There are two meetings to look at on Saturday night, with Albion Park and Melton getting my attention.
Below are the best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet: Race 5, Number 1, The Fortunate Son
It is getting close to D Day for him but he finds a very winnable race with a perfect set-up. He does his best racing from in front, or near it at the very least. This horse hasn’t been able to get that set-up in his past couple of races, with barriers dictating his position. This horse gets a good draw to use his speed, find the front and prove hard to run down.
Next best: Race 10, Number 10, Majestic Simon
Chantal Turpin has this guy flying and he can win again. This horse came with a brilliant finale from off the speed to get the job done last time, which was over the 2647-metre journey. Going back to the 2138-metre journey is a little query, but he’s generally safe from the stand, should be within range and launching late.
Value: Race 2, Number 1, Rocknroll Dude
He’s racing very well at the moment and each way, you can’t go wrong backing him. This horse showed his usual gate speed to find the front last time before opting for cover and he battled on really well to run third. He’ll need to improve a bit in order to win but from the pole. He’ll get every chance.
Best bet: Race 2, Number 8, One Big Shew (place)
This looks like a pretty straightforward map. Narutac Prince leads, La Captain is leaders back and One Big Shew is three back pegs. That should be the 1-2-3 all things being equal so with that, the best on the program is this guy to place. He was excellent when third in a qualifier and will be charging late via the sprint lane. He’s a lock for top three.
Next best: Race 4, Number 10, Holzhauer
The draw makes things tricky, but he might well be a star. His overall time when winning on debut at Cranbourne was plain, but it was his change-up speed when clicked up that really impressed me. He went from just in front to 20-plus metres clear. He looks top shelf and I am confident he can make it two from two.
Value: Race 7, Number 9, Love Ina Chevy
This is a bit of a throw at the stumps at odds. He’s a veteran who has seen better days, but gets a good trailing draw to use this time around. There is a heap of gate speed in front of him, so Lance Justice has options, whether he sticks to the pegs for luck or stays one off and hopes for a good drag into the race. I can see him being dangerous at a massive price.