The wave’s finally about to break at Geelong

Alphingtonian Roar Pro

By Alphingtonian, Alphingtonian is a Roar Pro

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64 Have your say

    On Friday night, the Cats face the Swans at the MCG in a do-or-die semi-final, where we’ll witness the Geelong wave that has been building since 2011 finally come crashing down in a furious, chaotic mess, leaving many naive or unsuspecting fans dumped and gasping for air.

    A wave is made up of a constant series of circular motions; when that motion is broken, the wave breaks – and the Geelong Football Club has been in a constant state of circular motion since 2011, making the same decisions over and over, leading to the same poor and predictable outcomes.

    List management strategy has been clearly designed to keep them in the finals at the expense of drafting young, elite talent. It has also placed far too much emphasis on creating a team for a Kardinia Park-centric gamestyle, using mature-age recruits – many of whom simply have not performed – to fill in potholes.

    It began with Hamish McIntosh, continued with Mitch Clark, and continues now with Rhys Stanley. Tom Stewart got found out last Friday night in his first final, Sam Menegola again failed to perform on the big stage, and once you add to that the overrated Mark Blicavs, who’s scarcely played one decent final in his life, it becomes clear how poor the list management decision making really has been.

    Would kids picked up in the 2012, 2013 or 2014 drafts be fairing any worse than those listed above? Why do the Cats continue to persist with such players and such a strategy when it clearly fails in finals?

    The circular motion continued with the re-signing of Chris Scott by Brian Cook, who when re-signed had won just two finals of his last eight, had won once after a bye in six years, and had persisted with fielding tall, slow teams when it had become abundantly clear that speed and dynamism are key ingredients for success.

    In the qualifying final against Richmond, Scott coached his team after a bye and was canned for playing a slow, tall team, dropping dynamic, midsize scoring ace Dan Menzel.

    Geelong were yet again obliterated in a final, beaten after a bye, and run off their feet.

    Meanwhile, in the background over the last few years, supporters’ fury has grown at Cook and Scott failing to even answer questions about our poor finals performances.

    More and more some fans could see the wave growing, the circles repeating themselves again and again with increasing menace.

    However, as Cook rattled off Scott’s impressive season-winning record of over 70 per cent, the media would lap it up – Geelong consistently being labelled a ‘successful team’ despite not even being in the top eight teams in the competition for finals wins in that time.

    Chris Scott Geelong Cats AFL 2017 tall

    AAP Image/Dave Hunt

    In last week’s qualifying final, Geelong had their lowest score in a final since 1903, losing to a team that hadn’t won a final since 2001, and that the Cats had beaten 21 of the previous 22 times they’d played.

    It took Scott’s finals coaching record to two wins from nine finals over the last six years.

    Last Friday night, the quiet bulge on the horizon suddenly rose, casting a tremendous, foreboding shadow over those in its path. The lip of Cook and Scott’s wave hangs in the air, waiting to crash down.

    On Friday night, Geelong’s wave will brutally smash, leaving Scott, Cook and the complacency of an underperforming club strewn in its wake.

    There need to be big changes at Geelong – let’s hope, as Cats fans, it begins on Friday night.

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    The Crowd Says (64)

    • September 14th 2017 @ 7:21am
      I ate pies said | September 14th 2017 @ 7:21am | ! Report

      Talk about hyperbole. It’s ok mate, it’s just footy.

    • September 14th 2017 @ 8:10am
      Bobby said | September 14th 2017 @ 8:10am | ! Report


      How I wished my team under-performed* like the cats have.

      All due respect champ, this article is hyper-critical and not really a reflection of the reality other teams’ supporters can see; Chris Scott has done an amazing job keeping this team contending without elite youth.

      • September 14th 2017 @ 8:27am
        truetigerfan said | September 14th 2017 @ 8:27am | ! Report

        Wrong, Bobby. The Cats have clearly underperformed in finals. How is this not true? 70% h@a record v less than 25% finals record. A clear gulf there, obviously. How is the author wrong! Re-read his premise.

        I obviously don’t support Geelong and it’s plain to see their recruiting strategy has certainly enabled them to play finals regularly only to disappoint time and again in recent years. It has also been this strategy that has denied them access to elite youth. That’s the whole point! It is bringing them undone. Stone cold reality!

        Good article, Alphingtonian. The Tiges need not fear the Cats anymore. Not in finals, anyway.

        • September 14th 2017 @ 9:34am
          Deir-ba-zor said | September 14th 2017 @ 9:34am | ! Report

          If you don’t win the premiership you can’t hope for anything but a 2-1 record in finals, if you don’t make the grand final the best you can hope for is 1-1.

