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We head to Moonee Valley this Saturday for the Feehan Stakes day program.
We’ve got a good day of racing in store, headlined by two group two races and two races at listed level. The track should play fair considering the rail is in the true position, and the track rating will either be a Good 4 or a Soft 5 depending on the amount of rain we have. Let’s get into it.
Race 1
We kick start the program with a three-year-old handicap over 1500 metres. I’ve sided with The Holy One here. Discount his debut performance and he’s been outstanding in his last two runs. He made a mess of them in an Echuca Maiden in front of Somethinaboutharry who has since broken his maiden, and he won very well at Sandown after travelling three wide without cover in the run.
He has fitness on his side and the rise in trip suits. He’ll be hard to beat. Skiddaw could be worth a play at the ten-dollar quote. He’s been going okay up in grade and I thought he finished off well at this track last start behind the talented duo of Condo’s Express and Hightail. The rise in distance will seemingly suit him here.
Power Scheme wasn’t disgraced at Group 1 level last preparation and only needs to be fit enough to be a big chance.
Recommended bet: Win bet on #2 The Holy One.
Race 2
We’ve got a Benchmark 78 Handicap over the mile here in the second. I’m prepared to have a couple of plays in this race and one of them is on Five Kingdom. His last two runs have definitely been good enough to win this race. He came home well two starts back at Caulfield after rearing at the start to finish a length off Tinkermosa, before savaging the line last start behind Age of Chivalry and Rox The Castle, who are both subsequent winners.
He’ll get some cover from the wide gate and be flashing home. Silent Roar is the other runner I’m backing. She battered them at Caulfield three starts back, before running home well behind Age of Chivalry and Rox The Castle in the same race as Five Kingdom did. She’ll get a nice spot on the speed and be in it for a long way. The two favourites in Laure Me In and Junipal can’t be dismissed.
Recommended bet: Each way plays on both #3 Five Kingdom and #13 Silent Roar.
Race 3
We’ve got another handicap race here, this time over the 2040 metres. It’s a race in two and I’m siding with the French import King Of Leogrance. He brought over good French form, winning at listed level over 2500 metres there, before running brilliantly in his debut Australian run.
He travelled four wide without cover for the entirety of the race and still flashed home to finish third. He ran the quickest last 200 metres of the race and considering the winner had the third-best last 400 metres for the day, that’s no mean feat. The rise to 2000 metres suits and he only needs even luck to be in the finish.
Kentucky Breeze is the danger. He was unlucky in the two starts before winning last start at this track and distance and he seems to have drawn all the favours again. He’ll get a nice spot in the run from barrier six and be the one left standing if the favourite fails. Inverloch is the one to back if heavy rain comes.
Recommended bet: Win bet on #8 King Of Leogrance.
Race 4
We’ve got an absolutely cracking benchmark 84 handicap for the fillies and mares here. I’m going to stick with the Sydney Sider in Haut Brion Her. She’s just been terrific so far in her career. She gave Wimlah no chance of catching her three starts back who is a subsequent winner in city grade, before giving Sir Elton the first loss of his career – beating him by two lengths.
She’ll get a lovely spot on the speed from barrier three and it’ll have to take a very good horse to run her down.
Tofane is a very good horse though and I’ll be saving on her. Realistically she should have won her first three starts (she only won one) before going to Adelaide and narrowly missing against Valour Road at the group level. She beat Gytrash home in that race and that form looks incredibly good for the spring. She was flat-footed resuming over 1000 metres but hit the line hard. She’ll be storming home stepping up to the 1200 metres.
(AAP Image/George Salpigtidis)
Mystery Love and Fabric are the next best.
Recommended bet: Win bet on #2 Haut Brion Her with a saver on #12 Tofane.
Race 5
The Atlantic Jewel Stakes is the next on the program over 1200 metres for the three-year-old fillies.
Again it seems a race in two and I’m going to side with the Greg Eurell runner in Sassy Salitage. She won well on debut on the Synthetic track at Pakenham, before winning at this track and distance last start over the talented duo of La Tene and Kooweerup. That race was as good as this one if not better, so I don’t think she rises in grade.
