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There’s some really good racing on Wednesday across the board, with hopefully a few good things. Here are my five plays for the afternoon.
Bet One – Win – Kensington Race One Number 3 Tough Larry
There looks to be a bit of depth to this maiden but I reckon he appeals the most. He is a beautifully bred gelding on debut for Chris Waller who has looked pretty sharp in several trials, two of which have come this prep over 800m where he has looked the part.
He takes on some well-performed stablemates, but J Mac on, I’ll take a chance on him.
Bet Two – Each Way – Kensington Race Four Number 8 Keeper Girl
I reckon the bookies are underestimating her. Yep, she brings inferior form compared to others, but they have been around the traps for a while and she’s a mare in form/up in trip, which is usually an ideal scenario. There are some real bludgers here you couldn’t back with confidence, so I think she’s worth an each way ticket.
Bet: $15 E/W at $16/$4 (BetEasy)
Bet Three – Each Way – Kensington Race Seven Number 2 Disturbance
Another that I think is worth an each way ticket at odds. The Joseph/Jones stable trains this former kiwi, who really caught the eye first up at Moruya before racing on a bog at Albury where he was not comfortable at all.
Third up back on top of the ground, he can sit much closer from the good draw and his form from NZ does read very well.
Bet: $10 E/W (Tote)
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Bet Four – Quaddie – Ballarat Quaddie
I think this quaddie could have some value in it, especially towards the latter end of it. He can go one out in the opening leg with Unlimited Ability, who has outstanding form next to his name.
For the second leg, I’ve got the three main chances in betting, with an outsider in Prosecution, who can sprint well fresh. The third leg I’ve gone with five runners, most notably Mystical Spirit, who makes his Australian debut for Darren Weir.
In the last leg, you could stand See Me Exceed out, but she’s been disappointing this prep so I’ll include others.
Bet: $50 4/4-6-11-12/1-2-4-6-7/3-5-7-8= 62.5%
Bet Five – Quaddie – Ipswich Quaddie
Tricky quaddie on a tricky track but here’s hoping. Going one out in the first leg via Capitulate, who returns as a gelding and has looked sharp in a couple of trials.
In the second leg, I’ve gone with four runners, and hoping Shelter Lady goes close. The third leg looks like a lottery so I’ve stuck with four runners likely to be in the market. The last leg is much the same with five runners, hoping Was It Worth It can bounce back third up.
