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Behind the barriers: Five bets For Tuesday, 10 July

(Photo: Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images)
Roar Guru
9th July, 2018
0

There are four race meetings set down on Tuesday, with Newcastle looking quite strong on paper. Here are my five plays for the afternoon.

Bet 1: Win – Newcastle Race 2, number six: Don’t Doubt Arthur
I was keen on this girl on Friday at Muswellbrook, but she was pulled out and instead runs here. Her two career runs in the spring were quite good, both at Muswellbrook. She’s been given a good break, and her two trials leading in have been quite good. The Tenor looks the only other winning chance, so back them both and you can’t go wrong.

Win odds, Don’t Doubt Arthuer: $2.50 (Crownbet)
Win odds, The Tenor: $2.15 (Sportsbet)

Bet 2: Win – Newcastle Race 3, number five: Thor’s Thunder
He’s a perennial placegetter, but there is no depth at all. He’s got the raced brigade covered and the sergeant first starter has done nothing at the trials. He’s turned it up a couple of times but this does look his race, and it’s very rare to see Gwenda Markwell bring a horse to Newcastle. Only bad luck beats him in my opinion.

Win odds: $2.15 (Crownbet)

Bet 3: Win – Wellington Race 3, number seven: Molasses
Gee, $4 is a bit short for him, so I think take the tote and you’ll get better. Dennis Bush has this bloke going really well at the moment. He had an eye-catching resumption over 900 metres here before going to the Cannonball at Coonamble where he got back and worked home strongly in a race where the form has already been franked. He should park off a hot speed here and have last look.

Win odds: $30 (Tote)

Bet 4: Win – Townsville Race 1, number two: Dancing Diva
I think this girl should be a clear favourite. She was just under three weeks between runs when bolting up at this track and distance, getting the ideal drag up before Thomson asked the filly for a bigger effort, and she put them away quite well. She’s ticked the hard 1200-metres box, whereas Our Alicia’s Lane has to be a query.

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Win odds: $3.10 (Sportsbet)

Bet 5: Win – Townsville Race 5, number one: Craiglea Deken
I think the WFA scale really helps this horse, so I’ll just lean his way. He was lumped with 63 kilograms here three weeks ago over 1400 metres where I thought Bogenhuber gave the veteran every chance, but he had to the give the first two who beat him home nine kilograms and eight kilograms respectively. No chance. This looks ideal for him – just want the speed to be on.

Winn odds: $3.4 (Crownbet)

Odds correct at the time of writing.

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