxer of this generation against a guy literally making his pro debut.

    The Las Vegas-based group has since continued to bend over backwards to accommodate the star fighters by allowing Mayweather and McGregor to compete wearing eight-ounce gloves during the spectacle of a super fight, overturning its own rule that fighters above 147-pounds are mandated to wear 10-ounce mitts.

    “I do not like the Nevada State Athletic Commission being used as a pawn in a social media battle,” chairman Anthony Marnell said before agreeing to be used as a pawn in a social media battle.

    The glove change, while ultimately a marketing ploy, is a major victory for Team McGregor on Sunday.

    The brick-fisted Irishman is a proven knockout puncher in four-ounce UFC gloves, and that should translate to boxing gloves, even with double the padding.

    Earlier this year, McGregor uploaded a photo of his left hand, captioned “this left hand made me millions,” and he’s not wrong. He won three UFC titles with that fist and it is his only realistic ticket to beating Mayweather.

    If you’ve ever seen a Mayweather fight, though, you will already know that he’s basically unhittable, and that’s against actual elite boxers.

    McGregor’s window to finish this fight or even land a knee-buckling blow is narrow, likely the first few rounds while Mayweather is still collecting data. After that, his power will diminish, his reflexes will slow, and he will be exposed as a sitting duck.

    Floyd Mayweather Boxing 2017

    (AP Photo/John Locher, File)

    In the lead-up to this multi-million dollar fight, Mayweather is telling anyone who will listen that he’s “lost a step” and that he’s “not the same fighter.”

    The 40-year-old pugilist has doubled down this week, boasting about partying all week at his Las Vegas strip club, Girl Collection, and chowing down a double whopper from Burger King while the UFC’s camera crew watched on.

    “He’s a lot younger. When you look at myself and Conor McGregor on paper, he’s taller, has a longer reach, he’s a bigger man from top to bottom. He’s a lot younger, so youth is on his side,” Mayweather told the New York Post.

    ‘And I’ve been off a couple of years. And I’m in my 40s. So, if you look at everything on paper, it leans toward Conor McGregor.”

    Don’t believe a single word of it.

    Mayweather has refused to release any footage of him preparing for this fight. And if you ask me, it’s because if the public saw those clips, it would shatter the illusion that he’s a peg below the fighter we saw box circles around Andre Berto two years ago.

    Mayweather-McGregor is a true once-in-a-lifetime spectacle, but to steal a Dave Chapelle quote, it has “all the suspense of a Globetrotters game.”

    Mayweather toys with him, embarrasses him, dances around him, smiles at him, and ultimately, lights him up like a Christmas tree.

    I give McGregor little chance of surviving 12 rounds – almost none. Boxing’s former king should separate him from his consciousness by the sixth or seventh round.

    Justin Faux
    Justin Faux

    Justin Faux is a seasoned combat sports scribe. Covering mixed martial arts and boxing since 2007, Justin has been published on NineMSN Australia, Fox Sports, ESPN, Sports Illustrated, and dozens of other outlets. You can follow him on Twitter @justinfauxmma.

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    The Crowd Says (20)

    • Roar Rookie

      August 26th 2017 @ 7:55am
      Dan said | August 26th 2017 @ 7:55am | ! Report

      What chance Justin, that the narrative for the fight goes as predicted for the first 2 odd rounds – with McGregor looking to land the knockout blow but Mayweather putting on another defensive clinic – and then as McGregor tires just continually closes the space and gets DQ?
      Is that a potential outcome for a rematch and another squillion dollars or do you think there will be a clause in the original contract about earnings and DQ?

      • Columnist

        August 26th 2017 @ 1:22pm
        Justin Faux said | August 26th 2017 @ 1:22pm | ! Report

        The chances of McGregor landing an “illegal MMA move” in this fight is almost nonexistent. There are provisions in the contract that indicate he will lose a giant chunk of his purse if he does. Mayweather has suggested it’s 90%, but that sounds outrageous.

    • Roar Guru

      August 26th 2017 @ 8:46am
      Rabbitz said | August 26th 2017 @ 8:46am | ! Report

      My fearless prediction:

      By the end of this bout, the shark will have well and truly been jumped.

      • Columnist

        August 26th 2017 @ 1:23pm
        Justin Faux said | August 26th 2017 @ 1:23pm | ! Report

        I feel like the circus has already jumped the shark, personally. This is fun and all, but I’m looking forward to it being all over.

    • August 26th 2017 @ 9:49am
      Mattyb said | August 26th 2017 @ 9:49am | ! Report

      Agree with the article.
      Pretty ordinary that this fight is going ahead,I just can’t see how a non boxer will defeat a boxer that other great actual boxers havnt been able to.

    • August 26th 2017 @ 10:41am
      morebeer said | August 26th 2017 @ 10:41am | ! Report

      McGregor will be belted into next week.

    • August 26th 2017 @ 10:42am
      rock86 said | August 26th 2017 @ 10:42am | ! Report

      Agree with this article, how this bout even went ahead is ludicrous.

      In saying that, I’ll probably sit down to watch it, with Mayweather schooling McGregor. In saying that though, let’s be clear, I think McGregor gives himself realistically no chance of winning – it’s always been about the money – and all parties will make ridiculous amounts from this bout, so they’ve both already won.

      • Roar Guru

        August 26th 2017 @ 11:39am
        Edward L'Orange said | August 26th 2017 @ 11:39am | ! Report

        Think you’re wrong about one thing: McGregor genuinely thinks he can win. One of the few, admittedly.

        • Columnist

          August 26th 2017 @ 1:25pm
          Justin Faux said | August 26th 2017 @ 1:25pm | ! Report

          I have spoken to people around McGregor over the past few months. They all believe he can do it.

          It’s not fake, he’s not just here for a cash grab. He believes he can do it.

    • August 26th 2017 @ 11:37am
      stagman said | August 26th 2017 @ 11:37am | ! Report

      Who cares!!! This nothing more than 2 big mouthed dumbasses blowing wind up each others arses. More Fake Sport and American bullsh-t!!!

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