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Opinion
A bumper nine-race card has been set down for Tabcorp Park in Melton on Saturday night, with the first to get underway at 6.07pm local time.
Below is a preview for the meeting.
Race 1
The draw is a nightmare, but the class of Like A Wildfire can get him home. This horse did some really good things when last in work, establishing himself as a city-class horse. This horse has trialled well to get ready for his return and his first-up record is quite appealing. This horse has the change-up speed to overcome the draw. Glenavril King looks the main threat, especially if he can find the front under Kerryn Manning, then it would be a matter of how much pressure he cops.
Suggested bet: Like A Wildfire to win.
Race 2
Swiss Miss looks the likely leader in the race and she can lead throughout. This horse is a former Kiwi that has had a couple of runs in Australia for Andy Gath, bolting up at Ballarat before going to Tabcorp Park in Melton when leading and sticking on well when a close-up third. This horse lacks the class of a couple drawn the second row, but she looks to lead and potentially get control.
Suggested bet: Swiss Miss to win.
Race 3
Each way, Scruffy Marshal could be a bet here provided he’s around double figures. Rossini looks hard to beat off a very sharp win at Shepparton, but Chris Alford drives Scuffy Marshal and has drawn the pole. Both Rossini and the horse drawn between them, Hit The Sky, have gate speed. I’d love to see Alford hold his spot, trail the favourite and get last look. If that eventuates, he’ll only run well.
Suggested bet: 1×3 Scruffy Marshal provided he is $10-plus.
(Photo by Kai Schwoerer/Getty Images)
Race 4
Bobbper Jet does look the one to beat on form, but is short enough at around $1.80. I’d much rather back Elroy Jetson each way, hoping that Chris Alford comes out humming and finds the front. This horse showed good ability when trained in Sydney, but since coming to Victoria, he has run okay, but nowhere near the level he produced when at Menangle. But the thing going for him is that Alford sticks, he finds the front and will make this a truly run contest. He’ll do me each way.
Suggested bet: Each way with Elroy Jetson.
Race 5
He’ll need things to fall into place for him, but I Cast No Shadow is absolutely flying for Brent Lilley. He has won three of his past four, with those three wins coming over the 2240 metres here, which is somewhat of a concern back to 1720 metres, and he does draw the second line, but there appears to be good speed engaged. He’ll sit off it and get last look, proving to be quite strong at the end.
Suggested bet: I Cast No Shadow to win.
Race 6
There are too many unknowns to bet with real confidence, so have a speck each way at big odds with Rocknroll Eyes. His form is far inferior to anything engaged here, hence why you’ll get $51-plus come post time, but he does have the pole and I hope this horse can hold the back of likely leader Sirletic. If that eventuates, he could run a very cheeky race at a big price.
Suggested bet: Something very small each way on Rocknroll Eyes.
Race 7
This is another race where you could back something each way at a price, and again draw the pole, this time via the Andy Gath-trained The Dude. He’s had little to no luck with barriers in recent outings and when he has drawn well, which he did five back at Terang, he was able to win. From the pole, I can see him holding up, potentially leading, and giving a great sight.
Suggested bet: Each way with The Dude.
Race 8
Brandlo Prince is one of the better bets on the program. His form reads very well for a race like this. This horse ran last Sunday at Maryborough where he had the suck run behind the speed set by a star in Majestuoso and stuck on really well to finish third. There is no horse of that class here. This horse should find the front and he’s much too good for these. This horse is the best on the card.
Suggested bet: Brandlo Prince to win.
Race 9
This is a bludger of a Group 3 to end the night. The one to beat though is Miss McGonagall. She ran in the Queen Of The Pacific last Saturday night here and she was outstanding despite being $101. This horse was four back on the pegs and made up good ground to finish a close-up fourth. That form has to be A1 for this kind of race so I’m in her corner.
Suggested bet: $3-plus for Miss McGonagall, otherwise stay out.
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