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Opinion

Harness racing selections: Monday, 30 November

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Roar Guru
29th November, 2020
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There’s some solid racing across Australia on Monday, and my focus is on the three-day meetings.

These are the best bets from around the country.

Albion Park

Best bet: Race 4, No. 2 – Targaryen
I always have to give a big tick for these former New Zealand pacers/trotters that come to Australia. This guy looks to have a bit on these based on his New Zealand form, which reads far superior to the form of some his rivals here. It will be fascinating to see what the market does given he hasn’t trialled in readiness. I’m hoping for black figures, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he was crunched into $1.50 or thereabouts.

Next best bet: Race 8, No. 6 – Key Largo
He will love the drop back to midweek grade after racing at Saturday metro level for the past few runs. For the most part he’s been far from disgraced each time he has stepped out. He’s drawn wide but has very good early gate speed, and if he can cross and find the front, it’ll be race over, and he’s the second good thing on the program.

Value bet: Race 5, No. 1 – Doolittle Dandy
This is more a 1×3 play. He couldn’t handle the tempo he set last time out at Redcliffe but his prior form was more than sound. Although his best racing appears to be at Redcliffe, he can hold a forward spot here from the pole, whether it be leaders back or three pegs. Either way, I think he can fill a top-three spot.

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Yarra Valley

Best bet: Race 7, No. 1 – Dasha The Great
He looks very well placed back to this level. She’s contested Breeders Crown races in recent times and for the most part has been far from disgraced each time she’s stepped out. She has a gate to use, so I suspect Kate Gath will likely hold up and lead with her main rival on her back. Hopefully she can get a cheap quarter in front and dash home too well.

Next best bet: Race 3, No. 2 – A Lil Bettor
I thought she was excellent in defeat on debut at Cranbourne after spending a lot of petrol tickets early. I forget she went around at Warragul. She dragged back from the wide gate and just never got involved. She’s drawn much better here, and I think she can hold a forward spot from the draw, potentially lead and take some running down.

Value bet: Race 5, No. 1 – Trembita
This is more a throw at the stumps, but with that you should be able to get a decent price. She resumed at Warragul when taken back from the mobile, opting for cover, and wasn’t too bad in defeat, beaten just under 13 metres. She has gate speed, so can use the inside to her advantage, and at likely $30plus she can have something on her 1×3.

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Globe Derby

Best bet: Race 1, No. 6 – My Used To Be
It’s fraught with danger making a two-year-old trotter a best bet, but he has looked impressive in both career outings, winning each time. He did everything right and used the sprint lane to win on debut before sitting in the breeze next time out when he was still too good. On exposed form he looks a standout, so I’m happy to make him the best.

Next best bet: Race 2, No. 4 – Kraze
He looks like a very talented trotter. He’s going for four on the bounce, and there’s no reason he can’t continue the picket fence. He spanked his rivals by 30 metres from the stand two weeks ago, but he’s just as effective from the mobile. I think he’ll find the front and from there it should be race over. I’m Hector looks the danger but is first up and I dare say won’t be wound up to go.

Value bet: Race 6, No. 8 – Snapper Rocks
I’m happy to have a 1×3 bet here on this guy, who stunned most when winning two weeks ago, but he had a run similar to what he gets here. He’s trailing the leader and using the sprint lane. He’s been thereabouts recently and was rewarded with a win. Winning again, not entirely sure about, but gets a soft run, and at 1×3 at double figures I’m happy to bet that way.