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Opinion
There are two meetings to focus on this Friday, with Albion Park in the afternoon and Shepparton at night.
The best bets for the respective programs are down below.
Best bet: Race 3 Number 6 Millwood Tilly
The $4.60 on offer is more than acceptable for this mare, who does possess good gate speed and despite drawing wide she can find the front if Pete McMullen presses the button early. She was good in defeat here last Friday when drawing the second row. If she finds the front, the $4.60 will become $2.60.
Next-best: Race 6 Number 1 Aye Aye Captain
Anything around even money is good enough. Just looks a perfect race for this gelding. He umped into a smart one first-up when a close up second, albeit was a beaten odds on favourite. He should hold the lead quite comfortably from the inside and provided he doesn’t cop too much heat, it should be a painless watch.
Value: Race 7 Number 8 Fearless Faith
She has opened $7, which is a bit skinny. Hope she can get to double figures. She ran here last Friday and it was an ugly watch if you were on. She had the perfect sit behind the speed but got dragged back by tired horses and it was pretty much a barrier trial for her. Follows out a reliable horse so she should get an ideal sit and run a positive race.
Best bet: Race 5 Number 8 Mummys Boy
He will need luck to go his way, but if it does, think the $3.70 is a good gamble. He’s a former Queenslander who has done a good job in three runs in Victoria and was brave in defeat last time after sitting in the breeze and pulling his head off. He follows out a fast beginner, so should land leaders back and prove hard to hold out late.
Next-best: Race 6 Number 3 The Longest Day
Short but should be winning. A former Kiwi that had one run in Sydney for Jack Trainor and did everything wrong, so forget she went around. Now with David Aitken, her trial efforts have been pretty sound and enough to suggest she has a fair bit on these. She’ll get towards even money after opening ridiculously short.
Value: Race 4 Number 1 Starlight Red
This girl is worth a speck each way at double-figure odds. She ran at Bendigo last Thursday and just went too keen in the run, leaving herself with little to no petrol tickets in the straight. She does possess good gate speed and should hold the lead early, then perhaps opt for cover. Whatever the scenario, she’s worthy of an each-way ticket.
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