A model for promotion and relegation in the A-League

By The Crowd / Roar Guru

Like many of you, yesterday’s announcement by the Association of Australian Football Clubs (AAFC) came as great news to me.

Whether their proposal comes to fruition exactly as described remains to be seen, but it surely starts to create a discussion about what the future of Australian football looks like. I think the response from both the AFC and FIFA will be crucial in how this all unfolds.

Regarding an appropriate model for promotion and relegation specifically, I think the first step is to get more teams into the A-League via promotion only. While I hate to say it, this means putting expansion on the backburner until 2021 at the earliest.

Adding more franchises to the A-League only to eventually allow pre-existing clubs entry into the competition makes no sense. It would be ridiculous if Craig Foster’s south expansion side were given a license only for Wollongong Wolves to then gain entry via promotion. Who would fans in the region support? The same could be said about a combination Tasmanian franchise with Hobart and/or Launceston championship teams respectively.

Although a delay in adding more teams to the league would be a frustration to many, I think most fans would be patient if they could see a long-term vision for the league. The imminent introduction of a second division – for argument’s sake, the Championship – followed by the promotion of high-performing teams in four to five years and relegation in eight to ten years would certainly be worth the wait.

This then leads to an appropriate model for promotion and relegation. For me, it’s about making promotion and relegation a possibility but an improbability. That is, teams facing the chop are given chances to stay up. Likewise, for teams that want a shot at the A-League, they must conclusively demonstrate they are up to standard.

My model would there involve the bottom two teams in the A-League and the top two teams of the Championship. For example’s sake let’s say that Brisbane Roar finish second last and Central Coast Mariners finish last, as per the ladder currently, and that South Melbourne and Brisbane Strikers finish first and second in the Championship.

(Image: Ashley Feder/Getty Images)

Brisbane Roar and Central Coast would play off in a one-leg fixture to see who faces relegation. As Brisbane finished higher, this would be held at Suncorp Stadium. Whoever wins escapes relegation. Similarly, South Melbourne and Brisbane Strikers would contest a playoff at Lakeside Stadium for the opportunity to gain promotion.

Assuming the higher ranked teams win both fixtures, Central Coast and South Melbourne would then play a two-leg fixture to see who gets a spot in the A-League.

As you can see, this would make promotion to the A-League difficult to achieve as well as giving teams a fair and reasonable opportunity to avoid relegation. If an A-League team finishes in the bottom two of the league then loses a playoff game against another A-League battler and then loses a two-leg tie to a Championship team, they deserve to go down. Likewise, if a Championship team does gain promotion, it will be well earned.

What you might therefore see if this model is adopted is very little change in the make-up of the A-League teams. Four or five changes might take ten or 15 years. A slow burn in changes to the league would mean that every team in the A-League deserves to be there.

This model would also allow any Championship team that does achieve promotion the reasonable chance to stay up. Their goal initially would be to finish third last at a minimum and therefore achieve a berth in the following season. However, if they did finish in the bottom two, they would be given a couple of opportunities to show they still deserve to be there and that another high-performing Championship team is not more deserving.

Once this model has been bedded in, you could then move to two-legged fixtures in both of the initial two playoffs and further down the track implement a similar model to promote and relegate two teams between the leagues. These fixtures should be played midweek during the A-League finals series.

Promotion and relegation is a matter of when, not if, in Australian football. It needs to be a possibility for a Championship to get promoted but an improbability for an A-League team to get relegated.

The Crowd Says:

2019-08-01T13:31:27+00:00

blood

Guest


finally somebody that talks sence, sick of romanticists treating pro/rel like its a magic cure for everything football related, there is also one other issue with full pyramid pro/rel is the ultra nationalist ethnic clubs getting into the pro tiers and sponsors leaving in droves because of those fans behavior, also for pro/rel but at least 15-20 years off imo

2017-11-04T22:23:32+00:00

Rolly

Guest


Football may have a.massive participation rate but the A league can not tap into that because it is too capital city centric and concentrated in too few cities .it's only a ten team comp in a handful of cities ..the A league is too exclusive not inclusive .it needs to grow to 16 teams to be inclusive.

