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There was very strong racing from Rosehill, Pakenham and Doomben on Saturday, with the main focus being towards the Magic Millions, so down below is a review of the meetings and a horse or two to follow.
Rosehill
Rosehill Track: It’s fast becoming the fairest track in Sydney. It has raced super the past few meetings and Saturday was no different. You could lead and win, could sit off the speed, come up the fence, make your run out wide. Track played perfect and the Good4 reading was spot on, so the track wasn’t an excuse.
Race One: Think this will be a good form race. Winner Oscar Zulu was impressive, and well found, into $7 from $11+. Blake Duke ran second. He’s a nice horse that is still a bit raw and new to the caper. Kiku looked to have every chance and perhaps a rise to 1400m next time will suit.
Zoumist was only second up and warming to the task late. Even the horse that ran last, Little Krakatoa. If Joe Cleary sends that horse back to country grade, back to 1000m, he can win.
Race Five: He’s somewhat of an enigma is Bigboyroy, and admittedly he has had suck runs his past couple, he is going super. Should have won on Saturday.
Just didn’t get the breaks at the right time, and perhaps pilot error in not sticking to the inside. He’s a horse who needs an inside gate so he can use it then get an economical run. If he gets that next start, he’ll just about win a similar race.
Pakenham
Race One/Race Two: I’m worried about the first race. Written Miss got total control in front and won in 57.43, whereas race, a 78 benchmark race, they ran 56.50, which is about six lengths difference. It’s a great story with Written Miss, but in terms of the race, I don’t think it will reach great heights.
The runner up was on debut and can win a maiden if they drop it to maiden grade, but in terms of the future, I don’t think anything special will come out of it.
The second race though looks a good form race going forward, largely the Stokes pair or Defiant Dancer and That Girl, who each sat off the speed and finished off strongly.
Race Five: Be very careful when doing this race from this meeting. On raw times, it has gone 16+L slower time than the Benchmark 70 race from the race prior to this one.
On face value, that’s very concerning, but race five, the wind significantly picked up and those in front walked to ensure the breeze wasn’t too effective towards their finale hence the first 1000m was in around 1.06-1.07, which is barrier trial speed, even allowing for the wind.
They’ve really zipped home and Tavidance was impressive. If he can find a rain affected track in a race like the Lord Stakes at Caulfield, he’ll likely win the race.
Doomben
Race Three: He had a $41 SP, but the run of Advance Warning was outstanding. Bungled the start and had to settle near the back in a very slowly run race. Saved ground nearer the inside but he’s a 2000m+ horse. He shouldn’t be sprinting like he did but he closed off and was very good in defeat.
He’s right on track for a race like the Magic Millions Stayers. Favourite Tokoriki Lad was wide no cover, but the slow tempo probably half takes away that as an excuse. Better suited on bigger tracks and 1400m.
The Magic Millions Picture: There were three crucial 1200m races run that were going to somewhat sort out the contenders and pretenders. In terms of the Magic Millions Guineas, the locals, it’s all about the fillies for me. The boys ran ordinary time relative to the day in the Winning Rupert, so that race concerns me heading forward. Rogue Rocker is the blackbooker though.
He’s got no idea what he’s doing yet nearly won the race, amazing considering his lone run prior was a Ballina maiden. The fillies went much better time in the Mode Plate, but relative to the George Moore, it was still a fair way off so the winner Isotope and those behind will need to improve a few lengths I feel to match it with the Sydney and Melbourne contingent.
The George Moore was taken out by Hard Empire in a fast time. This race can be followed with confidence. Liked the runs of Tambo’s Mate from on speed and the eye catching closers were Outback Barbie, Scallopini and Chapter And Verse.
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