The most overpaid players in the Australian cricket team

By Ryan Buckland / Expert

There has been a big focus on how much Australian cricket consumers are paying for their players in the past six months.

We know who has given the best value for money, but what about the worst?

In the first piece of this series we built a data set combining the number of balls a centrally contracted player had bat, bowled and fielded in the past two years, and compared that to a high level estimate of how much that player had been paid over the past two years.

It showed Nathan Lyon was indeed the GOAT, delivering the best value of all of Australia’s current centrally contracted cricketers ($171 per ball). Rounding out the top five were Matt Renshaw ($272), Peter Handscomb ($274), Josh Hazelwood ($286) and Usman Khawaja ($326).

How about the worst value?

The list probably won’t surprise you. And the five players mostly have a very similar theme about them, which you will identify quickly.

As a reminder, this is a very shallow look at the value a Test cricketer provides. It doesn’t consider context, opportunity and quality of output, and the financial figures are based on a series of assumptions.

Five of Australia’s current centrally contracted cricketers haven’t played at Test level in the past two years, so you could argue they’re five lowest value

However, the results are instructive.

(AAP Image/Dan Himbrechts)

In 15th place – is West Australian Hilton Cartwright. The fledgling allrounder cost Cricket Australia $1,331 per ball over the past two years, reflecting mostly reflecting his assumed retainer and limited opportunity at Test level.

Cartwright has played two Tests – one home and one away – batted for 125 balls and bowled for 54. He’s also been in the field for 2,199 deliveries.

Second last is Glenn Maxwell ($1,093 per ball), who is arguably on the list more for his short form credentials. Still, the explosive all-rounder has played four Tests in the past two years.

I’ve assumed Maxwell is in the hypothetical third tier of retainer payments, and he’s been on the central contract list for the past two years. That means he’s spread his retainer over very few games – increasing his cost per ball.

(AP Photo/Kirsty Wigglesworth)

In 13th place is Ashton Agar, a newcomer to the contract list but one who has seen very little action at Test level.

Indeed, other than Cartwright, Agar has been involved in the fewest deliveries of the 15 centrally contracted players. However, there is a step change between he and Maxwell, with Agar’s cost per ball sitting at $784.

Just ahead of him is Pat Cummins, who is another that has found himself on the central contracts list for the past two years despite a lack of international game time due to injury.

Cummins has bowled 840 deliveries over the study period, or about 20 per cent of the work Hazelwood has put in.

Now his body issues appear behind him, Cummins will certainly improve his value from $757 per ball to something more like fellow quick Mitchell Starc ($391 per ball).

The common thread amongst the bottom four on the list? For the most part, Cartwright, Maxwell, Agar and Cummins are project players who’ve been identified as having significant roles to play in Australian cricket, but who simply haven’t made the team on a consistent basis.

With an Ashes series and tour to South Africa coming up in the next six months, all will have an opportunity to provide more value.

Rounding out the bottom five is perennial back up, the Michael Kasprowicz of the current generation of fast bowlers, Jackson Bird.

Even though his value per ball is relatively high ($667 per ball), Bird’s output has to be weighed against his value as a ready-made back up for the younger quicks. He also looms as having an important role during the coming Test period should Australia opt for four fast bowlers.

The five most overpaid Aussie Test cricketers (based on workload)

Player Output
Hilton Cartwright $1,331 per ball
Glenn Maxwell $1,093 per ball
Ashton Agar $784 per ball
Pat Cummins $757 per ball
Jackson Bird $667 per ball

That’s the list when players are compared on a per ball basis. What about if we look at more interesting metrics, like runs, wickets and fielding plays?

In terms of dollars per run, Peter Handscomb comes out on top with a rating of $888 per run. Close behind him is Usman Khawaja ($903 per run), and not too far behind again is David Warner ($951).

Rounding out the top five are Matt Renshaw ($1,059) and Steve Smith ($1,112), whose sheer weight of runs (2,275, at an average of 65) couldn’t quite make up for his assumed price tag.

The five most valuable Aussie Test batsmen (based on $ per run)

Player Output
Peter Handscomb $888 per run
Usman Khawaja $903 per run
David Warner $951 per run
Matt Renshaw $1,059 per run
Steve Smith $1,112 per run

On the wickets front, there’s a clear number one: Nathan Lyon once again, with a rating of $12,654 per wicket. He was also rated number one in terms of overall balls batted, bowled and fielded.

In second is Josh Hazelwood ($24,820), just ahead of Mitchell Starc ($25,814).

The two fast bowlers were significantly further apart when just deliveries were taken into account, showing Starc’s value is more as a strike bowler.

Jackson Bird and Mitch Marsh round out the top five, but are significantly higher on a dollars per wicket basis ($51,190 and $60,850, respectively).

