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Opinion
There are two meetings to watch on Friday, with my focus at Melton and Bendigo.
Down below are my best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet – Race 4, No. 2: Pacifico Dream
This is a high-quality four-year-old who should be taking this race out. He resumed at Geelong where he got shuffled back on the pegs and the breaks just didn’t go his way at a vital stage, so I’d be forgiving of that effort. He’s a high-class animal who looks to be on track for this series. He should prove far too good.
Next-best bet – Race 1, No. 6: Kyvalley Pierro
He’s one from one to start his career, and I think he can make it two from two. That debut came at Kilmore, where he was outside the speed from the wide gate but despite the hard run bolted clear and was dominant in recording a debut win. He’s got a tricky gate once again, but he looks very smart and should win.
Value bet – Race 6, No. 1: Power Of Faith
She’s rising a fair bit in grade and depth, but she’s racing well and should get every chance from the pole. She gave them a spanking three back at Shepparton before a beaten odds-on pop during the Mildura carnival. She then raced here when shuffled back from a wide gate and couldn’t quite get there. She has gate speed and I like her drawn inside. I think she’ll run a positive race at odds.
Best bet – Race 4, No. 1: Hy Leinvincible
I’m pretty keen on this guy to get into the winners list. He has been excellent in his two runs back from a spell, the latest coming in the Home Grown Classics, where he was massive in defeat after doing work in the run. He’s drawn much better this time around, and with gate speed he’ll lead, so I think he’ll win.
Next-best bet – Race 7, No. 9: Tornado Valley
He was supposed to surpass the $1 million prize money barrier last Saturday but unfortunately couldn’t get the win. He gets another chance here, and I think he can take it. He was enormous in defeat in that race, sitting outside the speed and just failing to win. Has the 30-metre handicap but has class.
Value bet – Race 9, No. 1 Chronicles
He’s a lightly raced five-year-old with decent ability, so I think he’s worth an each-way ticket at odds. Had the one from one sit when racing at Charlton last time out, and once he was clicked up, away he went. He was dominant. If he can hold leaders back from the pole, I think he’s in with a decent shout.
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