There was another very small profit last week. This week the roadshow continues and we head up the coast to Gosford.
It is onward and upward to fabulous Cox Plate day this Saturday.
And if finding a winner wasn’t hard enough (as proven last week), it’s due to bucket down in the southern capital and there’s very little wet form around.
The form’s been done for a soft seven, meanwhile in Sydney rain is predicted as well but fingers crossed we stay in that six or better range.
Best up here: Randwick Race 5, 7 Scarlet Dream (three units) (dry only)
Best down there: Moonee Valley Race 8, 7 Sound (three units) (soft seven or better)
Weekly speculator: Randwick Race 9, 8 Occupy (one unit)
Dixie’s daily double: Randwick Race 3, 1 Destination and Moonee Valley Race 5, 10 Paradee (one unit)
Dixie’s 2020 tally
Units bet: 408
Units won: 437.20
Stats are based on one unit being equal to a $1 win bet New South Wales dividends. See the comments for any changes based on scratchings or track condition.
Race 3 – 1 Destination (in double above)
This horse had great stats last time. He has a class edge on these.
Race 4 – 5 Royal Celebration (one unit)
I like him fresh at 1400. This horse has wet form, and his third giving weight to Trumbull over 1200 looks good after last week!
Race 5 – 7 Scarlet Dream (three units)
Jay Ford comes to town. He’s not here for a holiday! I have this horse rating clearly on top. Her fresh run was superb. I note she is a dry tracker so anything worse than soft five, I’ll watch on.
Race 6 – 2 Prime Star (one unit)
This is between Peltzer and Prime Star. I am happy to take the better price.
Race 7 – 7 Blazing Miss (one unit)
There are stats everywhere: two from three second-up, good at 1200, three from four at HQ, runs in the wet. Sweet Deal at her best worries me.
Race 8 – 6 Pandemic (one unit)
This is a good race. Pandemic’s run second-up last time is good enough for this. Superium rates highly but has no wet form either. If it is very wet, Misteed comes right into play.
Race 9 – 8 Occupy (one unit)
I am happy enough with Occupy. He hasn’t shown his best in Australia but a soft track might suit and there’s no Dane Ripper in this group. Icebath is the short way home.
Race 5 – 10 Paradee (in double above)
This horse meets Sovereign Award five kilos better for 0.8 lengths last time. It is fine with me.
Race 6 – 6 Young Werther (one unit)
This horse just missed last time when green, and should be better here and get the job done.
Race 7 – 4 Olmedo (two units)
This horse wins this on his Euro form. His jog during the week showed he’s right to go.
Race 8 – 7 Sound (two units)
Sound gets in beautifully here. The slow track should be okay. He’s just missed recently and is good to go.
Race 9 – 7 Sir Dragonet (one unit)
If the big wet comes, I have Sir Dragonet as the invader who handles it best. Fierce Impact is massive overs. If it stays dry Arcadia Queen could beat us all. I am risking Russian Camelot. I am betting on a 1/3/7/13/14 trifecta (60 combinations).
Race 10 – 8 La Mexicana (one unit)
This horse blitzed her rivals last time on heavy. This horse can step it up here.