The Roar’s AFL expert tips and predictions: Round 12

Josh Elliott Editor

By Josh Elliott, Josh Elliott is a Roar Editor

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    Round 12 sees the beginning of the bye rounds in season 2018, but a slightly longer round than usual since we have a public holiday on Monday.

    Richmond have a 100 per cent record in Victoria and a 0 per cent record outside of it. Can Port Adelaide keep up that trend? I’m not sure, but with Dustin Martin out, that pushes the Power over the top in my book.

    Geelong clicked together really well last week, albeit against pretty average opposition. At their home ground of Kardinia, I suspect they’ll have too much star power for North.

    A breakthrough win for GWS over the Crows at Adelaide Oval last week was a reminder that they’re still a pretty good football team, if not what we thought they might be. Should easily dispose of the Suns.

    St Kilda have made both Richmond and West Coast feel nervous in the past fortnight, but haven’t been able to land a killer blow. I don’t think they’ll have any more luck against Sydney this week.

    Brisbane at the Gabba is a prospect that should make any team nervous, especially an Essendon side reeling from last week’s loss. Still I think the Lions will miss the spark of Charlie Cameron and the Dons will win.

    Fremantle might nearly have been favourites against an increasingly wounded Adelaide side this week, but the absence of Nat Fyfe should make this a fairly straightforward one for the Crows.

    Queens Birthday is match of the round and a really tough contest to pick. Melbourne’s form is impossible to ignore, but the Magpies are every chance.

    Lock of the week would have to be the Giants shutting down the Suns on Saturday.

    Lock of the week from the Simpsons

    Adrian Polykandrites
    Richmond, Geelong, GWS, Sydney, Brisbane, Fremantle, Melbourne

    I’m tipping the Cats but I don’t know why. North are better. Kardinia Park, I suppose.

    GWS should get a nice percentage boost against the Suns.

    Sydney are one of the least impressive 8-3 sides in recent memory and the Saints are coming off a respectable fortnight against the top-two. I’m tipping the Swans in a close one.

    Brisbane will get their second win of the year against the Bombers and Fremantle will upset the decimated Crows even without Nat Fyfe.

    Melbourne will be too strong for Collingwood on Monday. It’s a fun round.

    Cameron Rose
    Richmond, Geelong, GWS, Sydney, Essendon, Adelaide, Melbourne

    A number of big games this weekend, and some exciting challenges await.

    Port hosts Richmond, with the Power nutted in a close one last week and the Tigers fresh off a commanding win. Richmond look to be right back in form after a quiet period, and can go on with it.

    North heads down the highway to Geelong, in a game that is vital to the top four chances of both sides. The Roos are playing the most committed footy of any side, but expecting the Cats top end quality and home ground advantage to hold sway.

    GWS should clean up Gold Coast in the clash of the expansion sides, and the same can be said for Sydney against St Kilda.

    On Sunday, a humbled Essendon get a chance to show their mettle at the Gabba. A few injuries will start to hit home for Brisbane. Freo will be lucky to win more than a few games for the rest of the season, and losing Nat Fyfe for a week gives the edge to Adelaide, even in Perth.

    On Monday, we see two of the form teams of the comp square off, both of which have shown a number of attacking weapons in recent times. No team is hotter than Melbourne right now, and they meet a sterner test than they have for quite a while in Collingwood. Expect them to handle it, and win well.

    TomC
    Port Adelaide, Geelong, GWS, Sydney, Essendon, Adelaide, Melbourne

    The Tigers need to be seen as two different teams: the one that plays at home and the one that goes on the road. Looking at it that way there isn’t much reason to tip them away to the Power this week, and I’ll go with Port Adelaide in front of a parochial Friday night crowd.

    On form you might just back the Roos over the Cats, but I’m not quite convinced enough to tip them head to head at Kardinia Park, particularly with Ablett getting into gear. Geelong at home for me.

    GWS will beat the Suns by 15 goals.

    Sydney are getting to the end of a particularly easy section of their draw, playing Fremantle, Brisbane, Carlton and now St Kilda in four rounds. They’ve looked comfortable in each of these matchups so far and I suspect will do so again against the sorry Saints.

    When Brisbane play their best footy they look capable of beating mid-ladder teams, but with a rash of injuries in a short space of time they look vulnerable against the improved Bombers. Essendon will play better footy for longer and should grind out a win.

    Adelaide appear to have fallen into a hole that they might not get out of in 2018. But the Dockers are missing several key players including Nat Fyfe and on paper at least look a little outmatched this week. While I’m a bit hesitant tipping the visitors, who have never played at the new stadium, I think the Crows have too much firepower for Freo.

