Five reasons England are favourites to win against Australia

Saurabh Gandle Roar Pro

By Saurabh Gandle, Saurabh Gandle is a Roar Pro

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    The Australia versus England series is underway despite series being considered unimportant for the fans who value Test cricket over one-day cricket.

    The Poms won’t miss a chance to get in the face of the Aussies. We have been hearing in the soundbites – Nathan Lyon replying to a fan who taunted him by asking whether there’s any sandpaper in his pocket. His reply? It’s the Ashes rubbing salt into the wound of Englishmen.

    England already have one match of the five in hand, and the score sheet aside, there are plenty of reasons why England is the favourite to win the series.

    1. Home support
    It seems whatever the form of the visiting team, the home team tailors the pitch according to their strength. Not discounting the England team, the current squad under Eoin Morgan, which was able to beat Australia in their backyard at the start of the year, looks unlikely to bow down, especially in conditions which England have been thriving since 2015.

    The England team is more experienced and has grown much closer together as a unit in that time. They have a high win/loss of 2.27, better than India’s 2.04. Moreover, of 63 ODIs they have played since World Cup debacle, England have managed to score 300-plus on 27 occasions, the highest by any team during the time frame.

    2. Loss of key player
    If losing David Warner and Steven Smith wasn’t enough, Australia have now lost Pat Cummins, Mitch Starc, Josh Hazlewood and all-rounder Mitch Marsh. Despite Billy Stanlake and AJ Tye’s IPL exploits, international cricket is different propositions, and IPL success doesn’t guarantee success at the highest level. Both could do well, but they will have to overcome the tornado of the English batting line-up which seems to be never-ending.

    3. A new captain under pressure
    In David Warner and Steven Smith Australia didn’t just lose key players but the leadership group as well. It means the team needs a new leader, and it could take them some time to get used to Tim Paines’ style of play.

    Tim Paine

    (Ashley Vlotman/Gallo Images/Gallo Images)

    Though Paine has been great in Tests both in Australia and back in South Africa, his place in the middle order and as a keeper is far from secure with Alex Carey breathing down his neck in ODI format in particular. How Tim Paine handles the dual responsibility of batting-wicketkeeping and the captaincy remains to be seen. Justin Langer and teammates need to support him. But it’s not an ideal situation, especially if you are up against the number one side in the World.

    4. England’s never-ending batting line-up
    For a side to win matches more often than not bowlers need to get ten wickets, so it’s imperative the bowlers tie the England line-up down. But just a look at the England batting line-up – at the top it’s destructive Jason Roy, whose 180 will still be fresh in the minds of the Australians, and the consistently dangerous Jonny Bairstow, Joe Root, Eoin Morgan and Jos Buttler.

    It still doesn’t end here, with Liam Plunkett, Adil Rashid, Moeen Ali and David Willey more than capable with the bat. So that’s like every player from one to ten can bat for England, which makes it much tougher for Australia to tie them down for low scores. Perhaps their strong batting line-up is the reason England are the number one side in the world right now.

    Indeed, last night’s game was a fine example of their batting depth.

    5. Australia’s new approach
    With the ball-tampering saga a lot’s been written and said about the team’s culture. Tim Paine has looked like a man who wants to make changes to how the Aussies play and behave on the field. For more than a decade they have been known for their sledging. There has been so much pressure on the Australian cricket team – perhaps a series win will have it all forgotten, but in case Australian players are caught conducting themselves or unethically, it would spread like wildfire and damage further the reputation of the nation.

    Australia’s approach always gave them an edge over their opponents in the past, but without it, can they be successful? That is the big question.

    Already one game behind after having damage inflicted on them early, perhaps the fearless English side is already giving us an asnwer.

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    The Crowd Says (6)

    • June 14th 2018 @ 4:13pm
      Paul said | June 14th 2018 @ 4:13pm | ! Report

      You were doing just fine till you got to number 5. I can’t for the life of me see what this has to do with England’s chances of beating Australia in a meaningless one day series?

      You also need to think about how you exaggerate – I don’t think Australia’s reputation as a nation will change one whit if they commit another indiscretion. That was not an intelligent comment, more a dig at a side who’s owned up to an issue and is addressing it. Shame the same can’t be said for other countries where match fixing is rife.

    • Roar Guru

      June 14th 2018 @ 4:49pm
      Matt H said | June 14th 2018 @ 4:49pm | ! Report

      I’ll give you six reasons – Warner, Smith, Marsh, Starc, Cummins, Hazlewood.

      • Roar Pro

        June 14th 2018 @ 10:02pm
        Saurabh Gandle said | June 14th 2018 @ 10:02pm | ! Report

        Matt H,Please explain me 6 reason why oz lost at home despite having these 6 names in squad during ODIs?

    • Roar Pro

      June 15th 2018 @ 2:30am
      Saurabh Gandle said | June 15th 2018 @ 2:30am | ! Report

      Unless caught they wouldn’t have owned up.Fixing i agree is a mess ICC needs to clear and much serious issue than the ball tampering

      • June 15th 2018 @ 4:09am
        JayG said | June 15th 2018 @ 4:09am | ! Report

        “Unless caught they wouldn’t have owned up”

        So? I don’t get your point. The fact still remains that we are trying to address the issue. Also, might I remind you that only Bancroft was caught by the cameras. Steve Smith and Bancroft admitted to the larger involvement – this could not have been proven without their admission and frankly, Smith did not need to do this. We could have easily done what every other team does in such a situation – claim that Bancroft acted alone, make him cop the ICC penalties and move on (though nobody would likely have believed us).

        I can list a long list of international teams who have admitted to ball tampering after the fact (England – with mints, Trescothick admitted later through a book, NZ – with bottle caps, admitted later, Pakistan…) Almost all instances involve pre-meditation – none of them suffered a fraction of the punishment that has been doled out to the Cape Town trio. While the public reaction in Australia was hysterical, it is hardly the worst offence undertaken in the game and the people involved have copped plenty of stick already – way, way beyond what is reasonably due to them. I agree with Paul that we need to lay off the hyperbole with regard to the impact of the ball-tampering incident.

        Match-fixing on the other hand is a cancer which will reduce the sport to reality TV if not taken into hand.

        • Roar Pro

          June 15th 2018 @ 4:42am
          Saurabh Gandle said | June 15th 2018 @ 4:42am | ! Report

          JayG,

          All of those cricketer admitted much later about ball tampering but when you are leadership group of the team and you make a Bancroft who is relatively new into international cricket (perhaps he didn’t wanted to do) that’s wrong use of power.Penalties no doubt should have been much beyond 1 match ban .

          This was not first time Smith has been caught guilty of doing something unethical .A year back he was involved in brain-fade episode as well.For a captain who is into role for more than 2 years that’s setting wrong example.

          You compare apple to apple not apple to orange.You can’t compare this incident(sandpaper saga) to match fixing.It’s much more grave issue and no second chance should be given.

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