What a week, and what a Friday! I hope everyone is safe and well and doing the right thing, fingers crossed we’re back to normal before we can say Might and Power.
With the restrictions over east-side, Saturday’s meeting has been transferred to Rosehill, where we should get a nice track in the soft six or seven range. It’s not a meeting for world beaters, but most fields are good sizes and the races look competitive. Hopefully my winter can improve and we end up on the right side.
Dixie’s 2021 tally
Outlay: 259 units
Return: 359.20 units
Stats are based on one unit being equal to a $1 win bet, New South Wales dividends. See the comments for any changes based on scratchings or track condition.
Race 1 – 3 Resilient Star (one unit)
I’m happy to have Resilient Star in the opener. He’s in well with the claim, meeting Kobe Rocks 3.5 kilos better for their midweek clash last time (Kobe by three lengths). There should be enough speed on to bring the back markers into it (2/7/8/11) all map to go forward. He’s won on soft going and should be thereabouts. Sahra rates well on the quick back-up after a tough run last week. I had Patino Ruby as a chance as well if you’re in Louise Day’s camp.
Race 3 – 5 Feel the Rush (one unit)
Feel the Rush would probably prefer the heavier Randwick surface, or for the sprinklers to be on overnight at Rosehill, but soft should be about right and she should run close to the two miles. The 3200-metre trip is a query for most. I can’t have Sweet Thomas with the big weight, so it comes down to the fittest horse. Kaapfever is right in it but is 6/4 or so in the old language, that’s very short for a horse with his record. He Runs Away rated okay but flounders in the wet.
Race 4 – 6 Rules Don’t Apply (one unit)
I am going to back the well-named Rules Don’t Apply (daughter of Dissident). She has soft-track from and was good winning at midweeks over 1900 metres last start. Tochi was my second pick. She has a nice little record, will appreciate the conditions as well and give a sight from near the front.
Race 5 – 12 Meg (two units)
The filly Meg has had two starts for Matt Dale since coming from NZ, with a nice little starter at Kembla from way back behind an improver and then an easy kill at Wagga, where she bolted in. She’s brought to town now, has no weight on her back and could be on the up-and-up. I had Knight in my numbers and didn’t mind Maccomo. Wairere Falls is a nice horse and deserved favourite but is too short for me up in weight.
Race 6 – 8 Threeood (two units)
I’ve always has a bit of a crush on Threeood, even if she has a history of winning without me. All could be forgiven here. This sets up nicely, she’s fitter for her fresh effort in this class, she likes the sting out and has Jay Ford on top. Wandabaa in the wet is the big threat. She has to be close to a win.
Race 7 – 8 Toryjoy (one unit)
Toryjoy gets a bit in her favour here, she hasn’t won in 18 months but gets sting out of the surface, a soft lead and her best journey (1800 metres). Great House is the favourite for a reason and should go close. Opacity will relish the conditions but has some weight to contend with.
Race 8 – 9 Amoretti (one unit)
Trainer Portelli is going back-to-front with Amoretti this prep. He was good fresh in a sprint before failing at 1800 metres, so he’s back to 1400 for this. With no weight on his back he’s a chance, although he has drawn terribly! Enter Ellen Hennessy, the young Irish apprentice, no pressure. St Covet’s Spirit rates highly (again) but is now one from 24 and needs a notch on her belt before she gets my cash again. Bluff’N’Bluster gets his favourite track and is a chance.
Race 9 – 1 Shadow Crush (one unit)
The Shadow has won two on the trot (a streak!) and gets in very nicely weight-wise with Tyler Schiller’s claim. With my other rating hopes drawing the car park, he should get all the favours and be hard to hold out. Joviality was the big threat coming from fillies-stakes stuff, Destination is a chance as well and Perigord has heavy track form. It is a good race to finish.
Good luck to a new jockey on this scene this Saturday. Bjorn Baker is using Heavelon Van Der Hoven, a Namibian in his late 20s, and they seem to be going well together, with four wins from 14 runs since linking up. I’m watching closely.
All the best everyone. It could be a Saturday on the lounge depending on where you are. Stay safe and go wide in the quaddie.
Caulfield and Flemington have had their taste of Group 1 racing this spring, and we’ve seen some fantastic racing – Behemoth winning back-to-back Memsies, Incentivise laying a down-payment on future riches in the Makybe Diva Stakes, and Sierra Sue winning a thrilling Rupert Clarke Stakes to give Daniel Moor his first Australian Group 1 winner.