2017-10-31T08:10:39+00:00

pacman

Guest


Take a step back everybody, and take a deep breath. If it sounds too good to be true, etc. Consider the following: The Championship will be governed by a board of directors (6), plus an independent chairman (their description, not mine). At least 3 of these directors are to be male, and three female. Why? Is ability not important? A minimum of 12 clubs, although as many as 16, consisting of both male and female teams. The winning team (presumably the male team) to be granted a place in the ACL! Surely they are not serious? Each club to have an annual budget of $2.5 million, including an annual licence fee of $150,000. So anywhere between $30 and $40 million per annum overall. Easy! My kids always thought it grew on trees! Each club to have a boutique stadium with a minimum capacity of 3,000. A salary cap of $1 million will apply to each club, covering both male and female teams. Maximum squad size is 20, and would one really want less? That works out at an average wage of $25,000 per player! Some will receive more, resulting in some receiving less. And yes, there will be some youngsters who will perhaps be happy with less, but my goodness, we would be walking a thin line. An application fee of $10,000 is payable in order to receive bid documents, with $8,000 refundable to clubs that are not successful. Not too bad I suppose, and with any luck that would deter the "tyre kickers" from applying. All of this is to be achieved in a little less than 24 months. I doubt the timetable is realistic. How many clubs will be able to arrange to have the commencing capital and revenue streams in place in such a short time? In addition to the working capital for day to day operations, most successful applicants will need to fund a "boutique stadium" with a minimum capacity of 3,000. Then we have the question of successful clubs building their squads, and I bet this is a cost that has not been factored into the initial $2.5 million annual budget. Admittedly no transfer fees, but there are costs involved in recruiting and settling new players. Now, I am a half glass full individual. Always look to how things can be achieved, both on the sporting field, and in business. Through experience, I have discovered that the well thought out and patient approach is far more successful than the "bull at gate" approach. Sorry, but this proposal smacks of the latter. Great on hyperbole, but somewhat lacking in substance and detail.

2017-10-31T04:02:46+00:00

Jordan

Guest


My article and subsequent comments on the matter demonstrate I am firmly in favor of the Wolves being given the opportunity of top flight via promotion over creating a Southern Sydney team out of nowhere so there is no need to call me stupid. I used the example of the Wolves and South Expansion not so much because of the proposed catchment area of the two teams. I use it as an example of existing NPL team vs. creating a franchise out of nowhere. If we are to begin promoting teams to the A-League from a bunch of that already exist, we shouldn't also be creating new teams with no history when a team already exists in that area.

2017-10-31T03:33:08+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


There is absolutely no evidence that shows crowds/TV ratings in ALeague reduce when Cricket & BBL plays & increases after Cricket/BBL ends. You're entitled to your own opinion. You're not entitled to your own facts. If you can't get behind an ALeague team, no problem. I feel the same about BBL, NBL, AFL, NRL, SuperRugby. Different people like different things. Apparently some Aussies like every sport & they follow 23 different clubs around the world. But, I think they're tuggers.

2017-10-31T03:23:39+00:00

Adam Bagnall

Guest


BBL starts later in the year, yes, but the Test matches begin late November and I guarantee more people are interested in the opening ball of the summer than the latest A League round. I can see where supporters of the promotion and relegation system are coming from and living in Wollongong, I could get behind a local side vying for promotion to the A League, but I personally can't see it happening.

2017-10-31T02:32:44+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


@R King Fair enough. I missed out on identifying 1 more match that appeals to Event Watchers. Maybe Syd vs MVFC pulls a few more Syd people. I know it doesn't pull any extras in Melbourne - we get similar crowds at Docklands to watch MV vs NIX. But, maybe there is 1 match for each club that appeals to Event Watchers. Out of 135 H&A matches there won't be many such matches.

2017-10-31T02:06:35+00:00

R King

Guest


Nem, I know you are wrong in this one. Speaking about AUFC matches only, there are those who turn up to REDS vs Victory game but don't bother even going to watch SFC or WSW when they come to town. The Victory game has much more hype to it than even the games against City, hence a better turn out. Members of my own family who are football lovers, sometimes have to chose between watching the Reds V whoever or some other event and unless it's the Victory, then regardless of what's on they make space in their schedule. Now before you go off and condemn them as not being a typical football lovers, they are paid up members of AUFC, family season ticket holders and sponsor, member of and sponsors a local club he played at, still sponsors the junior side he played at 40 years ago. [they also sponsor the Crows, the Power and a local footy side Norwood, told you he wasn't perfect] he Can afford both Fox and Optus so yeah I'd consider him to be a football lover, but he is time poor, so selects the games he goes to. His business partners are much the same. Jokingly i refer to them as 'the event goers' which always starts up a very strong family debate. So I think I'm being realistic, that there would be others like him, maybe more than the likes of you and I really know about.

2017-10-31T01:23:50+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


"there will always be some ‘event goers’ to watch key games, depends on the amount of hype surrounding the match." I think we need to be realistic. Apart from the Sydney & Melbourne Derbies & Finals, I don't think there is a single ALeague match that would appeal to anyone who is an event-watcher. There is nothing to attract anyone. No harm in that. Football around the world is based on people attending because they are attached to the teams involved. It's only in the past 20 years, or so, that "the tourist fan" has been taking a seat in stadiums. And, it seems, this is to the detriment of the atmosphere. The atmosphere Highbury when it was filled with diehard Gunners fans is far superior to the morgue-like sound that we hear at matches at the Emirates STadium

2017-10-31T01:04:42+00:00

R King

Guest


Nem, there will always be some 'event goers' to watch key games, depends on the amount of hype surrounding the match. Nothing wrong with them going, happy to take their money. Given the right set of circumstances, AUFC can gather around 15.000 'football' fans to a regular H & A match while at a grand-final we can draw the 50k+ which is also OK. Again happy to take their money, even though the home team doesn't get it. It would be nice to have as many people go to our matches as the AFL or BBL get, but not fussed that we don't. As long as the football on the park is of a standard that turns me on, I'm happy.

