The Roar’s AFL expert tips and predictions: Round 9

Josh Elliott Editor

By Josh Elliott, Josh Elliott is a Roar Editor

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    West Coast host Richmond in a top-of-the-table clash on Sunday (AAP Image/Tony McDonough)

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    I’m deeply uncomfortable with the idea of North Melbourne heading into a match with one of last year’s top four sides as favourites – but the conclusion is hard to escape.

    The Roos keep putting in competitive efforts, meanwhile GWS are still missing a host of key players, and a Hobart fixture is always a boost for the Roos.

    I’d be lying if I claimed to be particularly confident, or even remotely confident at all, but I’ll tipping North this week.

    Probably the hardest match to tip this week is also the most anticipated, between West Coast and Richmond on Sunday afternoon.

    They are undoubtedly the best two sides of the opening third of the season, both having lost only the one match so far, and neither has dropped a game in the last six weeks.

    On one hand I feel that West Coast having the home ground advantage will be telling in this game. There’s no doubting when you look at the numbers that Richmond have been strongest this year when at the MCG.

    However I worry that the continued absence of Luke Shuey may prove too much for West Coast to overcome in this one.

    I’ll be tipping the Tigers to take a win on the road, but it’s an incredibly close call in a match that could go either way. Not to be missed.

    The rest of this week’s matches all look fairly straightforward – Adelaide, Port Adelaide, Geelong, Sydney, Collingwood, Melbourne and Hawthorn are my tips.

    I’ll make Port Adelaide in Shanghai my lock of the week. Gold Coast aren’t going to win too many (if any) games without Tom J Lynch this year.

    Lock of the week from the Simpsons

    Adrian Polykandrites
    Adelaide, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Geelong, Sydney, Collingwood, Melbourne, Hawthorn, West Coast

    North should be too good for the flaky Giants in Hobart and Port will wax the Suns in China.

    Geelong will be too good for Essendon at the MCG.

    An upset wouldn’t surprise me in either of the Saturday night games, but I can’t go against Sydney and Collingwood.

    Melbourne will easily account for Carlton.

    Hawthorn won’t want to take the Lions lightly at the Gabba but I’ll tip the Hawks in a close one.

    West Coast to take top spot in game of the round – or possibly the season – against the Tigers in Perth.

    TomC
    Adelaide, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Geelong, Sydney, Collingwood, Melbourne, Hawthorn, West Coast

    I’ve pretty much run out of faith in the Giants. If you’d told me at the beginning of the year I’d be tipping North to win this contest I’d have laughed, but it’s the plucky Kangaroos in Hobart for me.

    The only question about Port’s game against the Gold Coast in Shanghai is whether the final margin exceeds the attendance. The Power by plenty.

    It wouldn’t surprise me if Essendon came out swinging this week against the Cats and kept this close for a while, but Geelong will outlast them one way or the other.

    Brisbane have been getting close and not winning in most games recently. Against Hawthorn at the Gabba I predict they will get close and not win. I wonder how many games in a row they can lose before we cotton on that there are serious problems at the Lions.

    Match of the round is surely West Coast at home to Richmond on Sunday evening. The reigning premier’s only other trip interstate this season netted them their only loss so far, and with the form the Eagles are in most likely they’ll retain a 0 per cent record outside Victoria to go along with their 100 per cent record inside Victoria.

    Elsewhere, Adelaide comfortably at home to Western, Sydney will finally surely win a game they’re supposed to over the Dockers, Collingwood too strong for St Kilda, and Melbourne to end Carlton’s brief party.

    Round 9 Josh E Adrian P Cam R TomC The Crowd
    ADE vs WB ADE ADE ADE ADE ADE
    NM vs GWS NM NM NM NM NM
    GCS vs PA PA PA PA PA PA
    ESS vs GEE GEE GEE GEE GEE GEE
    SYD vs FRE SYD SYD SYD SYD SYD
    STK vs COL COL COL COL COL COL
    CAR vs MEL MEL MEL MEL MEL MEL
    BRI vs HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW
    WCE vs RIC RIC WCE WCE WCE WCE
    Last week 5 5 5 5 6
    Total 39 45 43 47 49

    Josh Elliott
    Josh Elliott

    Josh Elliott may be The Roar's Weekend Editor, but at heart he's just a rusted-on North Melbourne tragic with a penchant for pun headlines - and also abnormal alliteration, assuredly; assuming achievability. He once finished third in a hot chilli pie eating contest. You can follow him on Twitter @JoshElliott_29 and listen to him on The Roar's AFL Podcast.

