From the outside looking in, Australia's defeat to Argentina was coming

By Joshua Makepeace / Roar Rookie

The second Test between Argentina and Australia hit many people like a bucket of ice water.

The first Test was a rollercoaster that had the most dramatic part at the start before getting boring, ending in a comfortable victory for the Aussies.

We all know what happened in the second Test and it was definitely a shock for some.

However, for me as an England fan who looks in to Aussie rugby rather than out, I feel that people have been too optimistic about the Wallabies for a while.

This loss was coming.

First, we have to look at the inevitable impact of injuries. I hate to remind you that Jed Holloway, Quade Cooper, Len Ikitau, Hunter Paisami, Samu Kerevi, Andrew Kellaway, Dave Pocketi, Rob Leota and Folau Fainga’a are all out. That’s all a long, long list – probably the longest list of any international team – which has to be taken into consideration.

Particularly since Cooper’s return, excitement has been growing. Expectations have risen, talk is now that anything other than semi-finals at the World Cup is unacceptable. Fourth is not good enough.

These are predictions without any realism.

The best four teams in the world are, in no particular order, France, South Africa, New Zealand and Ireland, even with the Kiwis’ current troubles. I don’t see the top four changing come summer 2023 and whoever is in charge, New Zealand will have fixed the mess that they are in.

Ian Foster (Photo by Hagen Hopkins/Getty Images)

Australia are not even best of the rest, with that title belonging to England. Australia are even below Scotland in the world rankings, but that’s incorrect.

But the injuries! Don’t forget about the injuries! Yes, I know, but the Wallabies’ squad lacks the depth and consistent quality of the top-four nations.

It seems that as expectations have risen, so have opinions about the quality of Australia’s players.

For years, Michael Hooper was praised for being the shining light in a corridor of darkness, that we can’t expect much of this team because it’s simply not good enough, but suddenly he is not allowed that praise.

What happened? While the squad has been slowly improving, it simply cannot match that of the best. That is an unavoidable fact. So why are expectations so high?

After the positivity of the two victories over South Africa last year, it seemed like the Wallabies were on the up. It was an optimistic future, with Cooper leading Australia to a new chapter.

This came after the disappointment of the Bledisloe and Australian rugby was crying out for some positivity. When it came, it was duly embraced with two arms, and there had been nothing major since to damage that spirit.

Which leads us to why the Argentina loss was not a massive surprise.

Anyone can lose to anyone and if you combine that with a squad that is not incredible (I never said it was bad) and an extraordinary injury list, this result is not unusual.

The Aussies are tired of not being at the top of the table, but they might have to be tired for a little longer.

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2022-08-26T06:30:09+00:00

Joshua Makepeace

Roar Rookie


On reflection, I think I was slightly misinformed. I thought that many Wallabies fans were still quite optimistic and hopeful about the Wallabies. This article was trying to show that Aussie fans shouldn't be extremely optimistic. I've now found out that I was looking at the minority when I saw comments that anything less than semi-finals was poor, and only a few Aussie fans were as optimistic as I thought they were.

2022-08-26T02:23:38+00:00

Adam (Though An Imposter)

Roar Rookie


I'm glad you at least addressed the questions. For that at least you deserve some credit. I also completely believe you (and others) don't think you're being condescending. Those doing the condescending never do. My comment was mostly about getting you to think consciously about it. Even now, can you come up with a reason for writing this article? You wrote an article criticising the Wallabies on an Australian site where there is already plenty of criticism of the Wallabies - both from authors and commentators, both before the match and subsequently - after a match where almost everyone here widely panned their own team and praised the opposition. You then mention international rugby rankings and past performances. Do you think we're unaware of these facts? Do you think we can't read, or simply choose not to? So what was the motivation behind writing such an article, given the above? These questions are rhetorical, by the way, feel free to not answer if you like.

2022-08-25T20:57:55+00:00

Rugbyfan

Guest


What a terrible article, very poorly informed. No one in Australia has been optimistic about the wallabies for years.

