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Opinion
There are two meetings to look forward to this Wednesday night, with my focus on Bathurst and Redcliffe.
These are my best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet – Race 2, No. 8: Carlo Gambino
A former Kiwi who should take a power of beating here fresh for the Turnbull camp. He did a good job in his first Australian prep in Victoria, but his last run saw him break in the score-up, hence he is out of draw for this race. He trialled up well enough, and provided he does everything right, he should find the front and take running down.
Next-best bet – Race 3, No. 6: Sioux Rainbow
She looks a great chance in a winnable race. Paul Fitzpatrick rarely makes the trip to Bathurst, but when he does, he rarely leaves empty-handed. This filly ran at Penrith last time out and was good in defeat after getting the 1-1 sit. The depth here is nowhere near as strong, and I think she has a touch of quality to get her home.
Value bet – Race 5, No. 5: Kash Us Back
On paper he isn’t going well enough to win, but if you dive in deeper, he isn’t going too badly. He just pulled too hard fresh here, then at Menangle he didn’t get the clearest of paths and was good in defeat. He has a lovely trailing draw to use here, and if he gets a good tempo in front, he’ll be hard to hold out.
Best bet – Race 4, No. 1: Hot Embers
It should be a lovely race for this gelding. His recent efforts at the track have been more than sound, albeit he hasn’t had the plus of a good barrier, which he gets here, so I think he’ll use his gate speed to lead this field up. He’s bursting to win another race, and this looks well within reach for this son of Courage Under Fire.
Next-best bet – Race 1, No. 2: Risky Buziness
I generally hate these short-course races, but this gelding does look hard to beat. He has enough gate speed to lead this field up, and the 947-metre start should be an advantage. He races best when allowed to lead, and given the set-up on paper, he gets a great chance to get back into the winners list.
Value bet – Race 6, No. 7: Tactfilly Magic
She will need things to fall into place for her, but at big odds I’m happy to speck 1×3. Her recent efforts have been somewhat plain, but she should get a lovely run on the pegs, whether it be leaders back or three back. Whatever position she is, she’ll be doing no work and is a sneaky chance at a big price.
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