She’ll cross over and sit on the speed from barrier eight and be very hard to run down. Exhilarates is the obvious danger. She won the Magic Millions earlier in the year and resumed with a powerful win in the Quezette Stakes at Caulfield. She’s too short at the $2.40 considering we’ve never seen her at the Valley before and she rises in weight though.
If there is an upset, Pin Sec or St Edward’s Crown will probably be the two delivering it.
Recommended bet: Win bet on #7 Sassy Salitage.
Race 6
The Chandler Macleod Stakes at listed level over 1200 metres is the next race to analyze. I’m going to be backing the Tasmanian, The Inevitable. He beat Age of Chivalry last preparation in the CS Hayes Stakes before having heat stress in the Australian Guineas.
He resumed at Flemington when nailing Assertive Approach on the line over 1000 metres. He should get a nice sit on the speed and have every chance to run down the likely leader in Tavisan. I’m saving on Spirit Of Valor. He’s well over the odds. He finished under a length off Ball of Muscle in his first Australian start before getting pipped in a photo finish in the Manikato by Brave Smash.
You can usually discount his fresh runs, and he’s only ever missed a placing once from four tries second – up. He’ll be rattling home. Tavisan and Widgee Turf are the next best.
Recommended bet: Win bet on #10 The Inevitable with a saver on #2 Spirit Of Valor.
Race 7
The McEwen Stakes at Group 2 level over 1000 metres is the next on the program. It seems as though it’s a race in two but I’m pretty keen on Bons Away.
He was unlucky not to have finished closer in the Oakleigh Plate last preparation at Group 1 level, before pulling up with thumps and still managing to finish within five lengths of them in the Newmarket. He resumed in the Carlyon Stakes when he should have won, and he’ll take a lot out of that run.
The wide barrier suits as he will be able to sweep around them on the turn and the tempo set by Eduardo and Faatinah should be solid. It’s his day today.
Eduardo is the only danger. He arguably should have won the Oakleigh Plate after travelling three wide without cover for the whole race before failing to deliver in the Newmarket. He resumes here off a 21-week break and he could prove very hard to catch.
(Photo: AAP)
Recommended bet: Win bet on #3 Bons Away.
Race 8
The feature of the program comes here in the eighth, with the Feehan Stakes at Group 2 level over the mile. I’m happy to play around two runners and one of them is Sikandarabad. He was far from disgraced in the Australian Cup last preparation and only finished 0.75 of a length away from superstar Avilius in the Carlyon Cup at this distance.
He resumed impressively, running on strongly to finish two lengths off Mystic Journey in the P.B Lawrence Stakes. He should get a nice run from barrier eight and be hard to hold out. I’m specking Surprise Baby at the $15 quote. He’s won over the mile before so it isn’t like he’s just a dour stayer, and I think he’s a future star of Australian racing.
He was unlucky not to win the Andrew Ramsden last preparation, and only good horses win the Adelaide Cup in their sixth start. He resumes off a four-month break, draws okay in barrier ten and should be storming home late. Best Of Days and Yulong Prince shouldn’t be dismissed.
Recommended bet: Each way plays on #9 Sikandarabad and #8 Surprise Baby.
Race 9
We’ve got a handicap race to finish off the day over the mile. I’m going for some value in the last and I’ve landed on Lucky For All. He’s a very smart horse. He ran a length off The Avenger in his only run here, which was also over the mile and undoubtedly should have finished closer that day.
He then went on to finish a length off Al Galayel in a Benchmark 78 before beating Danon Roman at Caufield. He’s only missed the placings once from three starts fresh and he draws well here. He’ll be running on strongly. Dr. Drill is the big danger if he can replicate his form in Sydney. He led all the way there over 1800 metres and he just didn’t handle the heavy going last start. He’ll jump and run from the inside gate and could prove difficult to catch.
(Photo: AAP)
Vinland and New Universe are the next best.
Recommended bet: Each way bet on #12 Lucky For All.
Best bet
Race 1 #2 The Holy One.
Next best bet
Race 7 #3 Bons Away.
Best value
Race 2 #3 Five Kingdom.
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