2017-10-31T00:56:18+00:00

R King

Guest


I understand that on Bill & Boz tonight they are going to be spending quite a lot of time discussing the proposed 2nd Division.

2017-10-31T00:54:57+00:00

R King

Guest


What do you mean 'Could Be'? Most of these clubs have had history in running a national competition, how did that work out?

2017-10-30T23:48:04+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


"I like to think I know a little about the market" Thinking you know a little about the market is not the way any sophisticated business assesses potential investment opportunities. That's the way people in pubs analyse issues. No harm in that, but it's ludicrous to think "your little knowledge" is capable of being used to accept - or dismiss - a business opportunity that is forecast to be generating around $40m per annum. For sure, if you provide your financial justification for not proceeding with this business opportunity, then you will be taken more seriously. ALeague & 2nd Division is not played only during summer. The competition starts in October. It plays in Spring, Summer & Autumn. BBL plays during Christmas Holidays. Then it's over for the next 45 weeks. We don't need the BBL audience. Anyone who finds BBL entertaining is not, and never will be, an ALeague fan. The things that BBL offers will never be offered by ALeague & 2nd Division. I do not need BBL fans, or AFL/NRL/water polo/ ballet/ opera fans watching ALeague. I want football fans watching ALeague & The Championship

2017-10-30T23:38:40+00:00

Adam Bagnall

Guest


I like to think I know a little about the market, and with AFL and NRL dominating the market, and cricket a huge drawcard over summer with Tests, ODI and Big Bash, there leaves little room for other sports to grow and expand, eg. the promotion and relegation system so many football fans seem to desire

2017-10-30T23:31:45+00:00

Nemesis

Guest


"Promotion/relegation in Australia will never work, there isn’t enough money and support for football here." Just saying "it will never work" is meaningless. None of us have analysed the market, done the forecasts, crunched the numbers. You haven't even seen the detailed proposal. You haven't spoken to anyone involved. Who cares if you think it will never work? You know nothing about the market, or the potential participants.

2017-10-30T23:31:29+00:00

Adam Bagnall

Guest


Check your facts, Wollongong gets 5 games in 2018. Crowds have hovered around 10,000 for many years now so you can't blame the Dragons for throwing plenty of games to the Gong. Hopefully next year with more games and better timeslots, crowds will increase.

2017-10-30T23:16:27+00:00

Brendo51

Roar Pro


I think people need to understand that at this time the FFA HAS to hose down a 2nd tier. Whether rightly or wrongly they have currently committed to a model which attracts capital via creating new franchises. They would be in a number of discussions actively trying to attract that capital into the A-League. Those stakeholders would disappear very quickly if the FFA were seen in anyway supporting the idea that the model was about to change. As soon as you start entertaining the idea of Rel/Pro new franchises are a non-starter and the emphasis will switch to existing clubs and how to support them in attracting Capital investment. The FFA's stance will not change until they are 100% ready to commit to a new model. ' From a FFA point of view the really interesting question is, do they think they can attract enough capital under the current model for 4-6 new teams over the next 5 years. If the answer is yes then (and I hate to say it) it is likely they will hold firm and stick with the current closed model. If no then its time to switch to a open model and start supporting the clubs to grow with within.

2017-10-30T21:59:22+00:00

Adam Bagnall

Roar Guru


Promotion/relegation in Australia will never work, there isn't enough money and support for football here. It works in the UK due to the larger population, and the fact football is the number one sport, bringing with it massive sponsorship deals, TV rights, etc. In Australia, football is a distant third behind the AFL and NRL, with cricket played alongside the A League season, robbing it of fans and interest. If you take a look at rugby league for example, one level below the NRL you have teams playing in front of a few hundred diehards, hardly making any money with minimal interest from the general public. Given the A League still struggles to attract healthy crowds on a regular basis, how would it work in the second division? If a team were relegated, they would take a huge step backwards financially, due to the lack of interest in a lower tier competition, not football's fault, just to do with Australia's smaller population, there is just too big a gap between elite competition and the lower levels. This would be a great idea if the second division could be financially viable, but given the number of A league clubs that have gone bust, that's a huge ask

2017-10-30T21:59:05+00:00

Jordan

Guest


The scenario you describe is certainly a valid one. However, one important point. Before relegation is to occur, it is likely 4 Championship teams will be promoted. If we assume that one team faces relegation each year, and this relegation is not automatic, and instead features a playoff system such as the one in my article, that is quite a large "buffer zone" for the 10 existing A-League teams in which to avoid being relegated. It is likely that all promotion and relegation will occur between Championship teams. It certainly puts an onus on A-League owners to keep on top of their game to maintain the status quo, but if one did finish behind three or even four Championship teams, they deserve what they get.

2017-10-30T21:52:18+00:00

Jordan

Guest


Good point. In this scenario you would have a Championship side that is "in form" against an A-League side that has been struggling all year. If the struggling A-League team still thrashes the in form Championship side, they deserve to stay up. The point of my playoff system is to ensure there is less uncertainty about which 14 teams deserve to be in the A-League. If no Championship team ever makes it once full pro/rel is implemented, so be it the best 14 teams shall remain in the top flight. Due to the nature of football I bet it wouldn't play out that way though.

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