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Opinion
There are two meetings to look on Saturday night, with Menangle and Geelong being my focus.
Below are the best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet: Race 3, Number 7, Rocknroll Angel
I am pretty keen on this mare bouncing back. I’d be forgiving of her run at Penrith last time. She just got into a tricky spot from inside the second row and couldn’t really get involved behind Elmers Image. She has the gate speed to cross these and she showed two back how dominant she can be when clocking a 1.50.8 mile rate from the front. If she runs up to that, she wins.
Next best: Race 4, Number 7, Island Fire Dance
Jason Grimson is fast becoming one of the best in the business at improving a tried horse. This filly looks no exception. The first run for the camp came here where she led throughout, gapped them and ran a 1.51.9 mile rate, which is very fast for a lightly raced filly. There is room for improvement and she’s clearly the one to beat.
(Photo by Kai Schwoerer/Getty Images)
Value: Race 8, Number 1, Fear Cruisin
He is worth an each-way ticket in the last. Recent runs have come in weaker races than this, and he has been beaten, but he has done it from the front and tried hard. So while he has let punters down, you should get double figures for him here, and from the pole, he gets run of the race.
Best bet: Race 2, Number 7, Lochinvar Chief
I was on his back when he won at Bathurst and I won’t be dropping off here. He was disappointing in a heat of the Gold Chalice at Bathurst, which meant he didn’t get a run in the final. Instead he went to a consolation where he produced sustained speed from the front and he was impressive. With race fitness over Swayzee, I am confident this guy can get the job done.
Next best: Race 3, Number 8, Tornado Valley
This race will have great interest given a win here for this star trotter will see him go through the $1 million prize-money barrier, something that is saved for all-time greats. He was outstanding during the Great Southern Star Series and only has to hold his form to be winning again.
Value: Race 5, Number 8, Major Assassin
I can make a good case for this guy at a price. He hasn’t set the world on fire in two runs back from a break, but to be fair, he has had ordinary draws in both outings, so I’d just forget those efforts. He has a good trailing draw to use this time around and follows out the likely leader. He’s a great each-way gamble.
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