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Opinion
Two meetings to look at on Thursday, with Redcliffe and Ballarat the focus. Down below are your best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet: Race One Number 5 Little Change
He’s a great bet to start the meeting. There was merit in his run at Albion Park last Friday. Just got too far back from the wide gate and in a fast run race, just had no hope of winning.
Better suited in a race like this and with gate speed, Pete McMullen will be aggressive, find the front and prove hard to run down.
Next best: Race Six Number 1 Pacific Coin
Hard to really get enthused on recent form, but the reason, well, a main reason, is that he has had wide gates to contend. He is a much better horse when able to get near the speed, so from gate one, I expect Lachie Manzelmann to be positive in holding a forward spot and in a thin race, he’ll take some beating.
Value: Race Seven Number 7 Goalkicker
Worth a 1×3 speck at odds in the get out. Another that hasn’t been helped by wide gates in recent runs, but this time gets a good trailing draw to follow out a fast beginner, so should she land leaders back, she’ll run a big race despite her recent form suggesting she is going no good.
Best bet: Race Two Number 3 Gil Favor
Pretty keen on this former Kiwi, who makes his Australian debut for Brent Lilley. Has done most of his racing at Addington in far stronger races than this and has been pretty good for the most part, the latest run seeing him finish third after doing work in the run.
Barring bad luck, he is a good thing.
Next best: Race Three Number 1 Lopez
Was on her back at odds last start at Melton and keen to butter up. Produced an electric finale to win fresh at Kilmore before going to Melton where she had the box seat and tried hard. Just couldn’t quite get there when third.
This race looks a touch on the weaker side and drawn the pole, gets run of the race.
Value: Race Seven Number 8 My Golden Eagle
Reckon he’s worth a bet each way. Resumed over the mile at Kilmore where he had to do work in the run to get on speed and that early burn just told late.
Run was still full of merit, and with a good trailing draw this time around, he could well be dangerous at odds if the breaks go his way.
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