This Wednesday, we again head to Sandown for an eight-race program.
It’s one of the better Wednesday meetings we have had for a while, with the two highest-rated races coming in seven and eight, being Benchmark 84 handicaps. The bureau predicts a lovely 17-degree day, and the rail is true for the entire circuit.
Let’s find some winners.
The first on the program is a two-year-old handicap race over 1000 metres. There’s not much exposed form to go on here, which makes it hard to analyse, but I landed on Kooweerup.
She’s bred well, by More Than Ready and out of Allez Wonder, and her last in a trial at Tatura was misleading. She missed the kick there, and made up a few lengths on the field while under no riding. She draws better today, and if she jumps well, she’ll put up a bold showing on debut.
Judgment resumed well and was unlucky behind Cheer Leader, before failing at group three level behind Flit. She has the race experience over most of these, and the Kerrin McEvoy appointment is a good one.
Raabeeha hit the line really well in her last trial, and the Tony McEvoy and Luke Currie combination are a good one. She can’t be dismissed.
Recommended bet: Win bet on #7 Kooweerup.
We’ve got a Super Vobis two-year-old handicap in the second, over 1400 metres. Chenier looks the one to beat here, after winning by five lengths running away from them on debut at the Lakeside track a fortnight ago. Kerrin McEvoy comes down for the ride before he goes to the Champagne in a fortnights time, and he draws well to get a good spot from barrier seven.
He’ll be hard to beat.
I’ll be having a rather large place bet on Surreal Step here though. He was good on debut at Ballarat, running on to finish third behind Soul Patch after travelling three wide, and he had absolutely no luck behind Cheer Leader at Moonee Valley, when he was shuffled back on the bend. He’ll appreciate the rise to the 1400 metres here, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he gives the favourite a big scare.
Starauthoress was okay in a trial behind Prince of Sussex and Groot, who ran well in the Gold Vobis at Bendigo, and she draws well from barrier two. She can be the one filling the placings.
Recommended bet: Each way bet on #8 Surreal Step. Put more on the place.
The third on the program is the first of the Benchmark 64 races, this one over 1300 metres. It’s pretty hard to go past Music Bay here. She ran four lengths off Amphitrite in the Thousand Guineas, and she’s ran pretty well without winning this time in. She ran two lengths off Our Gladiator resuming over 1000 metres, and then got nosed out after diving at Tahitian Dancer after a tough run at Mornington.
She should be about to peak here over the 1300 metres third up, and the fast tempo suits. She looks a good bet. Search Squad was an impressive winner last start after travelling three wide the trip, after an unlucky run in his previous start. He draws out again, but there’s no reason to suggest he can’t repeat the dose today with Craig Williams sticking on him.
Gaelic Dream won well at Ballarat two starts ago, before fading late at the Lakeside track. She can give a sight on the speed.
Recommended bet: Win bet on #7 Music Bay.
We’ve got a Benchmark 70 for the Fillies and Mares here in the fourth. It shapes as a pretty open race here, and I’ve gone for some value in Gheedaa. She won two from four last preparation, which culminated in a win over Box On Collins at Morphettville, who has subsequently gone on to win a Benchmark 78 race at the Lakeside track.
Her trial at Benalla in the lead up to this was impressive, and the Lewis German and David Hayes combination has been going well lately. Looks overs at $12. Dancing Tycoon is the big danger. She ran two lengths off Mirette two starts back, before fading after looking the winner at Pakenham when an odds-on pop. She draws well to get a lovely run just behind a hot speed, and she’ll have plenty to give in the straight.
Mrs O’Malley has finished strongly ahead of Kings brook and behind Born Bad this time in, and she should be ready to peak fourth up. She’ll need the breaks getting back from the inside gate, but if they do come, she’ll be hard to beat.
Recommended bet: Each way bet on #5 Gheedaa.
We’ve got another Benchmark 70 for the Fillies and Mares here in the fifth, this time over the mile. It’s a pretty open race here, but I’m happy enough to take the each way quote of $5.50 for Kevikki.
