The Roar
The Roar

Adam Page

Roar Guru

Joined June 2014

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Passionate horse racing writer and an unbiased Swans, Panthers and Maroons supporter ;)

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In all honesty, if Waller wanted to set her for the Melbourne Cup, she would probably win it. She’s shown staying prowess and has spanked them in two Cox Plates, and when you can do a margin like she has done in both wins, she’d go on and go close to winning the great race.

But realistically, for her to get the true recognition worldwide, she has to win at Royal Ascot or Hong Kong. That’s where Australian champions have gotten their rightful accolades on the world stage eg Black Caviar, Falvelon, Choisir, Chautauqua. She has to tick that box for the world to truly believe she is an all time great.

What can Winx do to become one of our best ever?

Omei Sword should have won. Simple as that. The ride from Bowman was poor IMHO. The outside was not the place to be. Yes McCreery won, but that was set up by a brutal tempo via Chetwood. Nothing was making ground out wide.

Hard Promise was enormous in defeat. I think it was no disadvantage being on speed at Caulfield, but the pressure he copped and to still fight on, off a freshen up, was excellent. Can’t blame Lane though. The horse was an absolute nutter in the run and he had no control.

Not sure what to make of Farson. He has beaten bugger all, but he makes his own luck and is just tough. Can he win the Guineas? I’d say no, but he’ll give an almighty sight.

Past the post: Winx, Catchy and the Australia Cup

Yeah. He’ll be popular in the Australian Cup, but off that run yesterday, I just don’t think the extra furlong will be enough to turn the tables on a few of those, namely Humidor and Jameka. And given how Hartnell went yesterday, the BMW looks cherry ripe for a horse with upside.

Past the post: Winx, Catchy and the Australia Cup

Easy to be impressed by Dixie Blossoms mate. Yes, she got through the going smoothly and whatnot, but that was pretty much a barrier trial for prizemoney. Just put the pen through it. Not dropping off Danish Twist, but she needs cover and a tempo.

If Moriera couldn’t get Tom Melbourne home yesterday, then nobody will. He is a milk drinker who just does too much wrong.

Past the post: Winx, Catchy and the Australia Cup

Time restricted this week mate with other work. But will be back next week!

Behind the barriers: Caulfield and Randwick preview

Encouraging first up effort Razzar. Just not sure how he turns the tables on Humidor.

Behind the barriers: Caulfield and Randwick preview

I love her Addington. But how many times can they go to the well with her? Gold Coast was a gutbuster and then she did the same thing in the Light Fingers. I think at that price/shorter, she is a massive risk, considering there are a stack here with upside.

Agree though re Spright. Would have loved to seen her have another 1200m run before racing at 1400m, but due to programming, they had to run here. The price though is too good.

Behind the barriers: Caulfield and Randwick preview

All depends what Yayas Hot Spot does. But still, I can’t see them holding out Hector early. He can go low 26 for the first quarter if required, and none here can do that IMO.

Does the Blue Diamond barrier draw matter?

Wide barriers are only a worry if their only option is to go back. I prefer speed horses drawn wide. Gives the hoop more time to sum up the situation and come across under his/her own steam.

I think Hector and his draw isn’t too bad. He has the gate speed to carve over and lead. The race sets up perfectly for Bling It On, but you can’t ignore the beast that is Lazarus. His win in the Chariots was that of a world class pacer

Does the Blue Diamond barrier draw matter?

Nice to see you’re keeping busy on a Tuesday morning.

Thanks for reading

Behind the barriers: Five bets for the weekend

I’ve said for a while on here that I like Trekking and his trial this morning was outstanding.

And good horses have won despite bone chips. It had an impact yes, of course, but not to the extent of winning/losing.

Does the Slipper fit She Will Reign? No

She does have speed. That is her key weapon. As I have said, she beat nothing on Saturday, and you can’t miss the start in the Golden Slipper and expect to win. She got away with it on the weekend because she was beating nothing, and if you actually did the form and reviewed the meeting, you will see that the lane she sprinted on was the best place to be for the meeting. That, and she had no opposition.

I wasn’t wrong…because I did say she would put them away, and she did. It’ll be a different kettle of fish come the Reisling and then the Slipper.

Does the Slipper fit She Will Reign? No

Didn’t say she was one dimensional?
I’m still happy to take her on. As I said, she would be too good for those yesterday no matter what the scenario because she wasn’t against much, it will be a different pain barrier come Slipper Day, especially if she misses the start.
If you want to take $3 for her, be my guest

Does the Slipper fit She Will Reign? No

Class above them yes, but gate one first up for a horse who will come from behind…she is more of a risk than Duke Of Brunswick IMHO

Behind the barriers: Five bets for the weekend

Seems like alot of people are on him and agree he is the overs. Give him strength

Behind the barriers: Five bets for the weekend

Got him as my long shot in that race Razzar. Landed with Hi Son given he has upside.

Behind the barriers: Five bets for the weekend

Never realised you had a great head for radio 😉 haha

Congrats mate over the past three years. And a big thanks for what you’ve done for me during that time. All the best with future endeavours

The Roar says a fond farewell to Managing Editor, Patrick Effeney

The worry was the tempo of the race and that’s how it panned out. Sub 44 for his final 800m though just speaks volumes of how well he has returned. To win the race he would have had to rub 42 and change…no horse can run those sectionals, especially first up. Very good return IMHO and keen to see him step up in trip.

Each way also Hotel Drive in the Country Championship Qualifier @ Grafton. Currently a Soft 5, hope the track dries right out come post time. Trial was outstanding

Behind the barriers: Five bets for the weekend

I wouldn’t exactly say D-Day Razzar. I am confident he is the best horse in the race, and am happy to take $2.50, but it wouldn’t shock me if Hellbent/El Divino/Wild Rain win. His GF is the TJ Smith and the speed map does say that Wild Rain will walk these. I am banking on his class and x factor to get him home.

Behind the barriers: Five bets for the weekend

Bit inconclusive she is I think. Stating the obvious, but you’ll get a good guide tomorrow as to what level she can reach

Blue Diamond: A race to stud for the colts

Roomooz has smart form? Must be reading a different form guide to me. The subsequent form out of that race has been pretty plain, and the runner up is just a jump/run 900m/1000m filly. Concede she’s handy, and I’ve got her in the numbers, but only because it’s daylight between LImestone/Catchy and the rest of them.

Blue Diamond: A race to stud for the colts

I am all over Chetwood. Took the $6.50 all in on Monday and I’ll be surprised if he doesn’t start favourite.

Behind the barriers: Five bets for Australia Day

Well over the top Tristan IMHO.

Very well placed horse who ran fast times on fast tracks only, and when he took on the big boys and girls, he failed. He has the right ingredients to be a top sire, but he was no star or anything special.

Losing Winning Rupert to stud would be another black eye for racing

Just a heads up lads, there is a scratching at Morphettville R4, so only 7 runners. I’ll leave Alaskan Jade out of the multi.

Agree with the Valley. Far more confidence betting there than Flemington. Ever since that Cup Carnival last year, the track has gone backwards and the straight races…it really is a case of throwing darts and hope for the best.

Behind the barriers: Five bets for the weekend

There are many cases with horses running well and even winning with a bone chip. Doesn’t help, but for mine, he isn’t a 1400m horse. He was there to win and looked to travel well.

Magic Millions: My contenders and pretenders - taking on Winning Rupert!