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Behind the barriers: Five bets for Caulfield

(AAP Image/George Salpigtidis)
Roar Guru
12th October, 2018
0

An absolute ripping card of racing has been assembled for Caulfield this Saturday for Caulfield Guineas Day. Here are my five plays across the meeting.

Bet One – Win – Race Six Number 5 Smart Melody
she just needs to tick the mile box and she’ll be winning. She’s got these covered in terms of brilliance…can she run a strong mile? The jury was out for mine after her win in the Prelude.

Admittedly she did work on speed and got the staggers late, but class got her home. She is a deserving favourite though given how dominant she has been.

Bet Two – Each Way – Race Seven Number 10 Noire
I’m surprised this girl is drifting. She is a quality mare for Chris Waller who has been outstanding in both runs this time in. She just missed out on picking up Invincibella first up in the Sheraco before Tommy gave her a sweet steer in the Shannon and with momentum she proved too good.

The mile is no issue and she did beat Youngstar in the Shannon. Likeable. Double figures looks clear overs.

Bet Three – Win – Race Race Eight Number 12 Unforgotten
I’m very confident she runs well. Chris Waller has this high-class mare, who was an outstanding winner of the Chelmsford before being freshened up for the Epsom where she just didn’t have the zip in her legs but her last 2100m was outstanding, a run of a mare clearly wanting further ground, which she gets here.

I’m keen on her.

Bet Four – Win – Race Nine Number 1 The Autumn Sun
You’re getting $2 about a genuine $1.40-$1.50 chance. The Golden Rose win was out of this world really. He had no right to win given where he was in the run but he just unleashed an unbelievable finale to nab stablemate Zousain right on the peg.

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He’ll be better suited at the mile and really, only bad luck beats him.

Bet Five – Each Way – Race Ten Number 2 A Prince Of Arran
Clear overs for mine. He’s a quality stayer for Charlie Fellowes who comes down under with some solid form next to his name, with efforts behind Withhold, Magic Circle and Vazirabad.

The first two are high up in the Cup market and Vazirabad is a high-class stayer. That form is good enough for this. I just don’t want the tempo to be a crawl because I don’t think he’s got the turn of foot to match it with these.

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