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Origin Game 3 will be first series decider we’ve had for some time, with New South Wales entering the match as warm favourites to knock off Queensland and secure back-to-back series victories.
This is The Roar’s complete Origin 3 betting guide, with odds for the result, margins, the line, first try-scorer and man of the match.
As it stands, after their big win in Game 2 to set up the deicer, the NSW Blues are raging favourites to take out the game, paying just $1.38, with punters putting plenty of money on the men in Sky Blue.
The Maroons, who are without Kalyn Ponga, are paying $3.10 and represent plenty of value if punters want to have a dabble on the outsiders.
The line has been set at six and a half points ahead of the game, with it paying an even $1.90 each way. Some betting companies offer a feature of picking your own line, with the Blues paying just $1.77 to cover a 4.5 point line, and $2.78 to cover a 12.5 point line.
The Maroons, on the other hand, are paying $1.79 to give away the 6.5 point start to the Blues, while if you want to back the visitors wo win by more than four points, you’ll get $3.60 back on your investment.
Margin betting is as always for rugby league, set into two brackets: 1-12, and 13+.
The Blues are currently paying $2.70 to win by 1 to 12 points and $2.75 to win by 13 or more, with not much difference either way, and seemingly a lot of punters thinking the winning margin will end up about 12 points.
The Maroons, on the other hand, are paying $4.20 to win by 1 to 12 points, or, if you think they will really perform an ambush, then there is considerable value of $10 available for a victory of 13 or more.
The first try-scorer market is always an interesting one. Josh Addo-Carr is favourite at $8, while hat-trick hero Tom Trbojevic is out at $10.
Corey Oates is the best of the Queenslanders at $10, while prolific Origin try-scorer is out at $11.
Josh Addo-Carr $8
Blake Ferguson $8.50
Tom Trbojevic $10
Corey Oates $10
James Tedesco $11
Dane Gagai $11
Jack Wighton $15
Cameron Munster $17
Moses Mbye $17
Michael Morgan $21
Damien Cook $23
Mitchell Pearce $23
Tyson Frizell $23
Wade Graham $23
Will Chambers $23
Boyd Cordner $26
Cameron Murray $26
James Maloney $26
Corey Norman $26
Daly Cherry-Evans $31
Dale Finucane $34
Jake Trbojevic $34
David Fifita $36
Ben Hunt $41
Daniel Saifiti $46
David Klemmer $46
Paul Vaughan $46
Josh McGuire $61
Josh Papalii $67
Christian Welch $71
Joe Ofahengaue $71
James Tedesco – who has never won an Origin man of the match despite having claims in just about every game he has played – is favourite to be named best on ground at $6.50.
Damien Cook and James Maloney are next on the shelf at $7, while Mitchell Pearce is paying $8 to make his Origin recall complete.
Cameron Munster leads the Queenslanders at $8.
James Tedesco $6.50
Damien Cook $7
James Maloney $7
Cameron Munster $8
Mitchell Pearce $8
Daly Cherry-Evans $13
Jake Trbojevic $17
Boyd Cordner $21
Tyson Frizell $21
Corey Norman $23
Tom Trbojevic $23
Wade Graham $26
Ben Hunt $34
Cameron Murray $34
David Klemmer $34
Josh McGuire $34
Matt Gillett $34
Michael Morgan $34
Felise Kaufusi $41
Blake Ferguson $51
Dane Gagai $51
Jack Wighton $51
Dale Finucane $67
Josh Addo-Carr $67
Josh Papalii $67
Paul Vaughan $67
Corey Oates $81
Daniel Saifiti $81
Moses Mbye $81
Christian Welch $101
David Fifita $101
Joe Ofahengaue $101
Tim Glasby $101
Will Chambers $101
All odds are correct as at 1pm (AEST) on Monday, July 8.
Don’t forget to tune into The Roar during the big game for live coverage, video highlights and all the best analysis.
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