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Opinion
Two meetings to look at on Thursday, with my focus at Redcliffe and Kilmore. Down below is best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet: Race 8, Number 1, Calvert Hot Shot
Looking to make it three on the bounce and I think he can. Spanked them two back at Marburg before proving that was no fluke when coming from off the pace to win here last time out. Drawn the pole, I think he will hold the front and prove quite tough to run down in what looks a race in two between it and Little Arrows.
Next-best: Race 10, Number 1, Jang Pel
I’m with him in the get out from the pole draw. Three back he was too good for them at Marburg and in two subsequent runs at this track, he has been far from disgraced. Drawn well, he’ll hold a forward spot, either leading or behind the leader. Wherever he lands, he’s hard to beat.
Value: Race 1, Number 1, Payout
Pretty thin race to start the meeting so going for an each-way speck in the shape of Payout. He attempted to lead throughout here last time out and battled on well to run fifth, beaten just under 20m. I think he’ll be on speed again and at big odds, is worth a small each-way speck.
Best bet: Race 1, Number 5, Saviour Telf
He looks a smart type and I think will make a winning Australian debut. Former Kiwi that joins Julie Douglas and looked quite capable in New Zealand before coming across. Finds a very winnable race here, I think he’ll bully his way to the front and be miles too good for them.
Next-best: Race 3, Number 6, La Serena
First 200m will be crucial to her chances. She does tend to race best when in front so if she can find the top without spending too many petrol tickets, then good luck beating her. Not much has gone her way the past couple but expecting a positive drive here – then she’ll find the front and dominate proceedings.
Value: Race 8, Number 1, Kivici
This colt is worth an each-way ticket in the last in a race where anything could happen. Younger trotters, it’ll come down to who can produce the best manners. He has the pole and wasn’t too bad in defeat last time out at Bendigo. If he can hold the front and get control, he becomes the one to beat.
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