Two meetings to look at on Thursday, with my attention at Kilmore and Redcliffe. Down below are your best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet: Race 1, Number 7, Masquerading
Yet to miss a top-three finish in six outings. Only has the one win next to his name, but I think he’ll get win two here. Close up in both runs back from a break, and despite drawing outside the front row, he has the gate speed to carve over, find the front and from there, dominate proceedings.
Next-best: Race 7, Number 4, Swayzee
Talented three-year-old for Tim Butt that looks hard to beat. Forget his last start effort at Maryborough. Did a power of work near the speed and that early burn just told at the end. He has the gate speed to find the front and he does do his best racing when leading, so hoping that eventuates.
Value: Race 5, Number 1, Miss Tyler
Think this filly is worth an each way ticket. She hasn’t really had much luck with gates in recent times in the sense she hasn’t been able to land a good spot without doing work. That changes here with the pole draw. She should get leaders back and be right in the finish at odds.
Best bet: Race 1, Number 4, The Harris Hawk
He is yet to place in seven career outings, but this is clearly the easiest race he has contested in some time, so I’m confident he can register win one on the board. Did a bit too much work on speed last time out here and finished down the track behind Dancing With My Ex. That form reads super for this.
Next-best: Race 2, Number 3, Misty Creek
Should be a painless watch at likely short odds. Ugliest watch of 2021 two back here. Then went to Albion Park and though he ran last, his sectionals were good, much better than any of what he is up against would have produced. Normal luck and he’ll be too strong for them.
Value: Race 5, Number 1, Eulo Flyer
The inside gate is a big, big improvement for this guy on what he has had in recent starts. Admittedly, he hasn’t set the world on fire and is rising 12 years of age, so his best is behind him, but Pete McMullen steering from the pole, I think he can run an improved race at big odds.