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State of Origin Game 1 betting odds guide: Winner, margin, first try-scorer and more

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9th June, 2021

It’s a familiar story heading into State of Origin Game 1. The New South Wales Blues are favourites over the Queensland Maroons – but can they actually get it done?.

More State of Origin
» REPORT: NSW romp home to record-breaking win
» TALKING POINTS: How can Queensland possibly recover?
» MAN OF THE MATCH: Tommy Turbo named best afield
» AS IT HAPPENED: Origin 1 blog
» State of Origin results
» State of Origin fixtures

This is The Roar’s complete Origin 1 betting guide, with odds for the result, margins, the line, first try-scorer and man of the match – all thanks to our good friends at PlayUp.

If you are having a punt on the game, please do so responsibly.

The result

As expected, the NSW Blues are the very warm favourites to take out Game 1, paying $1.50 to get up.

While they are playing in hostile territory, the vastly superior line-up (on paper) has made them the favourites.

The Maroons, who are missing Kalyn Ponga and still have injury clouds over many other key players, are paying $2.66 to cause the upset.

If you really wanna be ‘that guy’ and tip a draw, it’s paying $19.


The line

The line sits at five and a half points ahead of the game, with the Blues paying $1.87 and the Maroons paying $1.97 to cover it.

The margin

The main markets for margin betting are the standard options of 1-12 and 13+.

Interestingly, the Blues are paying $2.85 for both options – which probably makes the 1-12 market a bit of a smarter bet.

You’ll get $3.90 back for every dollar bet on a Queensland victory by 1-12, while a 13+ margin in favour of the Maroons is paying a whopping $7.40.

First try-scorer

The first try-scorer market has both New South Wales wingers in the lead. Josh Addo-Carr, as always, leads the way at $8.50, while Origin debutant Brian To’o is surprisingly not far behind at $9.


Xavier Coates is the best of the Queenslanders at $11, while James Tedesco ($12) and Tom Trbojevic ($12) round out the top five.

Josh Addo-Carr $8.50
Brian To’o $9
Xavier Coates $11
James Tedesco $12
Tom Trbojevic (New South Wales) $12
Kyle Feldt (Queensland) $13
Latrell Mitchell $13
Dane Gagai (Queensland) $14
Alexander Brimson $15
Valentine Holmes $15
Jack Wighton $18
Nathan Cleary (New South Wales) $18
David Fifita $19
Cameron Munster $21
Cameron Murray $23
Jarome Luai $23
Kurt Capewell $23
Damien Cook $26
Payne Haas $26
Felise Kaufusi $31
Jaydn Su’A $31
Harry Grant $34
Liam Martin $34
Tariq Sims $34
Daly Cherry-Evans $41
Isaah Yeo $41
Junior Paulo $41
Jai Arrow $51
Moeaki Fotuaika $51
Tino Fa’asuamaleaui $51
Christian Welch $67
Daniel Saifiti $67
Jake Trbojevic $67
Joe Ofahengaue $67

Man of the match

Despite not yet finding his feet at Origin level, Nathan Clearly is the favourite to take out man of the match honours at just $5.50.

His skipper, James Tedesco, is next in line at $6.50, before a trio of Queenslanders in Cam Munster ($7), Harry Grant ($11) and Daly Cherry-Evans ($13) round out the top five.

Nathan Cleary $5.50
James Tedesco $6.50
Cameron Munster $7
Harry Grant $11
Daly Cherry-Evans $13
Damien Cook $15
Jarome Luai $15
Tom Trbojevic $17
Valentine Holmes $17
Cameron Murray $21
Dane Gagai $26
David Fifita $26
Isaah Yeo $26
Latrell Mitchell $26
Brian Too $34
Jake Trbojevic $41
Kurt Capewell $41
Christian Welch $51
Jai Arrow $51
Josh Addo-Carr $51
Payne Haas $51
Tino Fa’asuamaleaui $51
AJ Brimson $67
Felise Kaufusi $67
Jack Wighton $67
Tariq Sims $67
Daniel Saifiti $101
Junior Paulo $101
Kyle Feldt $101
Liam Martin $101
Moeaki Fotuaika $101
Xavier Coates $101
Jaydn Sua $151
Joe Ofahengaue $151

All odds are correct as at 9am (AEST) on Wednesday, June 9.

As always, stay on The Roar tonight for live scores and commentary, video highlights and the best post-game analysis going around.


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