    This year’s Queen’s Birthday clash is one of the most highly anticipated I can remember. I think the Demons still have a bit to prove, and Collingwood are a big chance, but there’s no denying Melbourne bring in the better form and I’ll back them to continue their winning run.

    Round 12 Josh E Adrian P Cam R TomC The Crowd
    PA vs RIC PA RIC RIC PA RIC
    GEE vs NM GEE GEE GEE GEE GEE
    GWS vs GCS GWS GWS GWS GWS GWS
    STK vs SYD SYD SYD SYD SYD SYD
    BL vs ESS ESS BL ESS ESS ESS
    FRE vs ADE ADE FRE ADE ADE ADE
    MEL vs COL MEL MEL MEL MEL MEL
    Last week 8 7 6 8 8
    Total 60 65 61 69 71

    Josh Elliott
    Josh Elliott

    Josh Elliott may be The Roar's Weekend Editor, but at heart he's just a rusted-on North Melbourne tragic with a penchant for pun headlines - and also abnormal alliteration, assuredly; assuming achievability. He once finished third in a hot chilli pie eating contest. You can follow him on Twitter @JoshElliott_29 and listen to him on The Roar's AFL Podcast.

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    The Crowd Says (32)

    • Roar Guru

      June 7th 2018 @ 10:00am
      AdelaideDocker said | June 7th 2018 @ 10:00am | ! Report

      Screw it, I’m going a little wild in my tips.

      Richmond to win even without Dusty.
      North to surprise Geelong.
      GWS to win, but the Suns will make it intriguing at times.
      Sydney to win, but it’ll be close (under 10 points)
      Brisbane to beat the Dons, comfortably.
      Freo to upset the Crows.
      Collingwood to win.

      Told ya I’m a little crazy this week! I feel they’ll be a lot of close matches, particularly the last two.

      • Roar Rookie

        June 7th 2018 @ 10:37am
        Pedro The Fisherman said | June 7th 2018 @ 10:37am | ! Report

        Freo beating the Crows would hardly be an upset! Freo may be without Fyfe but Adelaide’s injury list is getting longer as we speak, they are out of form and low on confidence, and making the trip to Perth is never a positive thing, especially when playing at a stadium they have never seen before.

    • June 7th 2018 @ 10:41am
      Rissole said | June 7th 2018 @ 10:41am | ! Report

      Shame about those injuries to the Lions. Would be strong favourites with those players still in.

      I still think they’ll get over my Bombers though.

    • Roar Guru

      June 7th 2018 @ 11:53am
      Peter the Scribe said | June 7th 2018 @ 11:53am | ! Report

      The Scott brothers clearly got together over the Turkey at Xmas lunch and placed a wager on which of their sides would concede the lowest points for the year, currently Geelong lowest, Nth third lowest so could this game be the first nil all draw in footy history? Geelong by 2 points
      Port v Rich is a crucial game for Port more than Richmond. The Tigers two losses were away against Adelaide and WCE. Another loss here would have their away credentials challenged and off to the Cattery the week after. (In fact they play Geelong twice in the next 7 rounds) Port by 21
      Freo v Crows is crucial for Adelaide to hang in there while they await their injured players to return. Crows by 9.
      Coll V Melb. Big game. Highest scoring side v 4th highest. Gawn v Grundy. Viney v Pendlebury, Jones V Adams, Treloar V Oliver….as Bruce would say “delicious”. Pies by 19 in a high scoring game worthy of a final.

      • June 7th 2018 @ 12:00pm
        truetigerfan said | June 7th 2018 @ 12:00pm | ! Report

        There is no ‘off to the Cattery’ next week. The game is at the G! No worries, glad I could help.

        • Roar Guru

          June 7th 2018 @ 12:27pm
          Peter the Scribe said | June 7th 2018 @ 12:27pm | ! Report

          A Geelong home game at the G? Cat won’t be happy and twice Richmond play Geelong at the G in 7 rounds is curious fixturing.

        • Roar Guru

          June 7th 2018 @ 12:28pm
          Cat said | June 7th 2018 @ 12:28pm | ! Report

          Don’t get me started on that BS.

          • June 7th 2018 @ 12:39pm
            truetigerfan said | June 7th 2018 @ 12:39pm | ! Report

            Can relate. The Tiges have a ‘home’ game against the Swans at Etihad coming up soon. It sucks big time.

            • June 8th 2018 @ 8:22am
              Don Freo said | June 8th 2018 @ 8:22am | ! Report

              GC had a home game at Perth. Got any REAL issues?

          • June 7th 2018 @ 1:03pm
            Neil from Warrandyte said | June 7th 2018 @ 1:03pm | ! Report

            What is it with the Cats selling their home games to play at the MCG, then complaining when they have to play there in finals?

