Two meetings to look at on Thursday, with my focus at Kilmore and Charlton. Down below are the best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet: Race 1, Number 5, La Perriere
Trusting trial form, especially with trotters, younger trotters, can be fraught with danger, but she looks to go really good. She’s on debut and she smashed them in a Geelong trial last week, producing sharp change up speed to win by a space and running good splits. If she produces decent manners, good luck beating her.
Next-best: Race 5, Number 1, Hidden Figure
None from 32 away from WA doesn’t read great, but she gets a golden chance here I feel. Led at a solid clip at Maryborough last time after working to find the top. She fought on bravely to finish third. I think she’ll hold up from the pole and from in front, she’ll take a power of beating.
Value: Race 7, Number 8, Lenard Ess
Happy to have a small each-way speck on this seven-year-old, who I think maps okay from inside the second row. Likely lands three back the pegs and I feel it could be a peg-dominated affair. He ran at Maryborough last time out and had no luck from the gate in an ugly watch. If he gets the rub of the green, he’ll be hard to hold out.
Best bet: Race 3, Number 3, Rocknroll Gronk
Michael Stanley gets it rarely wrong with a juvenile, and if he’s half decent, he should be too good against this average lot. He hasn’t had a public trial from what I can see, but Stanley is a gun conditioner, especially with two-year-olds, so backing with confidence the stable having this gelding ready to go.
Next-best: Race 2, Number 4, Appearfromnowhere
Very enigmatic trotter but if he does everything right, he’s handy, as seen at Melton last time. He had the suck run behind the speed before getting the sprint lane and producing change-up speed to get the job done. Charlton can be a tricky track, but she’s the one to beat with her best manners.
Value: Race 5, Number 1, No City Chick
This mare has been awful in recent times, but she finally comes up with a gate to do no work in the run. She hasn’t had the chance to have that economical run via tricky gates in recent runs, but at worst, she’ll be three back. Ideally, she can leaders back and 1×3 at a big price, happy to speck.