This weekend’s AFL Grand Final promises to be a beauty.
Following Adelaide’s win at the start of each round of the finals, you could not see anyone beating them. As the weekend progresses, Richmond get their chance and play with such spirit they seem to be riding a wave similar to the Western Bulldogs of 2016. It is not a Grand Final where either side has limped in.
To win a premiership you need an even spread of contributors and cannot afford too many (if any) passengers. So in order to split these two teams have had look at the contribution of each side’s lesser likes and fringe players during the year.
Adelaide Crows
Player
Disposals
Marks
Tackles
Goals
TOT
AVG
TOT
AVG
TOT
AVG
TOT
AVG
Paul Seedsman
72
18
17
4.3
14
3.5
5
1.3
David Mackay
356
17
64
3
71
3.4
9
0.4
Hugh Greenwood 225
16.1
36
2.6
95
6.8
8
0.6
Jake Kelly
336
14.6
98
4.3
64
2.8
0
0
Andy Otten
248
13.8
77
4.3
42
2.3
20
1.1
Kyle Hartigan
198
11.6
72
4.2
28
1.6
0
0
All Players
15.2
3.8
3.4
0.6
The bottom six contain an even spread of forwards, midfielders and backs. I Did consider Luke Brown primarily due to low disposals but with the “shut down” jobs he has done this year think he has avoided being in this pack.
What you note is a group of players who are in career best form with an average of a shade over 15 disposals and 3.4 tackles a game. The tackle average is to some extent skewed with tackling machine that is former college basketballer Hugh Greenwood.
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Richmond
Player
Disposals
Marks
Tackles
Goals
TOT
AVG
TOT
AVG
TOT
AVG
TOT
AVG
Kamdyn McIntosh
348
15.1
82
3.6
74
3.2
2
0.1
Nathan Broad
127
14.1
39
4.3
23
2.6
0
0
Jack Graham
54
13.5
7
1.8
32
8
2
0.5
Jason Castagna
260
10.8
74
3.1
72
3
25
1
Dylan Grimes
258
10.8
70
2.9
74
3.1
1
0
Jacob Townsend
41
10.3
12
3
14
3.5
14
3.5
All Players
12.4
3.1
3.9
0.9
Again there is an even spread across the ground. Dan Butler was the other player that was considered but has been such an important player in the Tiger’s lineup.
These players have really played their role this year and have been solid contributors when in the senior side.
Disposal average is lower at a tick over 12 and marks are lower too in comparison to Adelaide. Not surprisingly, tackling is higher demonstrating the Tiger’s will to work for each other. Jack Graham helps the average too!
Apart from Jacob Townsend and Jason Castanga there is not much there to hit the scoreboard. Townsend will be looking to atone for a reasonably quiet finals campaign to date.
Conclusion
Adelaide have been the best team all year and have not been lower on the ladder than second.
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The key reason for this is that although they do not have the star power of Richmond, they have fantastic depth.
So to quote Phil Walsh, Adelaide “will get the job done” and defeat the Tigers in a close game.