            • June 7th 2018 @ 1:12pm
              truetigerfan said | June 7th 2018 @ 1:12pm | ! Report

              They don’t ‘sell home games’ to play at the G! AfL direction. Similarly, do you think Richmond ‘sell home games’ to play at Etihad where our record really sucks?! Just askin’.

              • June 7th 2018 @ 3:56pm
                Tom M said | June 7th 2018 @ 3:56pm | ! Report

                Every MCG Tennant is required to play 1 home game a year at Etihad. Hawthorn have had theirs and Collingwood played the Bulldogs their in what was our home game. So we played the Bulldogs at their own home ground, pretty stupid. Feel lucky that you drew the swans TTF, they have a much better record at the G

              • June 9th 2018 @ 6:43am
                Mark said | June 9th 2018 @ 6:43am | ! Report

                That’s completely false. We’ve won 12 of our last 13 at Etihad. Some people…

            • Roar Guru

              June 7th 2018 @ 1:17pm
              Cat said | June 7th 2018 @ 1:17pm | ! Report

              Cats don’t sell home games. Please stop making stuff up, you are embarrassing yourself.

      • Roar Guru

        June 7th 2018 @ 12:30pm
        Cat said | June 7th 2018 @ 12:30pm | ! Report

        You really should try watching some actual games instead of watching one and thinking everything is always the same.

      • June 7th 2018 @ 4:33pm
        Michael said | June 7th 2018 @ 4:33pm | ! Report

        Just nitpicking, but North are second lowest per game, Port have had the bye already.

      • June 7th 2018 @ 6:01pm
        peter chrisp said | June 7th 2018 @ 6:01pm | ! Report

        Peter let’s hope you are correct on The Pies a continuation of our last game of the year where we knocked off Dees would like that very much

    • June 7th 2018 @ 2:31pm
      IAP said | June 7th 2018 @ 2:31pm | ! Report

      Ahhh, the bL8ody bye rounds. Please AFL, just scrap them and make the clubs give every player a rest at some stage during the season. It’s such a simple fix for such a stupid, stupid thing to do.

      • June 8th 2018 @ 8:26am
        Don Freo said | June 8th 2018 @ 8:26am | ! Report

        Good to see you reading my comments from last year. Little wonder I agree with you on this one.

        • June 9th 2018 @ 12:21pm
          IAP said | June 9th 2018 @ 12:21pm | ! Report

          Yes I trawled through last year’s Roar articles for your opinion so I could copy it…

    • June 7th 2018 @ 3:45pm
      sammy said | June 7th 2018 @ 3:45pm | ! Report

      I will ask the 3 tipsters who tipped Adelaide to beat Freo this weekend..would you put your hard earned money on it? If freo can’t beat an absolutely injury ravaged crows at home this week it says more about them than it does the crows I think. I can see Freo winning this comfortably

      • June 7th 2018 @ 5:13pm
        truetigerfan said | June 7th 2018 @ 5:13pm | ! Report

        That’s all good and well . . . but it’s Freo for Chrissake. Crows still win this one.

      • Roar Guru

        June 7th 2018 @ 9:11pm
        TomC said | June 7th 2018 @ 9:11pm | ! Report

        I’m afraid I can’t, as I have no hard earned money. Only money I have shamelessly swindled from my gullible employer.

        • Roar Guru

          June 7th 2018 @ 9:42pm
          AdelaideDocker said | June 7th 2018 @ 9:42pm | ! Report

          Every once and a while you appear on here to deliver some entirely spontaneous deadpan quip, and I’m loving it.

      • Roar Guru

        June 8th 2018 @ 8:19am
        Dalgety Carrington said | June 8th 2018 @ 8:19am | ! Report

        What? Freo just stopped short of raiding the year 6s from St Pat’s Primary School to fill out their team over the weekend. Adelaide will still be bringing over a well-seasoned team, which makes all the difference.

    • Roar Guru

      June 7th 2018 @ 6:47pm
      Paul D said | June 7th 2018 @ 6:47pm | ! Report

      Tough round this week, lot of scope for upsets or things to go against script.

      Port Adelaide – at home, they aren’t a bad side if they’re on and no Dusty for the Tigers. If Hardwick is easing them back a bit as they head into winter this will be a game Port should be able to win

      I want to go North but I’m saying Geelong

      GWS.

      Sydney.

      No Charlie Cameron we’re really going to struggle for spark and I think Essendon will be far too quick for us.

      Fremantle, for the love of all that is holy. If they lose to Adelaide at home after everything Adelaide has been through these last few weeks they will be burning effigies of Ross outside the stadium.

      I’m going Collingwood. I hear his Lordship has cast a sad eye over Collingwood’s propensity to ruin big moments for the Dees in recent years and this is going to be another one.

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