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AFL Grand Final: Who has the better bottom six?

The Adelaide Crows are looking odds-on to take out the 2017 flag. (Photo by Daniel Kalisz/Getty Images)
Roar Guru
29th September, 2017
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This weekend’s AFL Grand Final promises to be a beauty.

Following Adelaide’s win at the start of each round of the finals, you could not see anyone beating them. As the weekend progresses, Richmond get their chance and play with such spirit they seem to be riding a wave similar to the Western Bulldogs of 2016. It is not a Grand Final where either side has limped in.

All the wash-up from the 2017 AFL Grand Final
» Match Report: Tigers are premiers
» BUCKLAND: Richmond go from rabble to flag
» Six talking points from the match
» Richmond Tigers player ratings
» Adelaide Crows player ratings
» Watch video highlights from the match
» Re-live the match with our live blog

To win a premiership you need an even spread of contributors and cannot afford too many (if any) passengers. So in order to split these two teams have had look at the contribution of each side’s lesser likes and fringe players during the year.

Adelaide Crows

Player Disposals Marks Tackles Goals
TOT AVG TOT AVG TOT AVG TOT AVG
Paul Seedsman 72 18 17 4.3 14 3.5 5 1.3
David Mackay 356 17 64 3 71 3.4 9 0.4
Hugh Greenwood 225 16.1 36 2.6 95 6.8 8 0.6
Jake Kelly 336 14.6 98 4.3 64 2.8 0 0
Andy Otten 248 13.8 77 4.3 42 2.3 20 1.1
Kyle Hartigan 198 11.6 72 4.2 28 1.6 0 0
All Players 15.2 3.8 3.4 0.6

The bottom six contain an even spread of forwards, midfielders and backs. I Did consider Luke Brown primarily due to low disposals but with the “shut down” jobs he has done this year think he has avoided being in this pack.

What you note is a group of players who are in career best form with an average of a shade over 15 disposals and 3.4 tackles a game. The tackle average is to some extent skewed with tackling machine that is former college basketballer Hugh Greenwood.

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Richmond

Player Disposals Marks Tackles Goals
TOT AVG TOT AVG TOT AVG TOT AVG
Kamdyn McIntosh 348 15.1 82 3.6 74 3.2 2 0.1
Nathan Broad 127 14.1 39 4.3 23 2.6 0 0
Jack Graham 54 13.5 7 1.8 32 8 2 0.5
Jason Castagna 260 10.8 74 3.1 72 3 25 1
Dylan Grimes 258 10.8 70 2.9 74 3.1 1 0
Jacob Townsend 41 10.3 12 3 14 3.5 14 3.5
All Players 12.4 3.1 3.9 0.9

Again there is an even spread across the ground. Dan Butler was the other player that was considered but has been such an important player in the Tiger’s lineup.

These players have really played their role this year and have been solid contributors when in the senior side.

Disposal average is lower at a tick over 12 and marks are lower too in comparison to Adelaide. Not surprisingly, tackling is higher demonstrating the Tiger’s will to work for each other. Jack Graham helps the average too!

Apart from Jacob Townsend and Jason Castanga there is not much there to hit the scoreboard. Townsend will be looking to atone for a reasonably quiet finals campaign to date.

Conclusion
Adelaide have been the best team all year and have not been lower on the ladder than second.

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The key reason for this is that although they do not have the star power of Richmond, they have fantastic depth.

So to quote Phil Walsh, Adelaide “will get the job done” and defeat the Tigers in a close game.

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