AUTHOR

2022-08-25T20:01:57+00:00

Joshua Makepeace

Roar Rookie


“Do you all know how condescending you sound?” I don’t think I sounded condescending, it was just an honest assessment of an Aussie squad that is not at the top level, your fellow Aussies Kashmir Pete and Dean seem to agree with me. “Every other country’s commentators clearly show their team preference while still managing to call the game relatively fairly, but not English ones. Why is that?” I have no idea why Clive Woodward and Jonny Wilkinson seem bias to England if that’s what you think, maybe it’s because England’s opponents forgot to swap their shirts at half-time, an unforgiveable offence. “While we’re on the topic, what is it that you feel you have to be so proud of?” As the chant goes, two World Wars and one World Cup. Anyway this question is irrelevant because I don’t really think we are being arrogant and snobby. “By all means, be happy when your team wins, but do you really have to be so mean-spirited about it?” Mean-spirited? Again, I gave my honest assessment and there was no bias or condescending in this article. I only mentioned England once, and in truth, I still think England are better than Australia, as the latest series showed. There’s not a big gap between them, but England are better. All I’ve done is said what I think about the current state of the Wallabies. No hard feelings.

2022-08-25T12:53:58+00:00

Adam (Though An Imposter)

Roar Rookie


The result was coming because of the many disruptions and drama in the team. Every player who had a shocker player well below their usual standard. Depth had very little to do with it. I'm not saying they would have won if every player had had an "average" game, but it would not have been a slaughter. The second reason is that after a big win, the Wallabies tend to switch off, especially against a traditionally weaker team. This has been a pattern for a while, so I'm at least glad they got it out of the way now. I've answered you. Care to address my questions?

AUTHOR

2022-08-25T06:54:37+00:00

Joshua Makepeace

Roar Rookie


This article was not meant to be a gloating one. It was just an honest assessment from me of the Wallabies' recent results, with a broad picture. Also you stated that the Argentina loss was coming but "not for the reasons I stated," then you said "it was a comedy of errors that gifted Argentina a heavy win." For me, if a game's result is down to many errors for one side, then that result had not been coming, it would be an outlier, and just the result of a poor performance and nothing else. Thoughts?

2022-08-25T02:35:54+00:00

Adam (Though An Imposter)

Roar Rookie


Australia's loss to Argentina may have been coming, but not for the reasons you stated. You say that Australian players are just not good enough in enough depth. While the depth/injury problem is a real one, It was a comedy of errors that gifted Argentina such a heavy win - from players that can (and usually) do better. Argentina were good, but not 48 points good. On another note, we occasionally get English commentators on this site and it prompts me to ask: Do you all know how condescending you sound? This is a real question by the way and not rhetorical. I even hear it in "professional" commentators during a match. I can hear them sneering their way through calling the match in the most one-sided fashion I've ever experienced. Just open contempt with the thinnest of veneers. This is most prevalent in England (less-so the rest of Britain, and even less-so Ireland). Every other country's commentators clearly show their team preference while still managing to call the game relatively fairly, but not English ones. Why is that? While we're on the topic, what is it that you feel you have to be so proud of? In the entire history of the RWC, the whole northern hemisphere has managed to win it exactly once. Every other time was either Australia, NZ or SA. Rugby in the NH is definitely in better health than down here right now - no question. But in the entire era of professionalism it's taken you almost 30 years to get here. The general standard is generally higher in NH leagues right now. And how did you get here? You bought out much of the talent from around the world to pad out your leagues or even bring them directly into your national teams. Congratulations, you're richer. That's it. Not better athletes, nor more innovative, or whatever. Money. Not even yours, but that of the extremely rich people that own and run your leagues and teams - many at a financial loss - and it still took a couple of decades to see the results. By all means, be happy when your team wins, but do you really have to be so mean-spirited about it?

2022-08-25T01:14:36+00:00

BrewsterBandit

Roar Rookie


Yeah Noahs got a way to go. Wouldn't mind the two Tahs 10s getting in the mix. Sooner the better, RWC not far away.

2022-08-23T10:35:04+00:00

Kashmir Pete

Roar Guru


Gday Biltong I'm not sure the soft draw will be enough for Oz. It is real pity that the draw precludes all of France, NZ, Ireland and SA being in semis. Sill expect may be one of the best RWCs ever, cross-fingers. Cheers KP

2022-08-23T10:24:23+00:00

Reds Harry

Roar Rookie


I often think that Jake White would have achieved more with the Wallabies if he had been appointed instead of Link in 2013.

