The Roar’s AFL expert tips and predictions: Round 17

Josh Elliott Editor

By Josh Elliott, Josh Elliott is a Roar Editor

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    Round 17 gets started with a revitalised Adelaide Crows hosting the Geelong Cats at Adelaide Oval on a Thursday night.

    Ordinarily I might pick the Cats without a second though, but the Crows have improved lately – they’ve gotten a number of players back, and will be buoyed by the news of Rory Sloane re-signing for the next five years.

    Adelaide for me in this one.

    GWS and Richmond on Saturday night could prove a very interesting match indeed. The Giants still have significant personnel problems, but will have the home ground advantage.

    Richmond, as you might know, haven’t won a match outside Victoria all year – though they’ve balanced this out by not losing one inside Victoria.

    I reckon it’s time for that rule to be broken. While the Giants have improved, I don’t reckon they’ve got the finishing power to break through Richmond’s defense.

    Collingwood and West Coast at the MCG on Sunday is an absolutely crucial match for both teams.

    The Pies looked strongly threatened by Essendon last week, while the Eagles showed they’re hardly out of the top four race just yet.

    It’s being played at the MCG, so Collingwood will have a significant advantage, and it might be too much for West Coast to overcome.

    Oof… tricky. I’m going to tip the Pies, but it’s close to a 50/50 for me.

    Maybe it’s the optimistic North fan in me, but I think the Kangaroos will get a win at Etihad over a Sydney side with half of its midfield in the shop.

    St Kilda, Hawthorn, Melbourne, Essendon and Port Adelaide are my other tips for the week, and if you want a lock of the week, let’s make it the Dees (risky, I know) to better a no-Bontempelli Bulldogs.

    Lock of the week from the Simpsons

    Adrian Polykandrites
    Geelong, St Kilda, Hawthorn, Melbourne, Essendon, Richmond, Collingwood, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide

    The Crows could well win tonight, but the idea that it’ll be because of some huge morale boost thanks to Rory Sloane re-signing is a bit silly. Cats in a close one.

    Hawthorn should be too good for the Lions in Tassie, with a little extra motivation after getting belted last time these teams met. These Lions should be fun down the stretch though; they’re feisty.

    Melbourne will demolish the Dogs.

    Essendon should win an ugly game against the Suns.

    GWS vs Richmond would be a lot more interesting if the Giants had any forwards. Hopefully Toby Greene gets up, but the Tigers should snap their road drought.

    Without knowing whether Darling and/or Kennedy will play it tough to predict too much about Sunday’s game at the MCG, but I’ll take the Pies.

    North vs Sydney looks the game of the round and I’ll take the Roos in a close one.

    Port have to beat the Dockers if they’re serious, regardless of the venue.

    TomC
    Geelong, St Kilda, Hawthorn, Melbourne, Essendon, Richmond, Collingwood, Sydney, Port

    As the World Cup reaches it’s final week, and the number of Aussie Rules matches I’ve watched in the past month dwindles ever closer to zero, the already dubious idea that my thoughts on footy tipping are worth anything is reaching peak levels of silliness.

    But hey, if you’ve bothered to read this far you clearly have too much time on your hands anyway, so here we go.

    I have no idea who will win out of Adelaide and Geelong. Looks pretty even to me. I could invent a reason, but instead I’ll just say Geelong.

    Carlton are one of the few teams I’ve actually watched recently. St Kilda will beat Carlton.

    Brisbane are another team I’ve watched recently. Hawthorn will beat Brisbane, who truthfully aren’t that much better than Carlton.

    I noticed that the Bulldogs will be missing Bontempelli. It seems like that would make things harder for them, so I’ll tip Melbourne.

    Essendon to beat Gold Coast.

    It’s time I did away with the comforting idea that Richmond are only good because of all the games they play at the MCG. It appears that might not be the case. Tigers over Giants.

    I have a vague notion that West Coast aren’t doing as well as they were. I’m not 100% sure why that is, but I’ll tip Collingwood.

    Sydney to beat North Melbourne. It just feels right.

    Port Adelaide over Fremantle.