          • September 14th 2017 @ 9:49am
            truetigerfan said | September 14th 2017 @ 9:49am | ! Report

            What’s your point? Geelong’s win/loss ratio in finals over the last 5 years is nowhere near 2-1 or evens! You’re actually supporting the ‘underperforming’ theory. How many more finals losses will it take for you to understand that?

            • Roar Guru

              September 14th 2017 @ 10:51am
              Cat said | September 14th 2017 @ 10:51am | ! Report

              So, I suppose you would agree the Tigers are under performers with their 25% finals success rate under Hardwick?

              • Roar Pro

                September 14th 2017 @ 6:14pm
                Alphingtonian said | September 14th 2017 @ 6:14pm | ! Report

                Amazingly Cat; Hardwick with one finals victory from 4 finals now has a better winning % in finals than Scott over the last 6 years.

              • September 14th 2017 @ 6:32pm
                Don Freo said | September 14th 2017 @ 6:32pm | ! Report

                So why not coubt the last7? Doesn’t suit?

      • September 14th 2017 @ 5:22pm
        Gecko said | September 14th 2017 @ 5:22pm | ! Report

        Agree with you Bobby. The Cats have been contenders virtually every year since 2011 (even with the pretty ordinary player list they have today) so they don’t seem to be making terrible decisions.

    • September 14th 2017 @ 8:39am
      Don Freo said | September 14th 2017 @ 8:39am | ! Report

      Your assessment of Menegola and Blicavs is a bit fanciful, especially the reference to Menegola.

      When did he last “fail to perform on the big stage”?

      • September 14th 2017 @ 9:00am
        Birdman said | September 14th 2017 @ 9:00am | ! Report

        last Friday

        • September 14th 2017 @ 6:35pm
          Don Freo said | September 14th 2017 @ 6:35pm | ! Report

          No, that was the first and only time. The implication is he has a record of failing.

          There have been plenty of times in big games he has performed.

          • Roar Pro

            September 15th 2017 @ 2:38am
            Alphingtonian said | September 15th 2017 @ 2:38am | ! Report

            Name one final he’s performed in?

            • September 15th 2017 @ 8:21am
              Don Freo said | September 15th 2017 @ 8:21am | ! Report

              That’s silly and just been answered. That line of argument has been exposed. You mention him in the context of “again”.

              • Roar Pro

                September 15th 2017 @ 12:30pm
                Alphingtonian said | September 15th 2017 @ 12:30pm | ! Report

                He’s played 3 finals and failed in them all.

              • September 15th 2017 @ 2:40pm
                Don Freo said | September 15th 2017 @ 2:40pm | ! Report

                What’s your version of “failure”? First final, 23 disposals at 73%….No failure there.

                Now the Prelim he got the ball 17 times but that was only 52%. That’s one ordinary game only but hardly an Andrew Mackie, Harry Taylor kind of fail. Why not target them? Do you like them too much?

                Menegola only played 8 games last year averaging 24 disposals. This year he has done even better.

      • September 14th 2017 @ 5:18pm
        Gecko said | September 14th 2017 @ 5:18pm | ! Report

        Menegola has at least shown improvement in 2017. There’d be a few other runners that I’d be criticising ahead of him, and Bliclavs is certainly one.

    • September 14th 2017 @ 8:54am
      Mick said | September 14th 2017 @ 8:54am | ! Report

      A bit of an overreaction. Geelong drafted Stephen Motlop and he has speed but he still played poorly (again). You have clearly built your argument around a premise rather than doing things in the correct order. And Tom Stewart is a gun. Had 2 bad mistakes on that game but that’s about 15 less than Dangerfield.

      • Roar Pro

        September 14th 2017 @ 6:20pm
        Alphingtonian said | September 14th 2017 @ 6:20pm | ! Report

        Stewart has been good, I never said he hadn’t just that he struggled on Friday night and the fact is he did -he certainly wasn’t alone though.

    • September 14th 2017 @ 9:05am
      Birdman said | September 14th 2017 @ 9:05am | ! Report

      I agree with the premise that list management has ensured they remain in the mix without a real prospect of saluting because they don’t really play a brand of finals footy anymore.

      I also agree that Chris Scott is an ordinary match day coach in finals evidenced again by late week’s effort but he at least has another chance this weekend to prove me wrong.

    • September 14th 2017 @ 9:09am
      BigAl said | September 14th 2017 @ 9:09am | ! Report

      Geelong quite a few years ago often used to be referred to as a “handbag” team.

      AT least I never hear that anymore !

      • September 14th 2017 @ 9:21am
        Birdman said | September 14th 2017 @ 9:21am | ! Report

        ….still gets a run at my place 🙂

        • September 14th 2017 @ 9:32am
          truetigerfan said | September 14th 2017 @ 9:32am | ! Report

          . . . mine too!

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