The five most valuable Aussie Test bowlers (based on $ per wicket)

Player Output
Nathan Lyon $12,654 per wicket
Josh Hazlewood $24,820 per wicket
Mitchell Starc $25,814 per wicket
Jackson Bird $51,190 per wicket
Mitch Marsh $60,850 per wicket

(AP Photo/Tsering Topgyal)

Finally, dollars per dismissal. The number one here is obvious: Matthew Wade, on $17,368 per catch and stumping. In second is Steve Smith all the way up at $47,296 per catch (zero stumpings, obviously).

You can take your pick thereafter.

There we have it! This is quite a simple exercise in all, but it’s all for fun and sheds some interesting light on what is always a fairly contentious issue in Australian cricket.

If all goes well this summer, there’ll be a reduction in the dollars per run, wicket and dismissal across the board.

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The Crowd Says:

2017-11-22T06:25:27+00:00

JGK

Roar Guru


Ah yes, I've re-read it. Still don't like Smith at 5.

AUTHOR

2017-11-20T07:41:19+00:00

Ryan Buckland

Expert


That's not what it says.

2017-11-20T06:56:48+00:00

JGK

Roar Guru


Any analysis that suggests that Steve Smith is the worst value batsman in the Australian side needs revisiting.

AUTHOR

2017-11-20T02:03:21+00:00

Ryan Buckland

Expert


Under this framework, absolutely. CA would be paying them state contracts and test match payments, but no national retainer, which is where the big money comes in.

2017-11-20T01:49:46+00:00

rock86

Guest


If you're going to base any value on these area's you need to combine them for the players category (are they a batsmen, bowler, all-rounder etc.). You then need to give each of the 'metric' a weighting to bring in an overall rating, yes the weighting would be subjective, but at least it would take into account all aspects of the players job to provide a value. Also, you have to include some sort of 'opportunity metric' (which you've alluded to), as the central contracted player may not have played many tests, however been fairly involved in the limited overs formats so provided CA with value there. It's a start, but needs some adjusting.

2017-11-20T01:00:43+00:00

Glenn Mitchell

Expert


Thanks Ryan ... a thorough piece of work, as usual.

2017-11-20T00:55:10+00:00

Craig

Guest


Given SMarsh doesn't have a CA contract, neither Paine, they would be great value?

AUTHOR

2017-11-20T00:41:02+00:00

Ryan Buckland

Expert


All we're trying to do here is provide a perspective on the value for money Australian cricket fans have gotten from the players they are paying. It can't be a true "value" metric because we don't have the tools. And to be frank, if I had developed something like that, I wouldn't be publishing it on the web - I'd be selling it to the highest bidder.

AUTHOR

2017-11-20T00:39:12+00:00

Ryan Buckland

Expert


Sorry Glenn, I did see that comment and I'd intended to get back to you. The balls fielded was taken from Cricinfo's Statsguru, by taking the balls in each inning of each test played in the past two years and running a little code that matched the games that each player played over than time to the number of balls in the given inning. It isn't precise, because it doesn't consider when a player might have been off with an injury or toilet break or whatever, but all things being equal it gives a sound guide. I'd guess a player would be on the field for at least 95% of the balls that were delivered in a given inning. Regarding the wicket keeper, absolutely, I should have done that. Dividing by 10 is likely to undersell Matthew Wade's value to the team.

AUTHOR

2017-11-20T00:36:18+00:00

Ryan Buckland

Expert


They are less than ideal. What would you have done?

2017-11-19T23:00:56+00:00

Jordan c

Guest


So players who are contracted but hardly play due to injury or our selections get automatically drafted in to poor value as they aren't taking the field? You must be a sales manager in a past life...

2017-11-19T22:16:04+00:00

Brainstrust

Guest


The actual best value players would be those who made the test team without having a central contract. Steve Okeefe is one. As far as I know there was no third tier, its 900k per player plus match fees except for Steve Smith on 1.12 million. The match fees are 14k per test so even if they play all the test matches versus none, they only get a bit of money for playing.

2017-11-19T22:10:01+00:00

paul

Guest


We all know how disruptive it is to have players going in and out of the Test side. This article highlights this in a dollar manner very well. Fair enough, it's simplistic look at what is probably a complex issue, but the basic premise remains - get a settled side and you're going to get value for money.

2017-11-19T22:07:35+00:00

rock86

Guest


These metrics you are using for 'value' are really poor.

2017-11-19T20:51:40+00:00

Glenn Mitchell

Expert


I asked these Qs on your previous article but you may not have seen them. “The main indicator will be balls batted, bowled and fielded – with balls fielded divided by ten to ensure we’re not giving players too much credit for standing at fine leg.” Ryan, where did you obtain the stats for how many balls each player fielded? And when you factor in the involvement of a wicket-keeper and how many times he takes the ball in a match, are you able to quantify the impact he has on the game (aside from simply dismissals) with respect to his dollar value given it is his primary role in the team?

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