    Round 16 Josh E Adrian P Cam R TomC The Crowd
    ADE vs GEE ADE GEE GEE GEE GEE
    STK vs CAR STK STK STK STK STK
    HAW vs BL HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW
    MEL vs WB MEL MEL MEL MEL MEL
    GCS vs ESS ESS ESS ESS ESS ESS
    GWS vs RIC RIC RIC GWS RIC RIC
    COL vs WCE COL COL COL COL COL
    NM vs SYD NM NM SYD SYD SYD
    FRE vs PA PA PA PA PA PA
    Last week 8 8 7 8 7
    Total 86 90 88 97 97

    Josh Elliott
    Josh Elliott

    Josh Elliott may be The Roar's Weekend Editor, but at heart he's just a rusted-on North Melbourne tragic with a penchant for pun headlines - and also abnormal alliteration, assuredly; assuming achievability. He once finished third in a hot chilli pie eating contest. You can follow him on Twitter @JoshElliott_29 and listen to him on The Roar's AFL Podcast.

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    The Crowd Says (11)

    • Roar Guru

      July 12th 2018 @ 11:07am
      AdelaideDocker said | July 12th 2018 @ 11:07am | ! Report

      Tom, you might think your tips are worth nothing but you’re comfortably leading the tipping out of the four of you!

      Anyway, intriguing week this one. St Kilda, Melbourne, Essendon and Port seem to be the four obvious winners, whilst Richmond and Hawthorn should win. That leaves Geelong, Collingwood and Sydney who are my risky tips, cause honestly, all three of those matches could go either way.

      Match of the week will have to be Collingwood v Eagles. Should be a beauty.

    • July 12th 2018 @ 12:17pm
      big four sticks said | July 12th 2018 @ 12:17pm | ! Report

      We will show al the knockers that we can win interstate. These knockers have short memories. When Fremantle were undefeated a few years ago, who knocked them off in Perth? Richmond. When we needed to win every game in the run home, to make the finals, who knocked off Sydney in Sydney? Richmond, our traveling record is one of the best among the Victorian teams.

      The AFL should be able to change the scheduling. To have the bottom side playing the fourth bottom side in what will be a train wreck, on Friday night, is a joke.

      • Roar Guru

        July 12th 2018 @ 1:18pm
        Peter the Scribe said | July 12th 2018 @ 1:18pm | ! Report

        Big four it doesn’t matter if you win this week or not as long as you finish top you will have all your finals at the G so really this week is irrelevant.

      • Roar Guru

        July 12th 2018 @ 4:26pm
        Rick Figjam said | July 12th 2018 @ 4:26pm | ! Report

        “When we needed to win every game in the run home, to make the finals, who knocked off Sydney in Sydney? Richmond, our traveling record is one of the best among the Victorian teams.”

        Didn’t you get smashed the very next week in the finals by 10 goals in the first quarter against Port?

        Your record stinks @$$.

        I’m glad there is some level of guilt from your fake premiership.

        • July 12th 2018 @ 5:54pm
          RichieTiger said | July 12th 2018 @ 5:54pm | ! Report

          Last year Richmond won 4 of 6 interstate.
          This year they haven’t had to.

          • Roar Guru

            July 12th 2018 @ 6:20pm
            Rick Figjam said | July 12th 2018 @ 6:20pm | ! Report

            That’s code for: we stink interstate.

            • July 13th 2018 @ 2:04pm
              Murphy said | July 13th 2018 @ 2:04pm | ! Report

              That’s code for my team sucks and I’m jealous of the premiers.

      • July 12th 2018 @ 7:46pm
        johno said | July 12th 2018 @ 7:46pm | ! Report

        Knockers?

        three out of 4 have tipped the tigers to win.

    • July 12th 2018 @ 3:43pm
      Don Freo said | July 12th 2018 @ 3:43pm | ! Report

      The Tiges have had hardly anyone out this year. Prestia? They now have a couple hurting. That’s enough for GWS to take them.

      Available players is the most reliable form guide. Get a few keys back and form is turned on its head. Lose a few and lose your process.

      The Crows are getting important players back. Should win tonight and will join Melbourne at the pointy end come finals time.

    • July 12th 2018 @ 6:27pm
      big four sticks said | July 12th 2018 @ 6:27pm | ! Report

      Lock of the week: St Kilda by 100 points.

    • July 13th 2018 @ 8:19am
      Davo said | July 13th 2018 @ 8:19am | ! Report

      Tom C “Brisbane are another team I’ve watched recently. Hawthorn will beat Brisbane, who truthfully aren’t that much better than Carlton” Have to strongly disagree with that as I think Brisbane are tens times better than Carlton and showing good signs for the future. They might not beat Hawthorn is Tassie but they actually beat Hawthorn earlier this year. There a good side to watch with a lot of promising players

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