Two meetings to look at this Friday, with my attention at Albion Park and Bendigo.
The best bets for the respective programs are down below.
Best bet: Race 6 Number 5 The Fortunate Son
The best on the card. Forget his run last time. He was off a six-week break with no trials, was back in a slowly run race…just had no chance in an awful set up for him. He does his best work when in front and doing things to suit himself. He has a front line draw to do that, so I’m really keen on his chances.
Next-best: Race 1 Number 7 Aladdin Sane
It’s a case of buyer beware because he can be a bit hit and miss re his manners, but when he puts his together, he is quite a capable trotter and certainly good enough to beat these. Forget the last run where he made an error. He was pretty reliable in a sequence of runs prior, so he deserves another chance.
Value: Race 5 Number 8 With Authority
You can easily have a 1×3 speck on him at big odds. Overall, numerically his recent form is ordinary, but if you go through his five runs or so, the furthest he has been from the winner has been 20-odd metres. He has a good trailing draw, following out a fast beginner and should he land leaders back, I’ve seen worse outsiders.
Best bet: Race 1 Number 7 Central Otago
Short but sweet to kick off the meeting. He’s a very progressive trotter for the Gath camp that went through the Homegrown Classic Series. He was second in his heat before taking out the final last weekend in a fast mile rate. Despite drawing seven, he has enough gate speed to get across and lead. Should be a relatively painless watch.
Next-best: Race 10 Number 1 Silky Smooth Excuse
Punters should end the night with a good thing here in the shape of this mare. I’d be very forgiving of her past two runs, where she has failed each time. Those runs have come in much, much stronger races than this. This is a very thin race overall and with her gate speed, she should hold the front and prove too good.
Value: Race 4 Number 8 Ce Pe Three
He’s a great gamble each way at decent odds. The rub of the green hasn’t gone his way in recent runs. HE was outside the leader last time and tired, pulled hard before that, back in a slowly-run race prior to that. This time around he gets an ideal set up, following out a good beginner and should the box seat spot be his, he’ll be dangerous via the sprint lane.