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    The Crowd Says (56)

    • Roar Guru

      May 17th 2018 @ 11:56am
      AdelaideDocker said | May 17th 2018 @ 11:56am | ! Report

      Adelaide, Geelong, Port and Sydney should all cruise to comfortable wins this week. Melbourne and Hawthorn should be in that category, but I have my doubts on both.

      For mine, though, the three most intriguing games are NM v GWS, Richmond v West Coast and Saints v Collingwood. All three are difficult to predict.

      NM should win, who bloody knows with the game at Optus and I can see the the Saints winning a scrappy game against the Pies.

      • Roar Rookie

        May 17th 2018 @ 12:12pm
        Michael Pallaris said | May 17th 2018 @ 12:12pm | ! Report

        It’s hard to get a read on Collingwood, but they should get the job done against the Saints.

      • Roar Pro

        May 17th 2018 @ 7:54pm
        Samuel Ord said | May 17th 2018 @ 7:54pm | ! Report

        Wouldn’t think Collingwood v St Kilda will be tough match up. Collingwood a 90 per cent chance at a win. Hawthorn v Brisbane a much more interesting encounter.

    • Roar Rookie

      May 17th 2018 @ 12:08pm
      Mattician6x6 said | May 17th 2018 @ 12:08pm | ! Report

      Eagles this weekend, question marks on gov are not fitness its whether his wife goes into labour(also the reason the contract talks where put on backburner)
      Adelaide, north, port, Syd, Geelong, pies, melb, brissy

    • May 17th 2018 @ 12:27pm
      TC said | May 17th 2018 @ 12:27pm | ! Report

      I was really looking forward to not feeling how I felt as a Giants member in 2012-14 for a while. 2018 is already looking like a write off. The secrecy from the club is doing my head in. A bit of a sore groin for Josh Kelly (6 weeks later!!!) ‘Hot spot in the foot’ for Toby Greene (missed 5!!). Hot spot is clearly the new term for being nervous about owning up to the fact that the club has issues in the conditioning department. Rant over. Carry on talking about all the teams better than mine.

    • Roar Rookie

      May 17th 2018 @ 12:28pm
      Wilson said | May 17th 2018 @ 12:28pm | ! Report

      I’m looking forward to North v GWS even more than WCE hosting Richmond. For me, there’s nothing more enticing than a historical battler of a club whose strengths are teamwork, effort and camaraderie pitted against a club that has been gifted countless luxuries and seems to predominantly rely on their god-given talent. To make things even better it’s being played in Tasmania. North by 2 goals.

      • May 18th 2018 @ 9:30am
        Swannys said | May 18th 2018 @ 9:30am | ! Report

        Totally agree

        North represent everything right about footy and Gws everything wrong .

        • May 18th 2018 @ 11:38am
          I ate pies said | May 18th 2018 @ 11:38am | ! Report

          Yep

    • May 17th 2018 @ 12:32pm
      I ate pies said | May 17th 2018 @ 12:32pm | ! Report

      Here’s a tip for you; the Dogs should welcome back at least 2 of their senior defenders this week, which will considerably strengthen their backline, which has been their weakness over the last month. They’re number one for clearances this year, so they should get onto of a weakened Adelaide midfield and get plenty of opportunities.
      They probably won’t win, but this game will be a lot closer than most people expect, and it wouldn’t surprise me if they snatch the 4 points if they kick straight. Having said that, my tips were woeful last week so it’s probably best to take what I write with a grain of salt.

    • Roar Rookie

      May 17th 2018 @ 1:00pm
      WCE said | May 17th 2018 @ 1:00pm | ! Report

      Perfect weather on Sunday for the footy here in Perth so the game against the tigers should be a real cracker!
      I hope Ah-chee and Ainsworth keep there spots. I’m not a big fan of Jetta due to the fact he goes “missing” at times and isn’t a solid reliable player so in my opinion keep Ah-Chee in for pace. When Jets puts in a good game he’s awesome to watch but he isn’t consistent and you need consistency not passengers. Big NIc & Scotty duelling in the ruck is normally a dominant display and should be again on Sunday. Hutch in for a tag and either big Tommy or Gov on the whinging Reiwoldt should give us a win.

      WCE by 22

      • May 17th 2018 @ 5:29pm
        Mr X said | May 17th 2018 @ 5:29pm | ! Report

        Ah Chee surely can’t go out.
        Ainsworth should go out but only if Sheed is 100 percentCherry ripe

      • May 19th 2018 @ 9:11am
        Jungle Jim said | May 19th 2018 @ 9:11am | ! Report

        that’s a misconception about Jets. he plays a role now on the back flank and he doesn’t so much go missing as busy playing that role…his role is not to be a flashy runner burning up the paddock continually and get on the highlights reel?
        It’s a team unit and he’s a great cog often providing drive forward from the back.

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