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Sydney racing selections: Rosehill tips for Saturday, July 3

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Roar Guru
2nd July, 2021
4

Nothing says winter racing more than a heavy track, the same venue for the third consecutive week, and big fields with plenty stepping between Wednesday and Saturday grade.

As a present (and we all need a little pick-me-up right now), we’ve got an extra race with the addition of the Midway, a low-grader for provincial horses that aren’t quite Sydney, but aren’t Dubbo either.

So it’s Rosehill from the lounge room with a likelihood of a heavy eight or nine, and ten races to get through. Things are looking up again with Meg’s win last week after a pretty average run of it post-Championships.

Dixie’s 2021 tally
Outlay: 269 units
Return: 373.60 units
Stats are based on one unit being equal to a $1 win bet, New South Wales dividends. See the comments for any changes based on scratchings or track condition.

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Sydney racing selections

Race 1 – 3 The Empire (one unit)
I have The Empire controlling things nicely from in front in the opener. He’s won three of his last five and was really strong through the line on heavy going last time. There’s whispers around for Sir Davy. I’m happy to watch considering he’ll get back and has no slow/heavy form.

Race 2 – 14 Knight Driver (one unit)
Dubbo-trained Knight Rider looks a speedy filly, who’s gone through her grades quickly out west from on-pace. There is other speed around. I’m trusting Kerrin McEvoy to do the right thing and the heavy form to come through, particularly over Hellenism, who’s due to win one of these but may need dry.

Race 3 – 9 Admit It (two units)
Admit It has been all around it recently, being runner-up by less than a length before saluting and being DQ’d after weighing in light (trainer Graham Brown forgot the lead bag – insert ‘oh no’ emoji). The positive of that is that he actually increases his weight advantage on Kaapfever and Brown Thomas. Admit It and Brown Thomas will relish the heavy, Sound of Cannons might not but is in it at odds, Poulton Le Sands is worth a look getting out to a longer trip, and Sepulchre is in the mix.

Horse racing generic 1

Race 4 – 3 Magic Ruler (one unit)
Good luck working this one out. I’ve landed with Magic Ruler. He should sit off a hot tempo and both of his wins are on heavy. Kinloch looks the real deal, Ibaraki is one-from-one, the on-speed types could keep going. Very tricky.

Race 5 – 10 Go For Gold (one unit)
Welcome to the inaugural Midway. Like the Highway, but closer. We’ve got a big field of horses from around Sydney’s perimeter, I’ll dabble. Apt with the Olympics (hopefully) around the corner, Go For Gold looks a swimmer with two-from-home wins in the wet. He is drawn nicely to go forward and is gutsy. I’m wary of Switched, who backs up from higher grade and has the proven formula of apprentice weight drop on a leader in the wet. Our Bellagio Miss looks another suited at this sort of level.

Race 6 – 7 Oscar Zulu (one unit)
I have this between 7/8/9. Oscar Zulu gets the nod after an impressive win last time, that ticks the heavy track box, the against older horses box and the track/distance box. Canasta was good fresh but shows his best on good tracks. Cisco Bay steamrolled him that day and might be better suited.

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Race 7 – 6 O’Mudgee (one unit)
O’Mudgee looked the winner a long way out at Canterbury last start. I have him taking the next step here and going back-to-back. That was his first go on heavy and he seemed to be a duck! Wild Chap was next best for me. He was a winner at Canterbury last time as well and is nicely weighted with Tyler Schiller’s claim, but was well beaten by O’Mudgee at Kembla in April. I am noting he gets weight relief here.

Race 8 – 8 Epic Dan (two units)
Yep, that was me that tipped Epic Dan last time at Randwick at any old price. He didn’t really run on, but I’m sticking strong. His win at Canterbury in April and second the start before put him right in this, the scratchings help him and he’s actually a clear top marker. His heavy record is A-1 as well. Vitesse shapes to get a soft run from the inside draw and not much speed. Taksu should be thereabouts as well.

Race 9 – 15 Roseirro (half unit each way)
I am having a sneaky each-way (never done before!) dabble on the emergency Roseirro. He’s been going okay recently and Tyler Schiller’s claim gets him right in nicely. No knock on the favourite Wicklow. He looks a gun and will likely keep his unbeaten Australian run going. He’s $2 versus $81, I’ll take my chances.

Race 10 – 11 Exotic Ruby (one unit)
Still going! Another tough one to finish. I’m going with Exotic Ruby, who’s banging down the door, with three of four goes this prep within a length of the winner. She draws better than last time and drops in weight, hopefully she gets her win. There are so many horses around the mark. Can non-winner St Covet’s Spirit bob up? She’s not the worst. Katalin’s a big hope but has only been dominant when dry, Steel Diamond is one of my favourites and Miss Einstein can win if she finds her best.

What a massive day. With everything else going on, enjoy the racing relief and fingers crossed we all back a few winners. Please sign up for the chat and keep me posted on your thoughts across the day.

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