The top four is the place to be if you want to win the AFL grand final, but the unpredictability of this season means that theory could be blown out of the water again.
Since 1900, only two teams have won the premiership from outside the top four – Adelaide in 1998 and the Western Bulldogs in 2016 – so you’d better get yourself the double chance before September comes if you want to win the flag.
If the season ended today, Geelong, Brisbane, West Coast and Collingwood would be the qualifying final participants but who, out of them, is really the best chance?
Or will someone swoop from outside the top four before the home-and-away season is finished?
We were joined on the Game of Codes podcast by Roar AFL expert Marnie Cohen to analyse the current top four and make a call on who’s most likely to be holding the cup in two months’ time.
Listen to the discussion:
If the season ended today…
QF: Geelong vs Collingwood
QF: Brisbane vs West Coast
EF: Richmond vs Adelaide
EF: GWS Giants vs Essendon