2022-08-23T09:57:41+00:00

Rouaan

Guest


The WBs demonstrate what is wrong with AUS rugby. If we look at the Superugby as a barometer, we can't expect too much from the WBs. There is a lack of embracing the basics of rugby, eg. the scrum as a weapon, line-out contesting as a norm, winning more contact than you lose, tackling for keeps, outworking your opponent across the field, contesting every breakdown across the team and the one which frustrates me...a lack of a tactical (territorial) KICKING GAME. These things, if consistently applied, makes your life easier and you don't need many talents for it, just hard work. When all else failed against Eng and Arg, there was no territorial kicking game to create and transfer pressure. It has been lacking in my humble view since Larkham retired. Why are all the 9s, 10s, 12s and 15s in AUS not on a proper kicking programme for the last 20 years? France, SA, NZ, Eng, Ireland have all mastered that art and will keep killing the 'adventurous' WBs when they start losing the contact zones. So AUS should start playing real rugby by embracing the basics of creating pressure on your opponent first, before they debate the technicalities of the game. I'M NOT SURE IN WHICH ROLE, BUT....BRING JAKE WHITE IN PLEASE!

2022-08-23T09:01:06+00:00

Reds Harry

Roar Rookie


It'll be a disaster for Australian rugby to go out at the quarter stage for the 2nd RWC in succession thats for sure however its a real likelihood given the reality of our position which is currently 7th in the world. Yes there is probs still an expectation among the ''casual'' Australian supporter that we are among the top 4 in the world. We aint.

2022-08-23T06:26:00+00:00

Biltong

Guest


OZ doesn't have much resistance to go through to a semi final next year, only England stands in their way to a final really. The "top four" teams are all on the other side of the draw.

AUTHOR

2022-08-23T06:14:01+00:00

Joshua Makepeace

Roar Rookie


It would, who doesn’t love Australia v England? Fair enough about what you said, I’ve just seen quite a few people saying things like, if we don’t get to the semi-finals it’s a disaster, a disgrace. You’re right, you do know more Wallabies fans than I do as I know zero, and there are many people on this website that know more about the Wallabies than me, which is why I tried to write this article, as I said, from the outside looking in. I hope that came across.

2022-08-23T05:17:25+00:00

Reds Harry

Roar Rookie


Joshua most Australian fans I speak to and know (and I hazard a guess I know far more than you) are completely realistic on the Wallabies current position, which as you point out is around 6th to 8th best in the world. We yearn for improvement, but as the series with England showed and Argentina reinforced, we are a long way from the top 4. And we've been in that position for the last 6 years. The result on Saturday was depressing but not surprising. As you point out we were afflicted by injuries and withdrawals - we had what IMO are about our 6th and 7th best hookers playing, on 24 hours or so notice. We had, at best, a 4th choice fullback who as England saw is a good test standard winger but as anyone who paid attention to the Super Rugby would have known, isn't so good at fullback. We haven't been much chop since we humiliated you lot back in 2015 when England became the first and to date only host not to make it into the quarter finals of the RWC. As for the summer of 23 and the RWC starting in September, well I predict both England and Australia will make it through to the semi finals given the draw has us both avoiding the top 4 teams until then. Mind you a pool loss by either team (quite possible for Australia against Wales and even Fiji these days, and don't discount Argentina on their day against England) would possibly see an Australia- England quarter final, again ... wouldn't that be fun?

2022-08-23T04:21:35+00:00

Kashmir Pete

Roar Guru


Josh You're on the money. If Oz makes the semis, they will have performed very well. Cheers from Wallabyland, KP

2022-08-23T03:35:32+00:00

wigeye

Guest


Not likely then big a :laughing: , Poms 1st5 is better than noah all day. Its something to read while no big games are on,at least he's putting up a story.

2022-08-23T03:24:18+00:00

JC

Roar Rookie


Hopefully Test 2 v Argentina was an outlier — a combination of being drained after the previous week’s emotion, more injuries and poor prep. I was expecting a flat performance but what they dished up was unacceptable. Must have been really disappointing to those who did put in the effort, like Slipper, Valetini and Ikitau.

AUTHOR

2022-08-23T03:11:48+00:00

Joshua Makepeace

Roar Rookie


Anyone could have such a run, there are simply better teams out there. I'm unfamiliar with the term Charriots, whose fly-half should I be defending? Is it the English with Marcus Smith?

2022-08-23T03:08:14+00:00

Big A

Roar Rookie


if Australia gets a good run with injuries and they click and tighten up their errors and panic passes in attack and get a fair go from the refs they can win the whole thing, period. Just to reciprocate, do you really think that the Charriots have a chance with pretty boy at 10 ?

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