I think we’re only getting that price because she’s drawn out so wide, but I don’t think there’s an abundance of speed in this race, so I think Mark Zahra can get her across. She won two on the trot, at Sale and Echuca respectively, with absolute ease, before being completely luckless at group three level last start.
That’s a good enough form line for this race, and if Mark Zahra can get her across, she’ll be very hard to beat. Woman seems to be the big danger. She was unlucky resuming at Pakenham, and she was seemingly out sprinted last start over 1300 metres.
She’s been looking for the mile all preparation, and she gets it here. If she gets luck from the wide gate, she’ll be right in it. The Japanese-bred horse in Hokkaido Miss could be the blowout. She ran well in France before coming over here, and she came home steadily in her first Australian start.
She’ll be better for that run, and she’ll be coming home strongly.
Recommended bet: Each way bet on #10 Kevikki. Playing exotics around #10, #14, #2, #4 and #16.
Yet another Benchmark 70 handicap awaits us here, again over the mile. It looks a race in three on paper, but I’m prepared to back Accreditation here. He ran two lengths off Mystyko resuming, who is a subsequent winner, before overpowering them late at Hamilton over 1400 metres.
He was three wide without cover the whole way last start at Ballarat, and I thought he did a good job to finish as close as he did. He’s drawn out, but I think on the map Luke Currie should be able to get him across, and he should be rock hard fit fourth up. Looks overs at the $19. Gretzky seems like the main danger. He resumed at this track running half a length off them after sitting second the whole way, and he chased hard which isn’t generally his racing style, at Pakenham last start.
He’ll probably be the one who goes to the lead, and if they give him an unchallenged lead, he’ll be hard to run down. Heir to the Throne is the best of the rest, but he’s been well founded. His run last start, finishing second to Won Ball, who is a subsequent winner in South Australia, seems like a good form line for this. He’ll sit on the speed from the good gate, and should have plenty to give in the straight.
Recommended bet: Each way play on #3 Accreditation.
The seventh on the card is the equal highest rated race – a Benchmark 84 handicap over 1000 metres. It does seem a race between the two favourites, but I’m happy to put Josephine Sea on top. She has good form lines for this from last preparation, running a length off Lady of Flanders, and then just getting nosed out by Penny to Sell at Bendigo.
She resumed in very good fashion, winning by two lengths at Seymour. She’s only finished outside the placings once second up, and she’ll appreciate a hot speed up front. Hard to beat. Written Choice looms as the main danger. He won back to back races at the Valley last preparation, before being outclassed at group three level. He’s been gelded during his break, and the trial leading into this was impressive.
Kyzamba is the best of the rest. She’s got good form lines behind Order of Command and I am Someone, and she maps to get the gun run from barrier two.
Recommended bet: Win bet on #7 Josephine Sea.
The last on the program, is undoubtedly the best race on the program, with it being a Benchmark 84 over 1800 metres. It’s a pretty open race, and I’m happy enough to go with some value in the form of Kings Full. His first run in Australia, nearly seven months ago now, he ran second to Botti, ho has competed in group races in New Zealand, and he’s come back well this preparation.
He stormed home against Miss Five Hundred resuming, and he hit the line solidly last start at Ballarat. He should be ready to peak third up, and he’ll be running on strongly. Silent Roar looks the main danger. She ran third two starts back at this track when she was three wide the trip, which arguably cost her the race, and she gapped them at the Lakeside track last start.
There isn’t much speed in this race, so she should be able to get a soft lead, and be hard to beat. Lynch Mob is another at odds who can run a big race. He won three in a row in Adelaide, including wins over Lostarc and Leider, and he finished within a length of Maracaibo last start, who finished third in a group three on Saturday. He draws well, and can be running home strongly.
Recommended bet: Each way bet on #14 Kings Full. Playing exotics around #14, #11, #10, #13 and #6.
Race 3 #7 Music Bay.
Race 5 #10 Kevikki.
Race 8 #14 Kings Full.