The Roar
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Opinion

Sydney racing selections: Randwick tips for Saturday, December 26

Roar Guru
25th December, 2020
1

Season’s greetings to everyone, surely there’s no better way to celebrate Christmas than watching the Boxing Day Test while backing winners at double-figure odds.

Hopefully there’s no rain in Melbourne and hopefully my numbers are good!

Thanks for sticking with me across 2020, it’s very satisfying to end in front after 52 posts. There’s be a few ups and downs, notably ten ducks with no wins across the card, but some big wins too.

2020 highlights
Biggest daily total: 52.20 units on November 7 (Stakes Day)
Biggest priced winner: Accountability, November 7, $35.50
Most wins in a day: Six, August 19

Dixie’s 2020 tally
Units bet: 529
Units won: 605.30
Stats are based on one unit being equal to a $1 win bet New South Wales dividends. See the comments for any changes based on scratchings or track condition.

Randwick selections
Race 3 – 10 Bowery Breeze (one unit)
I’ve taken a liking to the ones dropping weight here, Zing and Bowery Breeze recently went for the easy kill at Warwick Farm and fought out third. I’m leaning towards Bowery Breeze based on the way he ran on there after being slowly away, think the mile suits her.

Race 4 – 4 Sacramento (two units)
Keen for a bit of a nibble at Sacramento, I think Team Waterhouse has a bit of an opinion of him (he ran in a VRC Derby trial and ATC Derby). His last start Listed win showed a bit, and while he’ll be best suited over further than 1800 metres, there’s a class edge here on the rest of the field.

Race 5 – 3 Frosty Rocks (two units)
The oddmakers may have got it right in this one, I had Roy and the Rocks fighting it out. I’ve ended up taking Frosty Rocks quite confidently, he’s nicely suited third-up, will lead from barrier one and can come home with some slick sectionals. I’ll definitely be taking the Quinella with Bigbadroy.

Race 6 – 7 Berdibek (three units)
Ranking Berdibek as my best of the day, think he’s a great value shot stepping up to 2000 metres and right down in weight. About a year ago he won an 1800 metre race in lower grade carrying the grandstand, I think he’s now fit and ready for this sort of contest. His run in the Villiers was good, his 800-200 was race fastest, at $23, it’s a hard yes. Best of Days not far off.

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Race 7 – 14 Big Bad Bruce (one unit)
Keep the outsiders coming I reckon, taking Big Bad Bruce (Roy/Bruce combo at 100/1?), he was slowly away two starts ago in lower grade but far too good. He’s not going to be in next year’s Everest but I think back at 1200, down in weight he can be in the finish if it goes his way.

Race 8 – 14 Ellsberg (two units)
In Jay we trust. I’m an Ellsberg fan, a few could go forward here, including Intrepidacious who’s a chance at double-figure odds, but I think Ellsberg might have a bigger tank. He was well held when winning easily last time, not a great price but should go close.

Race 9 – 12 Brazen Gem (one unit)
Well if I trusted Jay Ford, I’m saying a prayer for Glyn Schofield, who has my equal top-rater at a nice price, but from a barrier closer to Coogee Beach than the inside rail. If the Gem isn’t posted, she’s right in it. Otherwise La Foret might pop up, but she’s drawn terribly as well so really it might end up a bit of a lottery.

There it is, 12 units to finish the year. Cheers again for all of your support across 2020, we’ve been lucky to have the continuity of racing across an extended time of wide interruption. Here’s to more winners in ’21.