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Opinion
After reviewing Saturday’s meeting at Randwick, I have noted some key horses to follow. Of course, they need to be found in suitable races rather than just backing them blindly.
Conexy (race 1)
He was ridden conservatively from the slightly awkward draw, and it did not look to suit him well. He over-raced for a long way close to the heels of the other back-markers, and then didn’t get clear room for a fair portion of the straight. This forced a weaving run back to the inside.
He did look to peak a bit on the run at the end, but I’m happy to put that down to the poor energy usage throughout. We will see him race in a more forward position next start, and he would benefit from doing so.
Gravina (race 5)
Needs no explanation – we all saw that win!
Tycoonist (race 5)
He has put in two nice runs now this preparation. They have both been on soft tracks, but he generally does his best work on a firmer surface. If he can find a good track soon in that 1200-1300-metre distance range then he should be ready to fire.
Criminal Code (race 7)
He looks to be best suited around that 1600-1800-metre mark, so it was a very pleasing first-up performance at 1300m to run on for third. While he has won at about that distance before, it was in a much lower grade – his maiden win in Perth – so his run was still above expectation this time in.
I like the horse that won this race on Saturday: Dream Circle. Given Criminal Code was able to run on from the back to finish within a length of that galloper, there looks like scope for a good win over a bit further this preparation.
I assume he will go up to 1500 or 1600m next start and should give a really good sight in the right grade.
Brutality (race 8)
This four-year-old gelding looks to have come back very well this preparation. His fast-finishing third placing behind Nudge and Brandenburg two starts back was a very good sign.
Those two horses subsequently ran very well in group races in Queensland. The drop back in distance to 1400m on Saturday looked like a potential query and was probably part of the reason for the odds drift.
He had to ease over the heels of several horses in the straight and produced a dynamite finish once clear to miss by less than a length.
He will be worth following next start, particularly if he goes back up to 1600m (but I could still get interested at 1400m). A soft track is required to bet with confidence, however.
Belluci Babe (race 9)
She was enormous in the last race on Saturday.
She was caught three-wide without cover toward the back of the field. This is never the right spot to be, but particularly on Saturday with the wind factor, horses sitting deep really didn’t fare well at all.
She was outstanding to still be the strongest through the line, only going down by 0.43 lengths to Lillemor and Malkovich. Of all those listed above, Belluci Babe is the one I’m most keen to follow going forward, particularly if she can land on a good surface.
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